Hot-Characteristic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$83

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.5%

Resolved

Trades

436

lifetime

Volume

$1.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-19

last 05-11 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 54% $-66

Other

26% — —

Sports

17% 50% $-17

Politics

2% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
si above 95 jan 2026	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	01-29 00:00
bun fre bay 2026 04 04 draw	5	$84	110	110	+0	open	—	04-04 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	3	$74	119	18	+102	open	—	04-30 13:54
elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 90 114	2	$71	36	36	+0	open	—	04-04 15:25
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	2	$46	42	41	+1	open	—	04-22 01:34
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	2	$43	32	32	+0	open	—	01-29 14:40
Thunder vs. Lakers	2	$43	25	25	+0	Thunder	+$3	05-10 02:34
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	5	$37	37	35	+1	open	—	04-28 16:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	6	$37	134	34	+100	Down	$-5	05-05 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$36	28	28	+0	Down	+$8	05-05 16:15
btc updown 5m 1776522300	2	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	04-18 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 09:15
nba hou lal 2026 04 21	4	$27	21	20	+0	open	—	04-22 05:30
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	2	$26	22	22	+0	open	—	01-30 16:56
us strike on somalia by january 31 956	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	01-26 23:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	3	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	05-01 12:03
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 40 64	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-22 16:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	04-30 13:28
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$23	14	14	+0	Pistons	+$3	05-06 01:32
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	3	$22	31	31	+0	Timberwolves	$-18	05-11 02:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$20	224	24	+200	Down	$-20	05-05 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$20	25	0	+25	open	—	04-30 14:29
Lakers vs. Rockets	4	$20	23	23	+0	open	—	04-25 02:19
btc updown 5m 1775224500	4	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	04-03 14:00
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers	3	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	04-25 05:04
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	4	$20	66	24	+42	Timberwolves	$-2	05-05 04:12
btc updown 5m 1775349900	3	$19	17	16	+1	open	—	04-05 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$19	24	0	+24	Up	$-19	05-11 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	4	$18	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	4	$17	19	2	+17	open	—	05-04 08:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 06:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x506491…
05-11 06:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0xcc9eb1…
05-11 02:07:48	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	SELL	31	7¢	$2	0xdd4a4b…
05-11 02:03:00	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x96ce8a…
05-11 01:48:07	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Spurs	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x782664…
05-10 07:49:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x3ee349…
05-10 07:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xd014e4…
05-10 02:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	144	3¢	$5	0x7d7bf8…
05-10 02:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xfe44de…
05-10 02:43:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xa4ab4a…
05-10 02:34:29	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	SELL	25	95¢	$23	0x21aee1…
05-10 02:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	26¢	$1	0x032f11…
05-10 02:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x741171…
05-10 02:23:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x80492c…
05-10 02:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf95eea…
05-10 02:19:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x106dc6…
05-10 02:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc98756…
05-10 02:17:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5169a9…
05-10 01:13:50	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x369ace…
05-09 09:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa96812…
05-09 09:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x40a55f…
05-09 09:56:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x788bc7…
05-09 09:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x1feaa0…
05-09 09:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf6fba0…
05-09 09:39:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x51b9c7…
05-09 09:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6c8e70…
05-09 09:37:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xdeb132…
05-09 09:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf8c79e…
05-09 09:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x792e2d…
05-09 09:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x9e6b45…
05-09 09:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x89c8d7…
05-09 08:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xfeff33…
05-09 08:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x85c0b7…
05-09 08:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x283a34…
05-09 08:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x589d39…
05-09 08:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x4062d4…
05-09 08:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x44800b…
05-09 08:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x80e15b…
05-09 08:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x61a08a…
05-09 00:35:29	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa0b897…
05-06 02:14:44	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0xf4cd8b…
05-06 02:14:44	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x2ee6a9…
05-06 01:32:16	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0xf2e030…
05-05 23:26:30	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x9f34ca…
05-05 16:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x68166e…
05-05 16:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	24	1¢	$0	0x2b7617…
05-05 16:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x146aa5…
05-05 16:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5ce770…
05-05 16:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x397658…
05-05 16:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x2c33b0…
05-05 16:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0x8e70d0…
05-05 16:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x546074…
05-05 16:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf44ea5…
05-05 16:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xaf42c2…
05-05 16:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd23bee…
05-05 16:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xe237b5…
05-05 16:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xd1682c…
05-05 16:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x04bfad…
05-05 16:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xbb5283…
05-05 16:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x36d4e4…
05-05 16:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x64ffe2…
05-05 16:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x52a10f…
05-05 16:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x56a244…
05-05 16:04:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x775fc7…
05-05 15:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x77ff5b…
05-05 15:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xd68525…
05-05 15:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x3eb91a…
05-05 15:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x522533…
05-05 09:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	8	85¢	$7	0xc460a7…
05-05 09:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa285cb…
05-05 09:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xfee613…
05-05 09:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xd6e5ac…
05-05 09:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xb73ff7…
05-05 09:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x5870d4…
05-05 04:37:04	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x816a81…
05-05 04:12:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x83a895…
05-05 04:08:40	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xba0edd…
05-05 03:46:52	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	SELL	24	36¢	$9	0x3a4afa…
05-05 01:46:20	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9f324b…
05-04 09:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xe6e2f7…
05-04 09:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x3b8a65…
05-04 09:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5c1265…
05-04 09:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x51e474…
05-04 08:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x50efde…
05-04 08:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xe1e28a…
05-04 08:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xd4a311…
05-04 08:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0f1994…
05-04 08:33:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd51abe…
05-03 00:56:58	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x527339…
05-03 00:23:34	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6d0529…
05-03 00:14:08	76ers vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x391b7d…
05-02 10:59:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x01474d…
05-02 10:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x73511d…
05-02 10:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd05d88…
05-02 10:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x353cab…
05-02 10:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x23fe21…
05-01 12:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$6	0x7cc347…
05-01 12:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0xaae0c4…
05-01 12:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x40d79b…
05-01 12:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x1d4e87…