Regular-Settlement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$308

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

53.8%

Resolved

5,071

Trades

42,545

lifetime

Volume

$185.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$21

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 10-25 03:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 71 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 57% +$179

Other

10% 43% -$471

Sports

0% 88% -$1

Politics

0% 33% -$14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 9083 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-17	-$17	99¢	$-17	$0	09-28 17:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-4	-$4	99¢	$-4	+$0	08-21 14:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	117	$1.5K	2,401	0	+2,401	Up	-$376	10-15 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	19	$882	671	644	+27	Up	+$394	10-04 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	133	$776	2,296	0	+2,296	Up	-$72	10-15 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	170	$737	1,484	0	+1,484	Down	-$27	10-15 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	176	$702	2,122	0	+2,122	Up	+$5	10-15 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	116	$667	1,244	0	+1,244	Up	-$118	10-15 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	147	$616	1,399	0	+1,399	Up	+$77	10-15 10:29
highest temperature in wellington on march 19 2026 19c	191	$609	309	309	+0	No	+$9	03-19 09:35
highest temperature in dallas on march 19 2026 92forhigher	43	$605	306	306	+0	No	+$6	03-20 07:26
highest temperature in atlanta on march 19 2026 72 73f	62	$603	335	335	+0	No	+$5	03-20 07:38
highest temperature in wellington on march 22 2026 15c	62	$602	345	345	+0	No	-$1	03-21 15:33
highest temperature in wellington on march 22 2026 14c	23	$596	300	300	+0	No	+$1	03-21 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	21	$574	682	405	+277	Down	+$278	10-04 03:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:30 UTC	181	$552	1,146	0	+1,146	Up	+$32	10-15 02:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-21 22:45 UTC	2	$551	609	602	+8	Up	-$249	03-21 22:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-21 22:30 UTC	4	$536	289	275	+14	Up	+$23	03-21 22:45
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 19 2026 26c	51	$531	305	305	+0	Yes	+$9	03-19 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	105	$508	1,168	0	+1,168	Up	-$68	10-15 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	120	$505	1,102	0	+1,102	Up	-$14	10-15 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	11	$504	1,612	0	+1,612	Down	-$504	10-05 22:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:10 UTC	110	$496	1,128	0	+1,128	Up	+$4	10-15 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	89	$496	960	0	+960	Up	-$29	10-15 19:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-17 23:00 UTC	79	$492	571	350	+221	Up	-$2	03-17 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	102	$492	1,070	0	+1,070	Up	-$12	10-15 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	96	$488	970	0	+970	Down	-$31	10-15 17:34
highest temperature in milan on march 20 2026 11c	2	$480	241	241	+0	No	-$2	03-19 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	112	$466	974	0	+974	Up	-$43	10-15 12:09
highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 14c	13	$464	241	241	+0	No	+$4	03-19 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	105	$457	896	0	+896	Up	+$29	10-15 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	90	$451	1,107	0	+1,107	Down	-$13	10-15 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 03:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	56¢	$28	0x590fcb…
10-25 03:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	51	54¢	$28	0x066af7…
10-25 03:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	67	41¢	$28	0x567d47…
10-25 03:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	31	88¢	$27	0x6a19a6…
10-25 03:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	85¢	$28	0xfba74a…
10-25 03:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	138	20¢	$28	0x5b305b…
10-25 03:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	138	20¢	$28	0x9f4662…
10-23 20:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	65¢	$28	0x5d01f9…
10-23 20:50:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	178	62¢	$110	0xa4dba1…
10-23 20:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	177	62¢	$110	0x1ef02c…
10-23 20:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	183	60¢	$110	0x0df166…
10-21 14:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0x698bd6…
10-20 23:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0x9afb22…
10-20 23:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x8d2bd3…
10-20 23:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0xd643ba…
10-20 23:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0xb0a9d0…
10-20 23:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x5132e7…
10-20 23:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x799640…
10-20 23:26:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xb10f07…
10-20 23:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x53375c…
10-20 23:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	69	14¢	$10	0x0043f7…
10-20 23:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$5	0x70d93a…
10-20 23:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	82¢	$5	0x411f54…
10-20 23:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x6e72d8…
10-20 23:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xded328…
10-20 23:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x9e69dd…
10-20 23:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0x5cc100…
10-20 23:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xfd8de0…
10-20 23:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf199c8…
10-20 23:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	29¢	$6	0x7e710d…
10-20 23:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	21¢	$5	0x5d1d41…
10-20 23:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x5ae0b1…
10-20 23:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	55	10¢	$6	0xa22d1a…
10-20 23:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	35	23¢	$8	0xee8f97…
10-20 23:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x24d82b…
10-20 23:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x840af0…
10-20 23:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	34¢	$5	0xfab3e7…
10-20 23:06:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	33¢	$5	0x682b8c…
10-20 23:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x142647…
10-20 22:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x58c5a9…
10-20 22:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x469bc6…
10-20 22:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	27¢	$5	0x143b42…
10-20 22:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x1d02be…
10-20 22:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x914472…
10-20 22:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0xf66328…
10-20 22:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x00c688…
10-19 17:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	9¢	$3	0x8b5796…
10-19 14:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd4c4b7…
10-19 09:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	68	65¢	$44	0x6604c9…
10-19 09:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x99d1c3…
10-19 09:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0xdb5294…
10-19 09:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	33¢	$6	0x1da6ec…
10-19 09:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xa8566c…
10-19 09:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x1da23d…
10-19 09:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	13	28¢	$4	0xce96a8…
10-18 15:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x42c2cc…
10-18 15:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x03d6cc…
10-18 15:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xf67f74…
10-18 15:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5be337…
10-18 15:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x4f7fc8…
10-18 15:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x48c858…
10-18 15:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x1ddecb…
10-18 15:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0x4fd09d…
10-18 15:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x622c2d…
10-18 15:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x2b83f2…
10-18 15:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xdb0893…
10-18 15:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb23c75…
10-18 15:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb18dd0…
10-18 15:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x669527…
10-18 15:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9093a8…
10-18 15:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x26b982…
10-18 15:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x00671a…
10-18 15:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xd17ebb…
10-18 15:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x3be8be…
10-18 15:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x37e386…
10-18 15:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x21215f…
10-18 15:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x190b2e…
10-18 15:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2e7905…
10-18 15:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0xf4b4e2…
10-18 15:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x965045…
10-18 15:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa667df…
10-18 15:33:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0x67be05…
10-18 15:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xc83597…
10-18 15:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x19c319…
10-18 15:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xe91fe3…
10-18 15:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xd4a748…
10-18 15:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x7489d0…
10-18 15:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf568c5…
10-18 15:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe7dab7…
10-18 15:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xdc3d9d…
10-18 15:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa67f20…
10-18 15:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x125775…
10-18 15:26:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x6ac707…
10-18 15:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0xdb60aa…
10-18 15:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xaee5a0…
10-18 15:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x4a4bf5…
10-18 15:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xfd6b81…
10-18 15:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	78¢	$5	0xbcf7fb…
10-18 15:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdce7b4…
10-18 15:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xa6e4a2…