Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$39

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.0%

Resolved

333

Trades

726

lifetime

Volume

$3.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-18

last 10-25 16:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 63% -$58

Other

48% 68% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 90 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	4	$95	236	236	+0	No	+$15	09-18 15:10
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?	6	$86	172	172	+0	No	+$6	08-19 19:07
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	6	$80	262	262	+0	Yes	+$10	08-31 04:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	4	$77	100	100	+0	No	+$7	09-21 13:56
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	2	$74	158	158	+0	Yes	+$14	09-21 08:12
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?	3	$69	186	167	+20	No	+$1	09-14 15:15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	4	$67	186	186	+0	No	+$7	09-01 15:29
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	2	$67	176	176	+0	No	+$7	09-07 23:30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	11	$56	215	162	+53	No	-$4	09-06 11:53
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	4	$47	135	135	+0	Yes	+$7	09-14 00:55
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	5	$43	177	177	+0	No	+$3	08-22 08:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	38	$41	96	96	+0	No	+$4	09-28 22:16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	2	$30	214	214	+0	No	-$30	09-01 10:22
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	1	$30	214	0	+214	No	-$30	08-25 10:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$30	25	25	+0	Down	+$20	10-15 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	9	$29	43	29	+14	Up	+$3	10-21 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	3	$29	49	49	+0	Up	+$17	10-15 20:29
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$25	125	125	+0	No	+$5	08-18 20:51
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	8	$25	125	125	+0	No	+$5	08-22 08:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$25	91	91	+0	No	+$5	08-18 21:14
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	3	$24	56	56	+0	Yes	+$4	08-26 18:25
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	2	$24	19	19	+0	Yes	+$4	09-02 04:58
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$24	59	59	+0	No	+$4	08-18 16:11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$24	50	50	+0	No	+$4	08-18 16:11
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	2	$24	100	100	+0	No	+$4	08-18 16:07
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$24	67	67	+0	No	+$4	08-27 04:34
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$24	125	125	+0	No	+$4	08-20 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	3	$23	120	20	+100	Up	+$11	10-15 20:34
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	2	$23	67	67	+0	No	+$3	08-24 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	2	$23	100	100	+0	No	+$3	10-01 19:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 16:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x51a706…
10-25 16:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x853f43…
10-25 16:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf27ac1…
10-25 16:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x238b6e…
10-25 16:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xfab9ce…
10-25 16:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6c748a…
10-25 15:59:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xadea55…
10-25 15:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x74fc6d…
10-25 15:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xe72d98…
10-25 15:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x222dfa…
10-25 10:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xd556c7…
10-25 10:36:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf147d6…
10-25 10:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xab4f2e…
10-25 09:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xb45885…
10-25 09:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xdd7e5c…
10-25 09:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfc9b0f…
10-25 09:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfa917a…
10-25 09:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xf253c9…
10-25 09:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xad6099…
10-25 09:01:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-25 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x44ad19…
10-25 08:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	86¢	$8	0xc03515…
10-25 08:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x64098f…
10-25 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xe4af4c…
10-25 08:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xcf7032…
10-25 08:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xb3c2c8…
10-25 08:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xf892b7…
10-25 08:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xdfa8ed…
10-25 08:41:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x25b77a…
10-24 10:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc4797d…
10-24 09:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcf5c34…
10-24 09:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x23c4f9…
10-24 09:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x01447c…
10-24 09:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xec39de…
10-24 09:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x668fa2…
10-24 09:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x331cc7…
10-24 09:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb867d4…
10-24 09:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x14862d…
10-24 09:33:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb54a8a…
10-24 09:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x462aa7…
10-24 09:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x14a843…
10-24 09:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb08525…
10-24 09:23:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xb9805e…
10-24 09:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x96e98a…
10-24 09:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x5db04e…
10-24 09:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x091259…
10-24 09:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xda610b…
10-24 09:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcb0b5b…
10-24 09:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8315a2…
10-24 09:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xaf45df…
10-24 09:10:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x39d346…
10-24 09:09:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9ebad1…
10-24 09:06:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x93c510…
10-24 09:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xdc2474…
10-24 09:04:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-24 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x337f77…
10-24 08:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6164ac…
10-24 08:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa2859d…
10-24 08:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x81923b…
10-24 08:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3c7cef…
10-24 08:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0f37e1…
10-24 08:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6d7122…
10-24 08:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x14de93…
10-24 08:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfa9a45…
10-24 08:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb685c9…
10-24 08:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x89d741…
10-24 08:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0x619fa8…
10-24 08:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6d9538…
10-24 08:24:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd4b256…
10-24 08:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1cdb30…
10-24 08:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x00e432…
10-24 08:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4c4c8c…
10-24 08:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd396ea…
10-24 08:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x819c1e…
10-24 08:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x38fb8c…
10-24 08:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x6ba6cc…
10-24 08:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcf630d…
10-24 08:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc0a7a7…
10-24 08:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1389ec…
10-24 07:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x2a4e2d…
10-24 07:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x1e90d7…
10-24 07:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x93ee03…
10-24 07:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb7a0b1…
10-24 07:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x530b12…
10-24 07:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x74e483…
10-24 07:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2fbb32…
10-24 07:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf18b37…
10-24 07:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9fee8b…
10-24 07:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x63f20f…
10-24 07:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x50bed6…
10-24 07:31:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x0169c4…
10-24 07:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x39c821…
10-24 07:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd37422…
10-24 07:22:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf105d5…
10-24 07:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xece4cb…
10-24 07:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x58085e…
10-24 07:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x39ac87…
10-24 07:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe77369…
10-24 07:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x32c998…
10-24 07:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x09bcad…
10-24 07:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xd10be0…
10-24 07:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x89192c…