Sophisticated-Tour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$207

Unrealized P&L

-$87

Hit rate

58.8%

Resolved

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$82

Open exposure

$918

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 10-24 14:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 34 days

Categories

Sports

49% 36% +$203

Other

43% 28% -$110

Politics

6% — —

Crypto

2% 0% -$300

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+2,687	$1,004	34¢	$918	-$87	10-24 14:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	4	$2.9K	2,145	2,145	+0	Yes	+$797	03-16 02:30
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$1.6K	1,191	1,191	+0	Spurs	+$808	05-19 04:26
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	27	$1.3K	5,495	5,415	+80	No	+$91	04-03 16:20
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	14	$1.1K	58,602	58,602	+0	No	-$334	04-16 16:33
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	1	$1.0K	2,687	0	+2,687	open	—	10-24 14:03
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	14	$861	1,172	1,172	+0	Yes	+$296	06-15 17:59
bkfibaqas chi chi2 2026 07 06	2	$859	2,982	0	+2,982	China	-$859	07-05 17:00
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$639	11,605	11,605	+0	No	-$142	04-26 02:18
nba sas hou 2026 01 20	1	$537	1,343	0	+1,343	Rockets	-$537	01-20 14:19
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	5	$498	379	379	+0	No	+$98	06-18 17:32
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$477	848	796	+52	Yes	+$235	06-07 17:39
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$430	1,256	1,256	+0	Thunder	-$259	05-27 03:00
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$387	1,884	1,884	+0	No	-$36	05-01 03:23
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:00 UTC	1	$300	1,083	0	+1,083	Down	-$300	08-19 17:01
Spurs vs. Thunder	4	$237	543	24	+519	Spurs	+$303	05-30 17:16
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	8	$225	691	691	+0	No	-$5	06-29 18:46
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	5	$180	248	245	+3	No	+$56	06-29 18:49
Thunder vs. Spurs	3	$177	267	52	+214	Spurs	+$26	05-28 15:22
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	2	$176	536	145	+391	No	-$103	06-14 16:21
Spurs vs. Thunder	6	$163	283	283	+0	Thunder	-$23	05-21 02:23
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	5	$157	223	223	+0	Yes	+$51	06-18 18:03
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	3	$147	396	396	+0	No	+$41	07-19 07:30
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$145	268	276	-8	No	-$1	06-12 11:41
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	2	$136	103	101	+2	Warriors	+$68	04-16 06:04
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$129	4,204	3,931	+273	No	-$10	06-29 18:45
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	6	$116	180	149	+32	Yes	-$1	06-29 18:50
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$99	2,500	2,500	+0	No	-$1	06-15 16:40
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$96	1,250	931	+319	No	-$4	06-23 16:08
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	2	$78	87	87	+0	No	-$5	07-22 02:27
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	1	$64	291	0	+291	No	-$64	06-16 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 14:03:41	Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	2,687	37¢	$1,004	0x6a608d…
08-19 17:01:06	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,083	28¢	$300	0x47487c…
07-22 02:27:52	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	87	42¢	$37	0x142076…
07-19 07:31:48	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	87	47¢	$41	0x351fbf…
07-19 07:30:33	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	115	13¢	$14	0x4d7f99…
07-19 07:30:22	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	339	9¢	$30	0x121a5f…
07-15 13:23:52	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	281	28¢	$80	0xa1cafe…
07-15 12:41:13	Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	2,644	2¢	$48	0x791713…
07-15 12:40:17	Exact Score: England 2 - 0 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	714	7¢	$50	0x37e425…
07-11 07:08:59	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	236	24¢	$57	0x637a99…
07-10 15:15:04	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	528	4¢	$19	0x3645c8…
07-10 15:14:40	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	SELL	58	11¢	$6	0x1ffdbf…
07-10 15:12:28	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	194	4¢	$7	0x057c2d…
07-10 15:11:56	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?	Yes	BUY	58	12¢	$7	0xa2e15f…
07-07 10:38:10	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	339	4¢	$14	0xc7be32…
07-07 10:37:37	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	396	13¢	$53	0xe2c2b6…
07-05 17:00:46	bkfibaqas chi chi2 2026 07 06	Chinese Taipei	BUY	2,156	28¢	$596	0x515d64…
07-05 09:01:04	bkfibaqas chi chi2 2026 07 06	Chinese Taipei	BUY	825	32¢	$263	0x84e6ba…
07-04 16:26:22	Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Morocco?	Yes	BUY	158	12¢	$19	0x75d0a0…
06-29 18:50:02	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0xd3dd7a…
06-29 18:49:32	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	56	74¢	$42	0x133192…
06-29 18:47:38	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	70	18¢	$13	0x6cd982…
06-29 18:46:16	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	64	6¢	$4	0xedaa60…
06-29 18:45:53	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	273	1¢	$3	0x8feb79…
06-29 18:32:29	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	53	37¢	$20	0x8ed00d…
06-29 18:31:16	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0xe27f46…
06-29 18:30:26	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0x034a45…
06-29 18:30:08	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	718	1¢	$8	0x0341ed…
06-29 18:25:07	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0x9c6007…
06-29 18:24:53	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	55	42¢	$23	0x0c461b…
06-29 18:24:07	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	136	12¢	$16	0xd3450b…
06-29 18:21:28	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	136	14¢	$19	0x668084…
06-29 18:21:07	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	134	40¢	$54	0x193cf3…
06-29 18:20:40	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x5faea9…
06-29 18:18:17	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	285	15¢	$43	0x3da289…
06-29 18:17:08	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	206	23¢	$47	0x461259…
06-29 14:45:26	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	58	19¢	$11	0xc52197…
06-27 13:59:26	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	25¢	$9	0x20eca0…
06-27 13:55:47	Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	212	25¢	$53	0x50f87f…
06-27 13:55:19	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	354	1¢	$5	0x3bbb31…
06-27 13:54:40	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	433	18¢	$78	0x7de5c4…
06-23 17:12:37	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	205	19¢	$39	0xbee7f9…
06-23 17:10:05	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	SELL	500	2¢	$10	0x958158…
06-23 16:09:11	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	32	15¢	$5	0xeda58d…
06-23 16:08:53	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	306	5¢	$15	0x170a70…
06-23 16:05:08	Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	325	8¢	$26	0x240791…
06-23 16:03:22	Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x501663…
06-23 16:03:07	Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?	Yes	BUY	312	16¢	$50	0xfff108…
06-22 11:49:38	Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	132	22¢	$29	0x3671f9…
06-22 11:48:47	Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	275	12¢	$33	0x76b25d…
06-21 14:58:41	Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	206	17¢	$35	0x8e84b5…
06-21 14:58:14	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Saudi Arabia?	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0x4ec838…
06-21 02:38:43	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,071	1¢	$15	0x80140b…
06-18 18:03:11	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	76	100¢	$76	0xdaed7b…
06-18 17:32:44	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	76	17¢	$13	0x6db8ee…
06-18 17:32:23	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	59	80¢	$47	0x70f5ec…
06-18 17:32:01	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	62	80¢	$49	0x6fffc8…
06-18 17:26:37	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	257	78¢	$201	0x048279…
06-18 16:07:44	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	147	19¢	$28	0x24bf48…
06-18 16:05:32	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	2,602	2¢	$42	0xa63655…
06-18 15:35:10	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	28¢	$9	0x3a3d99…
06-18 15:34:10	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0xb5e22b…
06-18 11:11:02	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	114	27¢	$31	0xdccf4c…
06-18 11:10:35	Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	302	53¢	$160	0xaeec9a…
06-16 18:44:40	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	267	14¢	$37	0xaf5667…
06-16 18:44:13	Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	291	22¢	$64	0x77ef8e…
06-15 17:59:18	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xcbe224…
06-15 17:51:51	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	134	74¢	$99	0x3e468b…
06-15 17:49:46	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	453	67¢	$302	0xc6a83a…
06-15 17:38:51	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x14c08e…
06-15 17:37:31	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	147	36¢	$52	0x1118ae…
06-15 17:24:24	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	210	26¢	$54	0xdc2f4d…
06-15 17:20:52	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	634	23¢	$146	0xa5ab41…
06-15 17:09:57	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x35b45c…
06-15 16:51:19	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	29	17¢	$5	0x99ab04…
06-15 16:50:30	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	47	17¢	$8	0x6dc640…
06-15 16:49:16	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	126	16¢	$20	0xd7dd73…
06-15 16:40:54	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,250	2¢	$24	0x545d86…
06-15 16:40:24	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x27fb9b…
06-15 16:37:07	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	74	15¢	$11	0xe09a88…
06-15 15:12:33	Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	283	5¢	$15	0xea740e…
06-14 16:21:55	Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	126	28¢	$35	0xb36abd…
06-14 16:21:36	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	145	25¢	$36	0x9446da…
06-14 14:54:27	Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	536	26¢	$139	0x2011f5…
06-13 16:02:51	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	257	2¢	$5	0x165e8c…
06-13 16:02:30	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	1,250	2¢	$25	0x36354d…
06-13 16:02:15	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	625	5¢	$31	0xf838a9…
06-12 11:41:15	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	54	19¢	$10	0x188c5a…
06-10 07:36:54	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	278	2¢	$5	0x368bfb…
06-09 05:03:30	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x6f80a6…
06-07 17:39:54	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	52	46¢	$24	0xa80902…
06-07 17:39:12	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	33	78¢	$26	0x602bfc…
06-07 17:37:33	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	256	78¢	$200	0xfff112…
06-06 02:38:30	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	161	29¢	$47	0x41344a…
06-03 03:31:49	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,582	2¢	$46	0xa986fc…
06-03 03:31:02	Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2,500	2¢	$50	0xac3b9c…
06-03 03:30:31	Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,250	4¢	$50	0x0c3788…
05-30 17:16:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	60	43¢	$26	0xa8b6ba…
05-30 15:38:49	Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	131	24¢	$32	0x271f4d…
05-30 15:23:57	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	146	43¢	$63	0x57d631…