Hot-Characteristic — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$9

Unrealized P&L

+$25

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

8 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$91

$91 lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$45

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-09 08:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

69% 100% +$3

Crypto

25% 0% $-7

Sports

5% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes		+59	$20	77¢	$45	+$25	05-09 00:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	2	$43	78	78	+0	Yes	+$3	05-06 06:44
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	1	$20	59	0	+59	open	—	05-09 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$11	0	11	-11	Down	$-0	05-05 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-05 16:17
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	1	$5	15	0	+15	Spurs	$-5	05-09 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-09 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-05 16:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 08:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x283a34…
05-09 00:35:29	Spurs vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xa0b897…
05-09 00:34:58	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x872f80…
05-06 06:44:52	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	78	30¢	$23	0x09ad58…
05-06 00:48:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	26¢	$20	0x9b5d2f…
05-05 16:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x397658…
05-05 16:17:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xaf42c2…
05-05 16:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x52a10f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	6	$1.49K	24	05-09 08:15
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	4	$2.76K	18	05-09 08:14
United-Designer 0xa2a0…15a1	3	$2.97K	3	05-09 08:19
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	3	$2.22K	11	05-05 16:24