Tight-Motive — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$610

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

47.9%

Resolved (7d)

1,716

Trades (7d)

7,977

79,065 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$25.7K

$224.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 11-03 06:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 113 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 37% -$6,451

Other

1% 19% -$371

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 2483 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	—	+6	$3	98¢	$6	+$3	11-03 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	—	+20	$5	2¢	$0	-$4	11-03 07:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	—	+20	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	11-03 07:43
Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	—	+10	$2	2¢	$0	-$2	11-03 07:43
Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	—	+1	$0	1¢	$0	$0	11-03 07:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	108	$816	1,737	+1,737	Up	-$1	10-25 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	201	$781	1,634	+1,634	Up	+$13	10-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	85	$720	1,463	+1,463	Up	-$41	10-25 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	163	$672	1,410	+1,410	Down	+$5	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	90	$606	1,190	+1,190	Up	-$71	10-25 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	54	$479	942	+942	Down	-$23	10-25 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	61	$477	1,020	+1,020	Down	+$36	10-27 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	56	$472	891	+891	Down	+$4	10-27 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	44	$433	829	+829	Down	-$27	10-28 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	54	$385	866	+866	Down	+$1	10-25 20:58
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	55	$342	885	+885	Up	-$111	10-25 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	51	$321	677	+677	Up	+$9	10-28 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	78	$312	651	+651	Down	-$13	10-25 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	84	$309	694	+694	Down	+$11	10-25 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	52	$300	670	+670	Down	+$20	10-26 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	46	$284	579	+579	Up	-$47	10-26 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	27	$270	525	+525	Up	+$10	10-27 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	33	$267	560	+560	Down	-$37	10-27 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	120	$266	502	+502	Down	-$5	10-28 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	38	$261	573	+573	Down	-$21	10-26 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	49	$252	515	+515	Up	-$28	10-27 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	30	$242	548	+548	Up	+$3	10-27 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	33	$238	434	+434	Up	-$20	10-27 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	68	$238	516	+516	Down	+$33	11-01 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	52	$234	437	+437	Up	+$43	09-03 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	105	$228	451	+451	Down	-$17	10-17 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	41	$227	503	+503	Up	-$15	10-27 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	32	$223	483	+483	Down	+$24	10-25 19:58
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	27	$217	417	+417	Up	+$51	10-27 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	21	$216	419	+419	Down	+$24	10-25 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 07:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x850270…
11-03 07:43:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x986167…
11-03 07:43:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x8f3b31…
11-03 07:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xfccd89…
11-03 07:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xdca7c2…
11-03 07:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x6c3876…
11-03 07:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7da99d…
11-03 07:41:58	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x24eda4…
11-03 07:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x83d21f…
11-03 07:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xca4d30…
11-03 07:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x8c32a8…
11-03 07:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc5458b…
11-03 07:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xd27128…
11-03 07:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xbe08d4…
11-03 07:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xdb6d7f…
11-03 07:38:27	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x136206…
11-03 07:38:25	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbcb38b…
11-03 07:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x432602…
11-03 07:36:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x9ee649…
11-03 07:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0xdb0e15…
11-03 07:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x20481a…
11-03 07:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xb490ce…
11-03 07:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1f125a…
11-03 07:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x41a84a…
11-03 07:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xfdf000…
11-03 07:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x25ecd4…
11-03 07:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x82ea18…
11-03 07:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc5de44…
11-03 07:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x8be9d2…
11-03 07:25:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x066379…
11-03 07:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xd7ef62…
11-03 07:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xe3e9da…
11-03 07:20:43	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xd9d368…
11-03 07:19:27	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa74622…
11-03 07:19:24	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x7dd5ef…
11-03 07:18:42	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5fa40a…
11-03 07:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc58f27…
11-03 07:17:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x22c371…
11-03 07:17:39	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x50c327…
11-03 07:17:37	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xa26375…
11-03 07:17:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x6013bf…
11-03 07:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2d010f…
11-03 07:17:09	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x0b52bb…
11-03 07:16:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xcd141d…
11-03 07:16:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xa386f5…
11-03 07:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x538baf…
11-03 07:16:27	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xbf6cea…
11-03 07:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbd2896…
11-03 07:16:06	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0eb86a…
11-03 07:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x633447…
11-03 07:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9b06cf…
11-03 07:14:04	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x0a8d20…
11-03 07:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xa1900b…
11-03 07:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb837a1…
11-03 07:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	26¢	$1	0xa5e677…
11-03 07:13:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x3e1be4…
11-03 07:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xdb9747…
11-03 07:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xa45aa6…
11-03 07:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x1910a5…
11-03 07:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8a27a1…
11-03 07:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x0166c7…
11-03 07:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x36ebb0…
11-03 07:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x0af9f7…
11-03 07:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xbe7485…
11-03 07:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf1c496…
11-03 07:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	9¢	$0	0xdcd4bc…
11-03 07:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x01f281…
11-03 07:08:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x9408ed…
11-03 07:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xd15593…
11-03 07:08:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	29¢	$1	0x927813…
11-03 07:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	14¢	$1	0x129ece…
11-03 07:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x786899…
11-03 07:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x3dc7c3…
11-03 07:06:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x09d972…
11-03 07:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x6315e4…
11-03 07:03:39	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x2024bf…
11-03 07:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x1b74f3…
11-03 07:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd3f513…
11-03 06:58:54	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x7c5afe…
11-03 06:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x149a95…
11-03 06:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xe09c84…
11-03 06:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb1b4a6…
11-03 06:57:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x216753…
11-03 06:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x697ffa…
11-03 06:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x342783…
11-03 06:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xb86cac…
11-03 06:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xa5dc0e…
11-03 06:54:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xe240ea…
11-03 06:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xca3fd2…
11-03 06:53:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x36f0ce…
11-03 06:53:39	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xe91a9f…
11-03 06:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xd2f0a1…
11-03 06:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6414ae…
11-03 06:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x5c7f8a…
11-03 06:52:52	Solana Up or Down - November 3, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x12a042…
11-03 06:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbc7513…
11-03 06:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x85f0f6…
11-03 06:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x07a9b8…
11-03 06:44:04	XRP Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x208948…
11-03 06:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x162a53…