Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 07-30 23:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

45% — —

Other

29% 100% +$1

Tech

23% 100% +$0

Crypto

3% 100% +$1

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$421	215	215	+0	open	—	04-03 07:13
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$318	214	107	+106	No	+$1	04-25 13:06
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	5	$315	210	105	+105	open	—	03-30 09:47
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	6	$315	210	105	+105	open	—	04-03 16:19
gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	2	$219	111	111	+0	open	—	07-08 21:03
will iran strike bahrain again in march	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	04-01 11:20
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$210	106	106	+0	open	—	04-08 11:03
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	04-07 00:14
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	2	$210	106	106	+0	open	—	04-03 11:38
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	2	$210	105	105	+0	open	—	03-28 17:54
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	2	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	05-12 20:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	7	$99	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	05-06 11:05
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by May 5?	1	$97	97	0	+97	Yes	+$0	05-04 21:58
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	3	$66	70	0	+70	open	—	06-25 10:51
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	3	$63	50	30	+20	open	—	07-30 23:56
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	2	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	07-01 04:02
gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	3	$39	20	20	+0	open	—	06-06 04:08
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-10 19:55
will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	07-25 03:04
gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	4	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	06-06 13:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-06 10:58
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$11	8	8	+0	open	—	06-02 05:57
will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	2	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	07-23 20:23
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$8	20	20	+0	open	—	06-28 14:46
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	06-29 15:58
will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	5	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	07-05 04:36
fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	3	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	06-20 21:36
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	3	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	05-26 19:38
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	07-03 14:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 23:56:03	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xac20ec…
07-30 04:08:45	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0x061e17…
07-29 21:09:23	uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	Yes	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x45e82c…
07-25 03:04:30	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x423116…
07-24 20:12:30	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x824146…
07-23 20:23:51	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x4d4eaa…
07-23 20:15:54	will the next claude opus model be released by july 23 2026	No	BUY	1	90¢	$0	0xc39e12…
07-08 21:03:34	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	SELL	111	100¢	$111	0xf6c005…
07-08 10:27:44	gpt 5pt6 released by july 8 2026 789	No	BUY	111	98¢	$108	0x524aa8…
07-05 04:36:31	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	16¢	$2	0x763173…
07-03 14:56:49	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x4654fe…
07-03 05:04:23	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb49114…
07-02 18:52:16	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0x801730…
07-02 07:28:25	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0x77f9a8…
07-02 04:58:13	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	6	8¢	$1	0xac9ecb…
07-02 04:57:16	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x52c440…
07-01 04:02:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa19f17…
06-29 23:41:46	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0xcea53a…
06-29 15:58:31	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xe9dcc4…
06-28 14:46:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x8c219a…
06-27 12:23:02	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb56095…
06-25 20:36:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x0e5428…
06-25 10:51:10	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x0de10a…
06-25 10:50:35	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xfdc6d7…
06-24 05:01:49	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x2598f4…
06-20 21:36:23	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Germany	SELL	7	9¢	$1	0xba57ae…
06-20 19:42:38	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x2f7e0b…
06-20 19:41:59	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 spread home 1pt5	Germany	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x572619…
06-06 13:39:51	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0x11cf9a…
06-06 13:37:13	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x1d0916…
06-06 04:08:37	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x922a6e…
06-05 23:27:04	gpt 5pt6 released by june 5 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb9acc0…
06-04 20:22:15	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0x499208…
06-04 20:21:06	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xb7c029…
06-02 06:14:23	GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xfdd20f…
06-02 05:57:47	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xb0f4d3…
05-28 19:59:25	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x8f1ae3…
05-26 19:38:44	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	30¢	$1	0xa6a278…
05-26 19:38:05	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x45e600…
05-26 19:35:42	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	30¢	$0	0xccaeb7…
05-12 20:11:59	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	105	99¢	$104	0xe05007…
05-12 20:03:40	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xcb99ea…
05-06 11:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x9d9feb…
05-06 11:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3584d9…
05-06 11:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb448cc…
05-06 11:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa3ff9f…
05-06 11:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x90c731…
05-06 11:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x152b76…
05-06 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	49	99¢	$48	0xe5a5c6…
05-06 10:58:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x9f1c7b…
05-04 21:58:16	Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by May 5?	Yes	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x903355…
05-04 15:13:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x29089c…
04-25 13:06:10	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	106	99¢	$106	0xeea984…
04-13 03:16:11	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0xce0f0f…
04-13 02:52:35	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x36a42b…
04-12 04:02:57	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$106	0x666ef7…
04-10 19:55:07	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x5df8c1…
04-10 10:39:23	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x1df3bf…
04-08 11:03:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	106	100¢	$105	0xc75a84…
04-08 06:40:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0xf915a5…
04-07 00:14:59	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xee8d53…
04-06 19:18:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x4468cb…
04-03 16:19:47	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x7fe762…
04-03 12:30:29	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0x2540f7…
04-03 12:17:09	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa43402…
04-03 12:00:09	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xdd79bb…
04-03 11:56:59	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x86d1b0…
04-03 11:39:25	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x83cc1e…
04-03 11:38:49	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0xc7f09e…
04-03 07:14:09	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	No	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x1f0963…
04-03 07:13:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	107	98¢	$105	0xe705c4…
04-01 19:23:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0xd1d151…
04-01 17:31:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	107	98¢	$105	0x1932bb…
04-01 11:54:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	107	98¢	$105	0x838822…
04-01 11:20:39	will iran strike bahrain again in march	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0xba23e3…
04-01 09:52:13	will iran strike bahrain again in march	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x4e5ccd…
03-30 09:47:38	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x3bcfe9…
03-30 03:18:50	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	101	100¢	$101	0xe81eae…
03-30 03:18:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1be9a7…
03-30 03:18:24	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9390f6…
03-29 09:35:46	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xb4847f…
03-28 17:54:41	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x5b8703…
03-27 09:36:59	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xcd14c9…