Tight-Motive — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$2.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.3%

Resolved (90d)

12,969

Trades (90d)

46,930

84,773 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$119.0K

$229.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-01

last 11-12 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 122 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 37% -$6,992

Other

1% 19% -$393

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

64 active days in 12wk • peak 2483 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	108	$816	1,737	+1,737	Up	-$1	10-25 21:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	201	$781	1,634	+1,634	Up	+$13	10-25 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	85	$720	1,463	+1,463	Up	-$41	10-25 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	163	$672	1,410	+1,410	Down	+$5	10-25 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	90	$606	1,190	+1,190	Up	-$71	10-25 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	54	$479	942	+942	Down	-$23	10-25 20:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	61	$477	1,020	+1,020	Down	+$36	10-27 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	56	$472	891	+891	Down	+$4	10-27 00:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	44	$433	829	+829	Down	-$27	10-28 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	54	$385	866	+866	Down	+$1	10-25 20:58
Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	55	$342	885	+885	Up	-$111	10-25 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	51	$321	677	+677	Up	+$9	10-28 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	78	$312	651	+651	Down	-$13	10-25 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	84	$309	694	+694	Down	+$11	10-25 18:44
Ethereum Up or Down - October 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	52	$300	670	+670	Down	+$20	10-26 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	46	$284	579	+579	Up	-$47	10-26 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	27	$270	525	+525	Up	+$10	10-27 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	33	$267	560	+560	Down	-$37	10-27 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	120	$266	502	+502	Down	-$5	10-28 20:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	38	$261	573	+573	Down	-$21	10-26 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	49	$252	515	+515	Up	-$28	10-27 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	30	$242	548	+548	Up	+$3	10-27 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	33	$238	434	+434	Up	-$20	10-27 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	68	$238	516	+516	Down	+$33	11-01 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	52	$234	437	+437	Up	+$43	09-03 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	105	$228	451	+451	Down	-$17	10-17 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	41	$227	503	+503	Up	-$15	10-27 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	32	$223	483	+483	Down	+$24	10-25 19:58
Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	27	$217	417	+417	Up	+$51	10-27 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	21	$216	419	+419	Down	+$24	10-25 21:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-12 01:43:15	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0x619842…
11-12 01:29:21	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x9c959e…
11-12 01:18:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xf21c9c…
11-12 01:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x104851…
11-12 01:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd2c344…
11-12 00:59:07	Solana Up or Down - November 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x20b120…
11-12 00:57:07	XRP Up or Down - November 11, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb42e7a…
11-11 03:27:24	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb444bb…
11-11 02:28:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x303397…
11-11 02:28:37	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0306d6…
11-11 02:20:43	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5aaced…
11-11 02:20:39	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0x0920aa…
11-11 01:52:49	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x296aba…
11-11 01:51:42	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x363d63…
11-11 01:51:42	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3202ff…
11-11 01:51:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x64b329…
11-11 01:49:16	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xfd03cd…
11-11 01:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x211e03…
11-11 01:43:54	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x0115ad…
11-11 01:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd100ee…
11-11 01:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x39d22f…
11-11 01:38:33	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x90d8d4…
11-11 01:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xe11634…
11-11 01:33:36	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x9ec27f…
11-11 01:33:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc513b4…
11-11 01:32:55	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x7c2d2e…
11-11 01:10:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0x1e588e…
11-11 00:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa9f1cd…
11-11 00:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xf28fcf…
11-11 00:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xd57218…
11-11 00:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xb3a9cd…
11-11 00:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x9ad75b…
11-11 00:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x32868f…
11-11 00:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xec9c5a…
11-11 00:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x49a0e2…
11-11 00:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x83af72…
11-11 00:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x615b69…
11-11 00:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x489ca6…
11-11 00:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x200c78…
11-11 00:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x0cbc33…
11-11 00:49:06	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xcfcb31…
11-11 00:48:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x380cde…
11-11 00:44:06	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8fbf9c…
11-11 00:43:46	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x86ec4c…
11-11 00:43:46	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x68ca34…
11-11 00:43:40	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xe9353d…
11-11 00:43:36	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xf630d0…
11-11 00:42:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd4230a…
11-11 00:42:01	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x519f93…
11-11 00:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x55e81c…
11-11 00:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x7a4c68…
11-11 00:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0xf93fbc…
11-11 00:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8dc7f4…
11-11 00:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x647218…
11-11 00:34:27	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xeb6952…
11-11 00:33:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xd18f1d…
11-11 00:33:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x407b56…
11-11 00:33:27	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2bb26c…
11-11 00:33:27	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x06a185…
11-11 00:33:24	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xd6de6d…
11-11 00:31:57	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x0b5de1…
11-11 00:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf6877a…
11-11 00:30:54	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	0	16¢	$0	0x68c6f7…
11-11 00:30:54	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x1d8c7a…
11-11 00:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xe0e180…
11-11 00:29:24	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xb9554d…
11-11 00:29:00	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x98e445…
11-11 00:28:49	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x127d87…
11-11 00:28:45	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x5933d5…
11-11 00:27:36	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x41c0f0…
11-11 00:27:04	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x2d6f3e…
11-11 00:26:40	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x1b12d1…
11-11 00:24:10	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0xb1820e…
11-11 00:20:55	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xf97a7f…
11-11 00:19:13	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x1b61a1…
11-11 00:17:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3008ce…
11-11 00:17:13	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x0e65f2…
11-11 00:16:40	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xaaba0f…
11-11 00:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xbec452…
11-11 00:13:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xb48e0b…
11-11 00:13:31	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x23387d…
11-11 00:13:28	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0xfe8c03…
11-11 00:13:28	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0x36b285…
11-11 00:13:19	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x422883…
11-11 00:12:48	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x33e084…
11-11 00:12:42	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x28e2f3…
11-11 00:12:12	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa427a2…
11-11 00:11:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x4421cb…
11-11 00:11:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0x0e48f1…
11-11 00:11:07	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0cb708…
11-11 00:11:06	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x170bdd…
11-11 00:10:57	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2af398…
11-11 00:10:27	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x35d448…
11-11 00:10:15	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x12ee46…
11-11 00:09:31	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x5a8304…
11-11 00:09:10	XRP Up or Down - November 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x43aaf8…
11-11 00:08:52	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf26163…
11-11 00:08:43	Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xe1b40c…
11-11 00:08:06	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xff253c…
11-11 00:07:58	Solana Up or Down - November 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x16e092…