Creepy-Housing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$109

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$76

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 10-24 07:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Politics

57% 91% +$45

Tech

32% 86% -$144

Other

8% 40% -$10

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	3	$302	171	163	+8	No	-$6	06-12 15:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	8	$294	179	179	+0	Yes	+$3	06-04 14:47
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	2	$255	132	132	+0	No	+$9	05-30 06:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	2	$236	123	123	+0	No	+$10	05-28 04:06
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	2	$222	113	113	+0	No	+$4	05-27 05:39
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$216	119	119	+0	No	+$3	05-26 14:41
will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	2	$184	207	207	+0	Yes	-$184	07-02 16:40
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	1	$166	174	0	+174	No	+$9	06-18 10:14
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$152	105	52	+52	Yes	+$3	04-11 11:01
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	1	$151	154	0	+154	No	+$2	06-06 19:58
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	1	$148	151	0	+151	No	+$3	06-04 18:49
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	1	$147	165	0	+165	No	+$18	06-17 15:02
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	1	$141	146	0	+146	No	+$5	05-31 07:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	1	$132	141	0	+141	No	+$8	05-30 07:57
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$108	54	54	+0	No	+$1	05-24 07:53
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	1	$103	110	0	+110	No	+$7	06-26 08:54
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	2	$103	52	52	+0	No	+$0	04-17 09:33
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$102	51	51	+0	No	+$0	04-02 11:29
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	1	$95	100	0	+100	Yes	+$5	06-21 05:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$1	05-07 15:20
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	1	$52	0	53	-53	No	-$1	05-24 07:53
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$49	50	0	+50	Yes	+$1	03-21 03:27
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	2	$11	11	11	+0	No	-$9	09-26 02:00
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	10-24 07:56
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	1	$1	10	0	+10	No	-$1	07-31 08:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 07:56:05	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of November 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xe24974…
09-26 02:00:02	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x92155e…
09-23 04:29:59	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x6afb58…
07-31 08:04:33	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xb289ac…
07-02 16:40:07	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	SELL	207	0¢	$0	0x79de94…
06-30 17:24:31	will claude mythos 5 be restored for us customers by june 30 20260613213553562	No	BUY	207	89¢	$184	0x638520…
06-26 08:54:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	110	94¢	$103	0xae5fec…
06-21 05:43:17	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xbf8d5f…
06-18 10:14:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 19	No	BUY	174	95¢	$166	0x4418bb…
06-17 15:02:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 17	No	BUY	165	89¢	$147	0xe6d8e8…
06-12 15:50:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	8	7¢	$1	0xf647da…
06-12 13:29:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	SELL	163	91¢	$148	0x65e286…
06-10 11:30:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	No	BUY	163	94¢	$154	0xb8c9f5…
06-06 19:58:52	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	No	BUY	154	98¢	$151	0xf936e8…
06-04 18:49:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 5 9144	No	BUY	151	98¢	$148	0x439e88…
06-04 14:47:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	24	82¢	$19	0x706b87…
06-04 14:23:13	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	115	82¢	$95	0xee6e82…
06-04 14:20:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	82¢	$7	0x9d50d7…
06-04 14:15:24	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	82¢	$27	0x241d39…
06-02 03:38:36	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x02bf19…
06-02 03:28:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xe965fb…
06-02 03:06:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	82¢	$0	0x31af80…
06-02 00:49:10	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	164	81¢	$133	0x94b47b…
05-31 07:00:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	No	BUY	146	96¢	$141	0x35d116…
05-30 07:57:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	No	BUY	141	94¢	$132	0x43820f…
05-30 06:02:07	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x7b466c…
05-28 09:10:00	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?	No	BUY	132	93¢	$123	0xb409d0…
05-28 04:06:52	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0x7b3429…
05-27 07:38:15	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?	No	BUY	123	92¢	$113	0x0c34ff…
05-27 05:39:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	SELL	113	100¢	$113	0xc22c4d…
05-26 16:39:19	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	113	96¢	$109	0x2b15b6…
05-26 14:41:45	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	119	92¢	$109	0x530119…
05-24 07:53:58	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	119	89¢	$106	0xd34e48…
05-24 07:53:42	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0xd2468b…
05-24 07:53:35	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0xb30582…
05-09 16:36:51	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x2fb2f8…
05-07 15:20:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0xfaa596…
04-17 09:33:34	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0x9bc65e…
04-11 11:03:01	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xff4186…
04-11 11:01:49	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	52	98¢	$52	0xa7fd68…
04-02 11:29:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x94b87d…
04-02 11:29:15	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x0d8140…
04-01 06:23:57	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x6f1454…
03-21 03:27:53	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0xb618d8…
03-20 08:01:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x15888a…