Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.2%

Resolved

Trades

273

lifetime

Volume

$5.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 09-11 19:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 50 days

Categories

Other

45% 56% -$15

Politics

28% 70% +$9

Tech

25% 100% +$16

Crypto

2% 100% +$1

Sports

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	45	$637	325	325	+0	Yes	+$4	05-31 17:45
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$423	214	214	+0	No	+$0	05-01 00:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$421	215	215	+0	Yes	$0	04-03 07:13
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?	16	$318	246	148	+98	Yes	+$4	06-08 12:22
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$315	210	105	+105	No	+$0	03-30 09:47
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	6	$315	210	105	+105	Yes	$0	04-03 16:19
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	2	$219	111	111	+0	No	+$2	07-08 21:03
will iran strike bahrain again in march	2	$210	105	105	+0	Yes	+$0	04-01 11:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$210	106	106	+0	Yes	+$0	04-08 11:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$210	105	105	+0	Yes	+$0	04-07 00:14
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	2	$210	106	106	+0	No	$0	04-03 11:38
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$210	105	105	+0	Yes	+$0	03-28 17:54
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$185	100	100	+0	Yes	+$7	07-29 18:00
will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	2	$108	108	0	+108	Yes	+$0	09-04 20:06
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	2	$105	105	0	+105	No	+$1	05-12 20:11
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?	1	$104	109	0	+109	Yes	+$5	05-31 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	7	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	05-06 11:05
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by May 5?	1	$97	97	0	+97	Yes	+$0	05-04 21:58
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	1	$85	86	0	+86	Yes	+$1	06-20 18:20
Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m?	10	$79	123	123	+0	Yes	+$24	06-15 19:28
grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	4	$73	37	37	+0	No	+$1	08-08 02:36
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	3	$66	70	0	+70	No	+$4	06-25 10:51
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	3	$63	50	30	+20	No	-$13	07-30 23:56
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-01 04:02
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$55	30	30	+0	Yes	+$4	06-22 18:56
gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	3	$39	20	20	+0	No	+$1	06-06 04:08
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	3	$38	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	08-29 12:23
Will "Masters of the Universe" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 36m?	3	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-04 13:54
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	2	$28	30	0	+30	Yes	+$2	07-06 10:02
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	4	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	08-15 05:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-11 19:25:16	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?	No	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x5c98bb…
09-11 19:24:37	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x511431…
09-10 02:35:57	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	7	61¢	$5	0x66731b…
09-09 21:07:10	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x1ae2c8…
09-09 10:09:43	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x1791e9…
09-06 21:27:34	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb9bbb9…
09-06 20:30:55	Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x5f9199…
09-04 20:06:55	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x805658…
09-04 20:02:52	will openais astra model be released by september 4 2026	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0xc555cf…
08-30 22:48:03	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x6ed38f…
08-30 19:24:42	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc595ed…
08-29 19:27:06	Will "The Odyssey" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 14.5m and 16m?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xbe7e67…
08-29 14:24:24	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xfac61a…
08-29 14:19:12	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0x3d527d…
08-29 12:23:03	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x3c767f…
08-29 10:01:30	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x09a013…
08-28 19:48:27	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x89690a…
08-28 19:31:57	google maps renames lake ontario to lake america by august 31 2026	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x86d7e2…
08-27 19:23:54	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Lynn Vision	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x66a81d…
08-27 19:18:30	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B	Lynn Vision	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x03a756…
08-18 14:51:15	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xd47fab…
08-15 05:06:01	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x1c4f09…
08-14 01:23:43	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0xccd5d7…
08-14 00:56:25	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xe9a1aa…
08-14 00:55:42	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc51c6f…
08-12 17:03:25	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x35be8e…
08-12 05:21:06	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x12feb4…
08-11 19:14:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-11 19:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x736a59…
08-08 21:41:21	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 140m?	No	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0x5c5557…
08-08 21:41:15	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 140m?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x2704a5…
08-08 02:36:27	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xe1cc12…
08-08 00:13:52	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x81226d…
08-07 20:23:01	Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x9e8653…
08-07 19:47:46	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x579c47…
08-07 19:47:10	grok 4pt6 released by august 7 2026 20260804192931962	No	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x49b06d…
07-30 23:56:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xac20ec…
07-30 04:08:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x061e17…
07-29 21:09:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x45e82c…
07-29 18:00:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	96¢	$96	0x065e2b…
07-25 03:04:30	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x423116…
07-24 20:12:30	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x824146…
07-24 20:06:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 24?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xe5a151…
07-23 20:23:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4d4eaa…
07-23 20:15:54	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$0	0xc39e12…
07-21 14:37:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	94	89¢	$84	0x5512a3…
07-21 14:37:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x8c09ab…
07-13 20:46:56	Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x401c4b…
07-13 06:34:55	Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb258d5…
07-08 21:03:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xf6c005…
07-08 10:27:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	111	98¢	$108	0x524aa8…
07-06 10:02:44	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0xdaddca…
07-06 10:02:43	Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?	Yes	BUY	15	95¢	$14	0x5b564f…
07-05 04:36:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x763173…
07-03 14:56:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x4654fe…
07-03 05:04:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb49114…
07-02 18:52:16	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x801730…
07-02 07:28:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x77f9a8…
07-02 04:58:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0xac9ecb…
07-02 04:57:16	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x52c440…
07-01 04:02:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa19f17…
06-30 18:33:37	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x827989…
06-30 17:45:25	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xb57aba…
06-29 23:41:46	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xcea53a…
06-29 15:58:31	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xe9dcc4…
06-28 20:52:04	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	SELL	17	92¢	$16	0x7bab04…
06-28 14:46:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x8c219a…
06-27 12:23:02	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb56095…
06-27 04:26:11	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x142754…
06-26 20:23:16	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd3b8f8…
06-26 19:56:34	Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	Yes	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x2370ad…
06-25 20:36:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x0e5428…
06-25 10:51:10	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x0de10a…
06-25 10:50:35	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xfdc6d7…
06-24 05:01:49	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x2598f4…
06-22 21:08:40	Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xfef392…
06-22 18:56:13	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xd6a404…
06-22 08:05:16	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa80861…
06-21 05:11:13	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x287354…
06-20 21:59:40	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x1c05ab…
06-20 21:59:04	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x664d27…
06-20 21:56:22	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8a65fc…
06-20 21:54:58	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xf343d0…
06-20 21:51:28	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x3dc063…
06-20 21:48:49	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x9763f7…
06-20 21:45:26	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x369340…
06-20 21:45:20	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x1fe8da…
06-20 21:36:23	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Germany	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xba57ae…
06-20 21:12:46	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x90dfd4…
06-20 20:29:07	Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x858e04…
06-20 19:54:16	Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x392697…
06-20 19:42:38	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x2f7e0b…
06-20 19:41:59	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x572619…
06-20 18:20:40	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?	Yes	BUY	86	99¢	$85	0xbba3c7…
06-19 19:58:01	Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x636ab4…
06-18 21:03:25	Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x48adc5…
06-18 20:38:29	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x482d18…
06-18 20:37:38	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x299ccd…
06-18 19:02:19	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xe32dcc…
06-18 17:42:07	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x36e176…
06-18 16:24:02	Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xde5e70…