Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

142

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$101

Open exposure

$77

1 position

First seen

2026-01-06

last 06-24 14:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

52% — —

Other

37% — —

Politics

9% 100% +$2

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		-122	$-70	63¢	$-77	$-7	06-24 14:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	3	$705	560	150	+410	open	—	01-30 09:23
will ethereum dip to 2400 january 26 1	2	$613	310	310	+0	open	—	01-28 10:19
will ethereum dip to 2400 in january 2026 453	5	$590	300	300	+0	open	—	01-27 16:15
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$579	300	300	+0	open	—	01-30 12:26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	27	$543	275	275	+0	open	—	04-18 08:43
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$531	270	270	+0	open	—	05-12 18:13
Fogo FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$471	478	0	+478	open	—	01-10 07:13
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	2	$460	240	240	+0	open	—	01-17 18:44
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	7	$413	215	215	+0	open	—	04-07 20:51
Over $40M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$413	419	0	+419	open	—	01-06 12:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$398	400	0	+400	open	—	03-28 08:11
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$392	200	200	+0	open	—	04-14 11:12
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$390	200	200	+0	open	—	04-24 14:05
Over $70M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	1	$387	390	0	+390	open	—	02-04 02:42
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	2	$385	200	199	+1	open	—	04-04 09:40
will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	1	$360	370	0	+370	open	—	02-06 11:57
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	2	$316	160	160	+0	open	—	04-17 19:44
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$302	160	160	+0	open	—	05-15 14:22
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$302	310	0	+310	open	—	03-28 08:09
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	3	$288	150	150	+0	open	—	04-25 09:03
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	6	$285	150	150	+0	open	—	04-24 02:53
will the fed cutcutcut in the next three decisions octdecjan	2	$269	135	135	+0	open	—	01-28 04:58
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$242	122	122	+0	open	—	03-25 21:35
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$239	120	120	+0	open	—	02-27 14:47
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$238	130	130	+0	open	—	02-11 15:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$223	120	120	+0	Yes	+$2	04-21 13:19
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	3	$205	105	105	+0	Yes	+$1	04-19 23:54
EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$199	100	100	+0	open	—	03-26 01:57
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$197	100	100	+0	open	—	02-24 14:20
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$197	200	0	+200	open	—	03-28 09:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 14:00:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	122	57¢	$70	0x848c03…
05-26 06:45:24	Solstice FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0xe35594…
05-15 14:22:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	160	95¢	$152	0x7d88a6…
05-12 18:13:07	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	270	98¢	$266	0x9a57d0…
05-08 02:37:12	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	SELL	93	98¢	$91	0x5e27e8…
05-08 02:00:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x3db844…
05-07 12:12:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	270	98¢	$265	0xeee70d…
05-06 09:41:04	Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in May?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x7c36ce…
04-27 07:26:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	178	99¢	$176	0x512c76…
04-27 07:25:48	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xfbc984…
04-27 07:25:26	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xef724e…
04-27 07:24:58	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0xc9525a…
04-25 09:03:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	150	97¢	$145	0x267dc9…
04-24 14:05:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$195	0x8168e0…
04-24 02:53:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$6	0x257e96…
04-24 02:52:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	SELL	143	97¢	$139	0xeeb338…
04-24 02:34:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$194	0x050598…
04-22 05:30:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	58	93¢	$54	0x36cdeb…
04-22 05:03:06	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xa7378d…
04-22 03:34:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0xbf50e9…
04-22 03:10:14	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x952d2e…
04-21 14:29:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xe5211d…
04-21 13:19:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	120	94¢	$113	0xd3ad47…
04-19 23:54:44	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	29	98¢	$29	0x7bac96…
04-19 22:52:38	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	76	98¢	$74	0x3e0b2e…
04-18 08:43:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x9275e0…
04-18 08:28:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	59	100¢	$58	0x7519d6…
04-17 19:44:04	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	160	99¢	$159	0x2d47b7…
04-17 07:22:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xf77e61…
04-17 06:24:32	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	105	98¢	$102	0x600500…
04-17 06:22:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0xb33382…
04-15 08:15:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x867442…
04-14 15:45:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xd30d85…
04-14 15:45:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x36a0d3…
04-14 15:44:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x31cec0…
04-14 15:44:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfac673…
04-14 15:44:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5f3dc9…
04-14 15:44:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4d9c68…
04-14 15:44:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1327c4…
04-14 15:44:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xe726d8…
04-14 15:44:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x68e230…
04-14 15:44:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7537c9…
04-14 15:44:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe010bd…
04-14 15:44:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x17b779…
04-14 15:44:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x045dc9…
04-14 15:43:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9eca65…
04-14 15:43:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7ed3da…
04-14 15:43:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x59daaf…
04-14 15:43:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x440e28…
04-14 15:43:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x055d66…
04-14 15:43:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xa90002…
04-14 15:43:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x39adff…
04-14 15:43:29	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x7aba1c…
04-14 15:43:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x0af3db…
04-14 15:42:39	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x94adcf…
04-14 11:12:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0xabd20a…
04-13 13:58:03	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	113	96¢	$108	0x135f86…
04-13 13:57:25	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	37	96¢	$36	0x080c1f…
04-13 12:39:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x181318…
04-13 12:38:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	180	98¢	$177	0x6f1aeb…
04-07 20:51:17	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	130	97¢	$126	0x228a5c…
04-04 09:40:31	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	SELL	199	97¢	$193	0x1d4f63…
04-03 07:07:59	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	130	97¢	$126	0xe071e5…
04-03 07:06:37	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0x93aac1…
04-03 07:05:31	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0xdfadd2…
03-31 07:57:53	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	18	90¢	$16	0x6201ea…
03-28 09:18:55	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	48	99¢	$48	0x40744e…
03-28 09:09:07	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x354ae1…
03-28 08:32:19	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x0ef0bf…
03-28 08:11:43	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0xa1e27a…
03-28 08:11:11	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	400	99¢	$398	0xff1100…
03-28 08:10:37	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	113	99¢	$111	0xefe3ef…
03-28 08:10:01	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x7e329d…
03-28 08:09:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	310	97¢	$302	0x8ee2ec…
03-26 01:57:51	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4e1ac1…
03-25 21:35:37	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0xb081b2…
03-24 07:58:25	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x0ae7e6…
03-24 07:56:01	EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8df0b4…
03-24 07:50:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	122	99¢	$121	0xd3007a…
02-27 14:47:45	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	120	100¢	$119	0x0e7c21…
02-24 14:20:20	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xb2f796…
02-24 12:54:22	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	120	99¢	$119	0x173dd2…
02-19 06:32:26	USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0xf0382b…
02-18 06:09:12	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$26	0x2c5dac…
02-16 02:54:55	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x5b226b…
02-16 02:54:51	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xcdf88f…
02-13 14:58:31	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0x023b8a…
02-11 15:09:25	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0x356729…
02-11 15:06:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x6d9639…
02-11 15:03:05	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xbf57ae…
02-11 15:03:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	85	92¢	$78	0xd26295…
02-11 14:42:07	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xc0aee0…
02-11 13:54:43	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	93	98¢	$91	0xe3408d…
02-11 02:32:43	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x9ef60a…
02-11 02:32:17	USD.AI FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x466964…
02-11 02:30:47	EdgeX FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0x326e25…
02-07 05:55:05	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	80	95¢	$76	0x73f8ac…
02-06 11:58:07	EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	80	95¢	$76	0xd41215…
02-06 11:57:17	will bitcoin dip to 35k in february 2026 579 178 738	No	BUY	370	97¢	$360	0xb5ee2d…
02-05 13:24:23	Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x632cb7…