Alarming-Harp — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$2.78K

Unrealized P&L

+$15

Hit rate

44.8%

Resolved (7d)

1,642

Trades (7d)

65,783

381,963 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$145.5K

$3.74M lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$60

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 10-27 08:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 238 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% -$51,154

Other

0% 56% +$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 17809 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	—	+55	$39	100¢	$55	+$16	10-27 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	—	+5	$3	99¢	$5	+$2	10-27 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	—	+15	$3	1¢	$0	-$3	10-27 08:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	4	$3.8K	2,111	2,106	+5	Down	+$39	01-28 03:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	65	$3.6K	2,156	2,132	+24	Down	+$635	01-28 04:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:30 UTC	3	$3.2K	2,383	1,219	+1,164	Down	-$785	01-28 06:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:45 UTC	2	$3.2K	1,686	1,682	+4	Up	+$170	01-28 03:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	60	$3.1K	1,665	1,661	+3	Down	+$149	01-28 03:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:30 UTC	3	$3.1K	2,213	1,091	+1,121	Down	-$916	01-28 06:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	4	$2.5K	1,388	1,384	+4	Down	+$73	01-28 02:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:00 UTC	9	$2.4K	1,282	1,280	+2	Down	+$103	01-28 04:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 18:00 UTC	12	$2.4K	2,723	0	+2,723	Up	+$325	01-27 18:04
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 03:00 UTC	26	$2.3K	1,221	1,218	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 03:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:30 UTC	2	$2.3K	1,338	1,326	+12	Up	+$325	01-28 04:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 07:00 UTC	20	$2.3K	1,313	1,302	+11	Down	+$301	01-28 07:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,257	1,249	+8	Up	+$246	01-28 05:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,233	1,226	+7	Down	+$222	01-28 01:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	9	$2.2K	1,220	1,214	+7	Up	+$209	01-28 05:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 04:15 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,689	1,697	-7	Down	-$816	01-28 04:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:15 UTC	7	$2.2K	1,187	1,182	+5	Down	+$176	01-28 01:27
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:15 UTC	13	$2.2K	1,172	1,167	+5	Up	+$161	01-27 23:28
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 01:00 UTC	14	$2.1K	1,160	1,156	+4	Down	+$149	01-28 01:13
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:30 UTC	8	$2.1K	1,159	1,155	+4	Up	+$149	01-27 23:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	11	$2.1K	1,146	1,142	+4	Up	+$135	01-28 05:41
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:00 UTC	7	$2.1K	1,134	1,131	+3	Down	+$120	01-28 05:10
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:30 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,132	1,129	+3	Up	+$122	01-28 05:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:30 UTC	19	$2.1K	1,123	1,121	+3	Down	+$113	01-28 02:42
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 05:45 UTC	15	$2.1K	1,122	1,119	+3	Up	+$111	01-28 05:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:45 UTC	4	$2.1K	1,112	1,110	+2	Up	+$102	01-28 06:56
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:30 UTC	7	$2.1K	1,109	1,107	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 02:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 02:00 UTC	5	$2.1K	1,109	1,107	+2	Down	+$99	01-28 02:12
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-27 23:45 UTC	9	$2.1K	1,102	1,100	+2	Down	+$92	01-27 23:58
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 06:45 UTC	6	$2.1K	1,101	1,099	+2	Up	+$91	01-28 06:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfc315f…
10-27 08:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6530a9…
10-27 08:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x969db4…
10-27 08:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$3	0x5b10f3…
10-27 08:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x566f83…
10-27 08:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x57007f…
10-27 08:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6f6340…
10-27 08:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x6529bc…
10-27 08:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xd1f62f…
10-27 08:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x4fd48e…
10-27 08:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb447e9…
10-27 08:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4bac91…
10-27 08:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x01426d…
10-27 08:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x50f0f3…
10-27 08:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x646df9…
10-27 08:47:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4bf079…
10-27 08:47:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xe582dd…
10-27 08:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x0e0021…
10-27 08:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x38f4d7…
10-27 08:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x887535…
10-27 08:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x807961…
10-27 08:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6c43b8…
10-27 08:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x46a2f3…
10-27 08:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0xc68033…
10-27 08:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x97e2b1…
10-27 08:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$1	0x2eca3b…
10-27 08:46:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xfeb8c4…
10-27 08:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa7403a…
10-27 08:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x998771…
10-27 08:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x33286a…
10-27 08:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xc0b48a…
10-27 08:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0xa91cad…
10-27 08:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8b02f2…
10-27 08:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x658929…
10-27 08:45:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x01ad54…
10-27 08:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xdad043…
10-27 08:45:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1ff962…
10-27 08:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb14be1…
10-27 08:45:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x9c8278…
10-27 08:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf0866a…
10-27 08:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	44¢	$0	0xaf6e55…
10-27 08:41:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb7bf4c…
10-27 08:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4eb469…
10-27 08:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x32e508…
10-27 08:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x222313…
10-27 08:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x82a706…
10-27 08:37:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9ef5fc…
10-27 08:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xcd28a3…
10-27 08:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb623c9…
10-27 08:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xddf9ad…
10-27 08:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xea5402…
10-27 08:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x392b47…
10-27 08:37:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x6e4b97…
10-27 08:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc4324b…
10-27 08:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x18895c…
10-27 08:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	0	68¢	$0	0x2ad9b7…
10-27 08:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x9a6a40…
10-27 08:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x9cd8c1…
10-27 08:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x28c10b…
10-27 08:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb70a50…
10-27 08:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xa649df…
10-27 08:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x8b578b…
10-27 08:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xebf67b…
10-27 08:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xdc13c5…
10-27 08:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x5d9a18…
10-27 08:33:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x94c619…
10-27 08:32:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x89f6e2…
10-27 08:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x930ae7…
10-27 08:32:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xfe8d21…
10-27 08:32:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9b50de…
10-27 08:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xdd282d…
10-27 08:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xd6e8ad…
10-27 08:31:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xb3f1a3…
10-27 08:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x268fa8…
10-27 08:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x822260…
10-27 08:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa83a0d…
10-27 08:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0x9d22dc…
10-27 08:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x50e19f…
10-27 08:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xd6eefd…
10-27 08:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd05a87…
10-27 08:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x287029…
10-27 08:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x12dd13…
10-27 08:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x1e8bb1…
10-27 08:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x5dd75a…
10-27 08:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x762e9f…
10-27 08:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf998f3…
10-27 08:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x43f8dc…
10-27 08:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x2c07d7…
10-27 08:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9a9f94…
10-27 08:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x821a3c…
10-27 08:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x3263a7…
10-27 08:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x971b3d…
10-27 08:22:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3e637f…
10-27 08:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3d651c…
10-27 08:22:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xd9cd98…
10-27 08:22:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xbc3043…
10-27 08:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x957158…
10-27 08:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x2a01ff…
10-27 08:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xb553a0…
10-27 08:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3f1ece…