Radiant-Spy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.29K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.6%

Resolved

418

Trades

311,288

lifetime

Volume

$8.92M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 05-28 11:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 43% $-4,286

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 6114 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 17 3pm et	1,703	$75.6K	134,667	0	+134,667	open	—	02-17 21:00
bitcoin up or down february 17 6pm et	1,047	$70.9K	130,878	0	+130,878	open	—	02-17 23:52
bitcoin up or down february 17 6am et	1,239	$47.7K	75,922	0	+75,922	open	—	02-17 12:00
bitcoin up or down february 28 4pm et	572	$42.1K	65,277	0	+65,277	open	—	02-28 21:53
bitcoin up or down february 28 2pm et	405	$39.2K	64,273	0	+64,273	open	—	02-28 19:49
bitcoin up or down february 28 11pm et	437	$36.5K	62,291	0	+62,291	open	—	03-01 04:55
bitcoin up or down march 1 2am et	506	$36.4K	62,735	0	+62,735	open	—	03-01 07:54
bitcoin up or down february 24 2pm et	478	$34.1K	61,652	0	+61,652	open	—	02-24 19:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	76	$33.6K	54,261	23,854	+30,407	open	—	02-28 21:38
bitcoin up or down february 12 12pm et	1,963	$33.3K	61,490	0	+61,490	open	—	02-12 17:55
bitcoin up or down march 1 3am et	578	$30.8K	54,368	0	+54,368	open	—	03-01 08:54
bitcoin up or down february 25 4pm et	668	$29.4K	59,111	0	+59,111	open	—	02-25 21:53
bitcoin up or down march 2 11am et	331	$28.6K	47,728	0	+47,728	open	—	03-02 16:54
bitcoin up or down february 17 7am et	1,004	$28.4K	54,396	0	+54,396	open	—	02-17 12:59
bitcoin up or down february 28 5am et	411	$28.3K	46,320	0	+46,320	open	—	02-28 10:54
bitcoin up or down february 17 2am et	902	$26.5K	44,681	0	+44,681	open	—	02-17 08:00
bitcoin up or down february 14 12am et	989	$26.2K	47,265	0	+47,265	open	—	02-14 06:00
bitcoin up or down february 28 4am et	305	$25.9K	40,344	0	+40,344	open	—	02-28 09:53
bitcoin up or down february 28 2am et	285	$25.4K	36,783	0	+36,783	open	—	02-28 07:40
bitcoin up or down february 12 6pm et	658	$25.2K	41,956	0	+41,956	open	—	02-13 00:00
bitcoin up or down february 9 5pm et	870	$24.3K	41,052	0	+41,052	open	—	02-09 23:00
bitcoin up or down february 27 3pm et	222	$24.2K	34,547	0	+34,547	open	—	02-27 20:54
bitcoin up or down february 28 5pm et	317	$24.2K	43,263	0	+43,263	open	—	02-28 22:47
bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 5pm et	578	$23.8K	48,120	0	+48,120	open	—	03-16 21:54
bitcoin up or down february 28 9pm et	426	$23.7K	40,798	0	+40,798	open	—	03-01 02:50
bitcoin up or down february 27 11pm et	399	$23.3K	46,840	0	+46,840	open	—	02-28 04:53
bitcoin up or down february 28 11am et	265	$23.3K	39,165	0	+39,165	open	—	02-28 16:53
bitcoin up or down february 12 10am et	804	$23.2K	40,079	0	+40,079	open	—	02-12 15:58
bitcoin up or down february 27 5pm et	555	$23.1K	52,091	0	+52,091	open	—	02-27 22:46
bitcoin up or down february 15 10pm et	911	$22.9K	39,618	0	+39,618	open	—	02-16 03:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 11:09:42	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	3,709	15¢	$556	0x726a2c…
05-28 10:37:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x90cf27…
05-28 09:22:36	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x336dea…
05-28 08:19:03	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x165bfd…
05-28 02:32:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x7c3bb1…
05-28 02:04:41	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x8e5578…
05-28 02:00:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xb644ff…
05-28 01:54:10	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	No	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xb5d046…
05-12 02:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1,571	98¢	$1,538	0x9afc1f…
05-09 21:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x1ce5a2…
05-09 21:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x72a39b…
05-09 21:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xcb18f5…
05-09 21:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xc8e325…
05-09 21:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x5c57ad…
05-09 21:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4469e8…
05-09 21:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	47¢	$17	0xf06f0e…
05-09 21:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	41	47¢	$19	0xb8ab27…
05-09 21:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x555a19…
05-09 21:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0xffe136…
05-09 21:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	75	53¢	$40	0xd53485…
05-09 21:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x03e481…
05-09 21:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0x0267cf…
05-09 21:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xa1cad7…
05-09 21:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0x64ef05…
05-09 21:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0x38a143…
05-09 21:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x77957b…
05-09 21:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	75	69¢	$52	0x71b7bb…
05-09 21:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	69¢	$13	0x640e83…
05-09 21:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0xe9e2f0…
05-09 21:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x44ed3a…
05-09 21:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	45	48¢	$21	0x25c8b9…
05-09 20:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xdfcd5e…
05-09 20:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0xdb68f3…
05-09 20:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xb6abdf…
05-09 20:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	84	21¢	$18	0x690d41…
05-09 20:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xf30100…
05-09 20:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xa3e188…
05-09 20:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x9adb31…
05-09 20:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x862d02…
05-09 20:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x5267ec…
05-09 20:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x00db80…
05-09 20:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x9cc58a…
05-09 20:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x48f1c7…
05-09 20:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x25f005…
05-09 20:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x1a87f4…
05-09 20:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0x1881d1…
05-09 20:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	48¢	$19	0xcc00ec…
05-09 20:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	38	51¢	$20	0x1c6653…
05-09 20:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	62	51¢	$31	0x1783e5…
05-09 20:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	46¢	$16	0xb76643…
05-09 20:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x8c7ebe…
05-09 20:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x702d4f…
05-09 20:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x54a3d3…
05-09 20:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$4	0x1d3ae4…
05-09 20:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	48¢	$24	0x39c1ac…
05-09 20:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa81a18…
05-09 20:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x45831c…
05-09 20:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	57¢	$21	0x3173e2…
05-09 20:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xebedc1…
05-09 20:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0xeb436a…
05-09 20:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xdc1a07…
05-09 20:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xd7db8e…
05-09 20:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xacfcac…
05-09 20:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xa7e3f2…
05-09 20:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xa148e3…
05-09 20:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x8f035a…
05-09 20:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	15	57¢	$9	0x32e61c…
05-09 20:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x62891f…
05-09 20:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	87	64¢	$56	0x036fc7…
05-09 20:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	58	66¢	$38	0xc89308…
05-09 20:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	55	70¢	$39	0x3a667b…
05-09 20:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xeb418e…
05-09 20:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xcf0f19…
05-09 20:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x44d396…
05-09 20:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xe99d80…
05-09 20:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xe58dbb…
05-09 20:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0xc0f815…
05-09 20:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0xb30a54…
05-09 20:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	57	31¢	$18	0x8ba3fa…
05-09 20:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xbfc1c2…
05-09 20:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	72	30¢	$21	0x016c8a…
05-09 20:52:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	236	50¢	$118	0x2b76e9…
05-09 20:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	43	50¢	$21	0xb8a12a…
05-09 20:51:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x380ab4…
05-09 20:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0xe19b31…
05-09 20:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xd36bf6…
05-09 20:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	64¢	$64	0xc863d2…
05-09 20:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x49e4d2…
05-09 20:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	237	23¢	$54	0xa63036…
05-09 20:43:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	206	9¢	$18	0x665d7d…
05-09 20:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	216	9¢	$20	0x428821…
05-09 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	252	21¢	$54	0xe679df…
05-09 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0xa559e7…
05-09 20:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x971322…
05-09 20:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0xc6a4fb…
05-09 20:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	14	29¢	$4	0xabcccd…
05-09 20:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	29¢	$3	0x5f529f…
05-09 20:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	29¢	$0	0xf7cdf6…
05-09 20:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xf78d69…
05-09 20:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x9214ff…