Sleepy-Punishment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$602

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-03 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% 100% +$1

Other

11% 0% $-1

Crypto

10% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No		-20	$-20	100¢	$-20	$-0	06-03 10:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$132	143	143	+0	open	—	05-05 15:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$124	0	249	-249	open	—	05-04 16:08
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	1	$109	110	0	+110	No	+$1	05-04 01:36
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$106	114	0	+114	open	—	05-04 04:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3?	1	$38	39	0	+39	open	—	05-04 02:08
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzetti	2	$33	18	18	+0	McCartney Kessler	$-1	05-05 14:42
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-20 16:40
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	1	$20	0	20	-20	open	—	06-03 10:10
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in May?	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	05-29 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 14:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 10:10:04	Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x41c175…
05-29 11:29:56	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in May?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0bee3e…
05-20 16:40:01	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0x6be772…
05-20 16:35:42	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa798b3…
05-20 16:31:51	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $1.80 in May?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xb0878d…
05-05 15:00:06	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	143	46¢	$66	0x091ea7…
05-05 14:52:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	143	46¢	$66	0x79186a…
05-05 14:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2c2c4a…
05-05 14:42:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzetti	McCartney Kessler	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0x92967f…
05-05 14:40:52	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: McCartney Kessler vs Lucia Bronzetti	McCartney Kessler	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x4c752b…
05-04 16:08:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0xc10cc6…
05-04 16:06:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	15¢	$11	0x414f0d…
05-04 16:05:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	49	15¢	$7	0x0d7364…
05-04 16:04:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xef7698…
05-04 16:03:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	116	85¢	$99	0x21a391…
05-04 04:30:08	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	114	93¢	$106	0xabb8f8…
05-04 02:08:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x35525b…
05-04 01:36:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	110	99¢	$109	0x5a09cf…