Tight-Motive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.22K

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

40.2%

Resolved

18,423

Trades

71,191

lifetime

Volume

$199.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$28

3 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 10-27 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 36% -$5,829

Other

1% 16% -$396

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 2483 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	—	+23	$9	96¢	$22	+$13	10-27 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	—	+20	$12	22¢	$4	-$8	10-27 09:49
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	—	+14	$7	4¢	$1	-$6	10-27 09:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	108	$816	1,737	+1,737	Up	-$1	10-25 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	201	$781	1,634	+1,634	Up	+$13	10-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	85	$720	1,463	+1,463	Up	-$41	10-25 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	163	$672	1,410	+1,410	Down	+$5	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	90	$606	1,190	+1,190	Up	-$71	10-25 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	54	$479	942	+942	Down	-$23	10-25 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	61	$477	1,020	+1,020	Down	+$36	10-27 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	56	$472	891	+891	Down	+$4	10-27 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	54	$385	866	+866	Down	+$1	10-25 20:58
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	55	$342	885	+885	Up	-$111	10-25 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	78	$312	651	+651	Down	-$13	10-25 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	84	$309	694	+694	Down	+$11	10-25 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	52	$300	670	+670	Down	+$20	10-26 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	46	$284	579	+579	Up	-$47	10-26 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	27	$270	525	+525	Up	+$10	10-27 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	33	$267	560	+560	Down	-$37	10-27 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	38	$261	573	+573	Down	-$21	10-26 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	49	$252	515	+515	Up	-$28	10-27 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	30	$242	548	+548	Up	+$3	10-27 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	52	$234	437	+437	Up	+$43	09-03 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	105	$228	451	+451	Down	-$17	10-17 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	32	$223	483	+483	Down	+$24	10-25 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	21	$216	419	+419	Down	+$24	10-25 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	48	$196	479	+479	Up	+$71	09-01 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	46	$192	371	+371	Down	-$30	09-03 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	17	$188	334	+334	Down	+$6	10-27 02:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:30 UTC	90	$186	419	+419	Down	+$20	10-16 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	47	$186	399	+399	Down	+$10	10-25 17:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 22:55 UTC	91	$185	395	+395	Down	-$42	10-16 22:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-21 09:15 UTC	61	$177	367	+367	Down	-$5	08-21 09:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 09:50:36	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xe68990…
10-27 09:50:12	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x092cf3…
10-27 09:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x96ad50…
10-27 09:46:08	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xeb31ef…
10-27 09:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x5c495c…
10-27 09:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	4¢	$1	0x5131c2…
10-27 09:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x0ed3cb…
10-27 09:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	13	11¢	$1	0xc331e3…
10-27 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0xf83a42…
10-27 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xec9644…
10-27 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xea2803…
10-27 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x625eb0…
10-27 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x1ebb78…
10-27 09:44:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x02a95c…
10-27 09:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x14c6a1…
10-27 09:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0f9a66…
10-27 09:44:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x9c114d…
10-27 09:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xbc922a…
10-27 09:44:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xd34e15…
10-27 09:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x3844fc…
10-27 09:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xc4a178…
10-27 09:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xe041fe…
10-27 09:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x00599b…
10-27 09:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xf1c159…
10-27 09:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0xc98fed…
10-27 09:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x9b578e…
10-27 09:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x79d9a4…
10-27 09:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x51dc5c…
10-27 09:44:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xaf81d9…
10-27 09:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4d5237…
10-27 09:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x0e4861…
10-27 09:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x89767c…
10-27 09:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x5bdd8c…
10-27 09:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$4	0x02b41e…
10-27 09:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x36b715…
10-27 09:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x6e0dd8…
10-27 09:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x24efa8…
10-27 09:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf05356…
10-27 09:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xcff2a8…
10-27 09:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x9480eb…
10-27 09:42:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0x1d9e57…
10-27 09:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xf0db06…
10-27 09:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xead1e7…
10-27 09:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xa48452…
10-27 09:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x9154ca…
10-27 09:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x59baef…
10-27 09:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	37¢	$3	0x481c9a…
10-27 09:42:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x213e2f…
10-27 09:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x8616a1…
10-27 09:41:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x5adc8c…
10-27 09:41:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x257366…
10-27 09:41:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xf6e20c…
10-27 09:41:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xa5910d…
10-27 09:39:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xb51e88…
10-27 09:39:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$6	0xa95fef…
10-27 09:39:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x08337f…
10-27 09:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xefb3bc…
10-27 09:35:06	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xcd1d51…
10-27 09:28:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xe459e5…
10-27 09:26:47	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0x28a9c2…
10-27 09:26:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x1ca2a0…
10-27 09:26:26	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xb96b99…
10-27 09:26:15	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x224cb2…
10-27 09:23:51	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xadae1c…
10-27 09:23:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-27 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x5e616d…
10-27 09:14:12	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x66c2c4…
10-27 09:14:05	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x283b91…
10-27 09:14:00	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xfb3194…
10-27 09:13:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x8375d8…
10-27 09:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xf6757a…
10-27 09:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xf4c116…
10-27 09:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xea2be7…
10-27 09:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x360d4e…
10-27 09:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x2d06a3…
10-27 09:03:09	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd45243…
10-27 09:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x996f69…
10-27 08:59:21	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	11¢	$0	0xd28ff0…
10-27 08:58:50	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xaf7ede…
10-27 08:57:54	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa8e744…
10-27 08:57:18	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x7be692…
10-27 08:57:00	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xa63eed…
10-27 08:56:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0xf6ff63…
10-27 08:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xbe09ce…
10-27 08:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x8ea353…
10-27 08:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x99f0e9…
10-27 08:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0xae9584…
10-27 08:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x2292c4…
10-27 08:41:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x5df7c7…
10-27 08:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xfc8ca7…
10-27 08:33:03	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5e0131…
10-27 08:32:21	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xbd31f7…
10-27 08:28:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x237bb4…
10-27 08:27:35	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9b2e72…
10-27 08:26:50	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xfadc80…
10-27 08:26:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x78a422…
10-27 08:23:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x4831fe…
10-27 08:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x6b703d…
10-27 08:16:45	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x088052…
10-27 08:14:11	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x82754f…
10-27 08:13:50	Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xff6f91…