Annual-Universe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$666

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

70.1%

Resolved

1,983

Trades

5,316

lifetime

Volume

$20.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 10-30 20:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 107 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 56% -$354

Other

9% 34% -$267

Sports

1% 25% -$16

Politics

1% 40% -$30

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	+30	$9	28¢	$8	-$1	10-26 17:20
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	+375	$0	1¢	$5	+$5	10-30 09:22
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?	Yes	+20	$3	14¢	$3	$0	10-26 17:26
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	+154	$0	2¢	$2	+$3	10-29 23:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	+334	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-27 13:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	9	$203	149	149	+0	Up	+$29	10-29 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 01:00 UTC	15	$172	122	122	+0	Down	+$36	03-05 01:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:00 UTC	17	$128	100	100	+0	Down	+$12	02-03 05:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 20:30 UTC	12	$105	60	60	+0	Up	+$5	02-03 20:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 23:15 UTC	8	$100	130	79	+51	Down	+$10	02-09 23:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 20:45 UTC	10	$94	60	79	-19	Up	+$13	02-03 21:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 00:00 UTC	10	$92	70	70	+0	Up	+$25	02-10 00:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:45 UTC	5	$89	98	57	+41	Down	-$13	03-05 00:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 19:15 UTC	20	$86	60	60	+0	Up	+$16	02-03 19:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-24 18:30 UTC	7	$81	45	45	+0	Up	+$4	03-24 18:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:45 UTC	15	$78	110	90	+20	Down	+$3	02-03 05:55
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	15	$76	59	59	+0	No	-$1	04-14 15:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:30 UTC	25	$76	180	70	+110	Down	+$4	02-03 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:55 UTC	4	$75	70	69	+1	Down	+$15	03-05 01:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-22 07:10 UTC	3	$74	50	49	+1	Up	+$20	02-22 07:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 07:15 UTC	5	$72	70	50	+20	Down	+$14	02-03 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 06:30 UTC	9	$71	45	45	+0	Down	+$16	02-03 06:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 21:00 UTC	6	$70	46	46	+0	Up	+$21	02-03 21:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 05:15 UTC	11	$69	70	50	+20	Down	+$12	02-03 05:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	5	$65	60	40	+20	Down	-$7	05-27 04:14
epl new mun 2026 03 04 new	4	$65	66	66	+0	Yes	+$42	03-04 22:09
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	16	$65	1,240	1,240	+0	Yes	+$3	03-01 01:32
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 23:15 UTC	16	$62	46	46	+0	Down	+$3	02-05 23:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 23:00 UTC	10	$62	65	65	+0	Up	+$6	02-10 23:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-13 04:35 UTC	4	$61	55	54	+1	Up	+$6	02-13 04:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	7	$61	40	40	+0	Down	+$0	05-27 03:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 19:30 UTC	7	$59	35	35	+0	Down	+$8	03-09 19:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-21 07:45 UTC	3	$58	40	39	+1	Up	+$18	02-21 07:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 20:30 UTC	16	$56	50	50	+0	Down	+$10	02-05 20:44
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-21?	3	$56	35	35	+0	Yes	+$14	10-21 20:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 20:50:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xe58477…
10-30 20:50:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xa67885…
10-30 20:48:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x11f874…
10-30 20:45:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x24319c…
10-30 20:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xee908b…
10-30 20:43:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x99d0b0…
10-30 20:43:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x4393db…
10-30 20:43:37	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x3c60c7…
10-30 19:51:54	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x074ab5…
10-30 09:40:13	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0xcc6a80…
10-30 09:39:45	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	36	0¢	$0	0xe65e30…
10-30 09:22:27	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x3c0684…
10-30 09:08:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x7d9e55…
10-30 09:05:36	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	27	0¢	$0	0x75d85d…
10-30 08:35:39	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x21b2c3…
10-30 07:32:13	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	138	0¢	$0	0x72de36…
10-30 06:53:40	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	48	53¢	$25	0xfe5a9e…
10-30 06:47:25	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0b0b4e…
10-30 06:29:45	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x902d45…
10-30 06:14:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	18	0¢	$0	0x09dc8e…
10-30 01:37:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x30cd64…
10-29 23:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x16f73a…
10-29 23:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	38¢	$4	0x0e8962…
10-29 23:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xd9375e…
10-29 23:30:31	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xbc394e…
10-29 23:28:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xfe72e2…
10-29 23:27:25	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xc10925…
10-29 23:27:10	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x45ae3d…
10-29 23:25:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x41c649…
10-29 23:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x27da68…
10-29 23:24:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa8739b…
10-29 23:23:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xf73079…
10-29 23:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0xfcfbbc…
10-29 23:20:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xc2228e…
10-29 23:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x13aefb…
10-29 23:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xe22f7c…
10-29 23:19:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x0302f8…
10-29 23:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0x29d0de…
10-29 23:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x5d4ce1…
10-29 23:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	70	87¢	$61	0xb34cf3…
10-29 23:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x56e63c…
10-29 23:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x416fe0…
10-29 23:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x87348c…
10-29 23:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xec0153…
10-29 23:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0xabe74b…
10-29 23:08:15	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	SELL	146	1¢	$1	0x892c95…
10-29 17:51:55	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	84	0¢	$0	0x41c692…
10-29 17:49:23	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	235	0¢	$0	0x2e9464…
10-29 17:24:01	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	182	0¢	$0	0x5afb2a…
10-29 14:37:50	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x78a8cc…
10-29 14:14:43	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x471fde…
10-28 23:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xf7e36e…
10-28 23:22:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x4e84a9…
10-28 23:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xbd8f4e…
10-28 23:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x832345…
10-28 23:15:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x69bbe8…
10-28 23:14:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x141047…
10-28 23:12:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xe2d4d5…
10-28 23:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa2d7f1…
10-28 23:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x50d2c0…
10-28 23:06:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0x6fa7f6…
10-28 23:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x5ccfaf…
10-28 23:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	90	0¢	$0	0x5fab36…
10-28 23:04:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5cbb9e…
10-28 23:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6840c7…
10-28 22:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x14e337…
10-28 22:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x2954a8…
10-28 22:58:14	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x13a65c…
10-28 22:56:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x73c25a…
10-28 22:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x29b150…
10-27 13:22:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	Yes	BUY	334	0¢	$1	0x460047…
10-26 23:30:15	Will FC Porto win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8ec26c…
10-26 23:30:02	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x8eb28d…
10-26 23:29:50	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3b0a5f…
10-26 23:29:44	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0xb03065…
10-26 23:29:39	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04?	Yes	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1d7f5d…
10-26 23:29:32	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1d6cb4…
10-26 23:29:24	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd9c00b…
10-26 23:29:09	Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x8b61bf…
10-26 23:29:00	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x9021ee…
10-26 23:28:50	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x70c75a…
10-26 23:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xeaaa32…
10-26 23:24:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x334441…
10-26 23:20:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	30	43¢	$13	0x8edf2a…
10-26 23:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x135be8…
10-26 23:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x701925…
10-26 23:16:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x5e0ec6…
10-26 23:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	30	76¢	$23	0xd4100f…
10-26 23:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	64¢	$19	0xcea1c1…
10-26 23:15:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xcbd627…
10-26 23:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0xd17719…
10-26 23:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	47¢	$9	0x486ae4…
10-26 23:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x6c2c2d…
10-26 23:12:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x32af9b…
10-26 23:11:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xe754c3…
10-26 23:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xdfdcd1…
10-26 23:09:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbd9055…
10-26 23:08:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xf17d74…
10-26 23:08:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xbf1751…
10-26 23:08:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0x5d13f3…