Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$887

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 04-24 03:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% 0% $-19

Other

35% — —

Crypto

16% 100% +$0

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	6	$93	61	89	-28	open	—	01-16 01:51
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	4	$52	75	75	+0	open	—	01-14 07:20
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	4	$50	69	22	+47	open	—	01-28 07:57
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	2	$39	28	28	+0	open	—	04-06 13:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$39	29	61	-32	Yes	$-19	01-13 09:08
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$39	23	23	+0	open	—	01-07 12:20
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$33	17	17	+0	open	—	03-02 09:40
Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	01-25 01:57
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-29 08:50
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	04-08 00:58
another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	2	$29	29	29	+0	open	—	01-30 13:18
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$29	16	16	+0	open	—	03-21 02:49
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	03-02 04:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	03-02 09:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	2	$27	15	15	+0	open	—	03-10 01:17
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$27	14	14	+0	open	—	03-21 02:48
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$27	36	22	+14	open	—	04-22 10:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	03-21 02:50
will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	2	$25	13	13	+0	open	—	03-21 02:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	04-11 11:06
Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$18	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	03-19 14:06
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$15	24	0	+24	open	—	03-08 14:43
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	03-30 07:03
will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 09:37
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	1	$14	27	0	+27	open	—	01-28 07:24
will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	open	—	03-10 03:27
will alex honnold not complete a free solo of taipei 101 by january 31	2	$12	102	102	+0	open	—	01-23 03:39
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	1	$12	0	53	-53	open	—	01-13 09:48
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	02-23 16:58
deepseek v4 released by april 24	1	$12	41	0	+41	open	—	04-24 03:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-24 03:45:58	deepseek v4 released by april 24	No	BUY	41	28¢	$12	0x8a3b9f…
04-22 10:53:48	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	17	50¢	$8	0xb6c853…
04-22 10:47:52	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x8a1afc…
04-11 11:06:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	SELL	18	64¢	$11	0x55d4ef…
04-08 00:58:33	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x8c80fe…
04-06 15:05:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	18	70¢	$13	0xb31d8e…
04-06 13:36:23	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	SELL	28	85¢	$24	0x900a7f…
03-31 09:08:37	Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?	No	BUY	28	55¢	$15	0xbde6b8…
03-30 12:39:34	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x671891…
03-30 07:03:04	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xe802bc…
03-29 08:50:26	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4d634b…
03-25 09:37:03	will ethereum dip to 1200 in march 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x197a9d…
03-25 09:22:55	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x77bb97…
03-22 16:19:29	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0xf146cd…
03-21 02:50:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	18	73¢	$13	0x767ee9…
03-21 02:49:23	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x5e2b68…
03-21 02:48:19	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x421b2d…
03-21 02:47:31	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0xdafbc2…
03-19 14:06:13	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5ba433…
03-18 16:23:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	18	77¢	$14	0xdbab28…
03-18 15:09:55	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day in march	No	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0xc58f18…
03-18 06:38:13	Katana FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xcbec48…
03-13 15:06:23	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x953afc…
03-13 14:32:49	USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0xd2feac…
03-11 14:44:41	deepseek v4 released by march 15 678	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0xf650ac…
03-10 03:27:05	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x65005c…
03-10 01:17:39	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	15	90¢	$14	0x488ba7…
03-08 14:43:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	24	64¢	$15	0x410185…
03-08 07:39:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	15	93¢	$14	0x444737…
03-02 09:41:51	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xb5579d…
03-02 09:40:59	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x0ef21e…
03-02 04:44:03	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9ae8ef…
03-01 12:38:07	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x5e0448…
03-01 01:00:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	17	97¢	$16	0x24b098…
02-23 16:58:42	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0xed0c47…
02-20 13:35:40	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x62ebf4…
02-20 12:44:44	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf4e340…
01-30 13:18:36	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	No	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0xc6e991…
01-28 07:57:59	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0xd3ff89…
01-28 07:47:53	another critical cloudflare incident by march 31 723 844 877 246 427 922	No	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0xd6be2c…
01-28 07:24:21	tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	No	BUY	27	52¢	$14	0x0aeaf8…
01-28 07:22:41	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	No	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x8699f8…
01-25 01:57:16	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xdf4be1…
01-24 09:49:18	Zama auction clearing price above $0.03?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xce6950…
01-23 03:39:40	will alex honnold not complete a free solo of taipei 101 by january 31	Yes	SELL	102	5¢	$5	0x7fbe86…
01-21 09:51:50	will alex honnold not complete a free solo of taipei 101 by january 31	Yes	BUY	102	8¢	$8	0x220e5f…
01-16 01:51:34	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	32	65¢	$21	0x152361…
01-14 12:01:20	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	19	64¢	$12	0xd15beb…
01-14 11:09:12	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xf20e90…
01-14 07:20:02	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x0fe986…
01-14 01:49:48	will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	Yes	SELL	24	13¢	$3	0xdfb7e2…
01-13 16:12:21	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x88dfe2…
01-13 10:01:11	will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	Yes	BUY	24	31¢	$7	0x8efb54…
01-13 09:48:59	will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	Yes	SELL	53	23¢	$12	0xe21f04…
01-13 09:08:17	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	43¢	$12	0xb93edf…
01-13 08:55:13	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	29	62¢	$18	0x1bca85…
01-12 09:06:58	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0x566178…
01-12 09:02:44	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0x7691ce…
01-12 08:03:04	will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	45	31¢	$14	0x8ade70…
01-12 04:32:40	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x0d343a…
01-11 12:07:54	Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	61¢	$13	0x8f9e79…
01-11 11:12:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	45¢	$13	0x7829a7…
01-07 12:20:45	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	23	84¢	$19	0x8a6d02…
01-05 15:30:03	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	23	85¢	$20	0x8c818a…
01-04 02:42:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	42¢	$13	0x4e6fb1…
01-04 02:26:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	28	61¢	$17	0xfc9cc0…
01-04 02:25:39	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	22	41¢	$9	0xed05f4…