Lean-Licensing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$315

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 07-24 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

88% 100% +$48

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	05-15 08:33
Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	2	$989	510	510	+0	open	—	05-13 07:06
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$896	455	455	+0	open	—	05-10 08:57
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	2	$891	460	460	+0	open	—	05-16 06:57
Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)	1	$517	534	0	+534	open	—	05-15 09:21
Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	1	$509	515	0	+515	open	—	05-14 07:39
Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)	1	$504	510	0	+510	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	+$6	05-13 07:14
Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	1	$477	490	0	+490	Al Ahli Saudi Club	+$13	05-11 11:35
Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)	1	$450	455	0	+455	open	—	05-16 07:02
Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	1	$448	492	0	+492	open	—	05-17 05:55
Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)	1	$446	475	0	+475	RCD Mallorca	+$28	05-10 09:03
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	6	$86	840	840	+0	open	—	07-05 07:23
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$2	32	32	+0	open	—	07-24 09:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 09:11:58	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	4¢	$1	0xe77ae5…
07-24 09:04:00	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	4¢	$1	0x65f23d…
07-05 07:23:49	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	Yes	SELL	410	5¢	$20	0xef9d17…
07-05 07:23:25	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x9da5ee…
07-05 07:22:58	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	Yes	SELL	330	5¢	$18	0x1d2506…
07-05 07:22:38	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	Yes	SELL	50	5¢	$3	0x412790…
07-05 05:16:38	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	Yes	BUY	410	5¢	$20	0xeaa97a…
07-05 05:16:17	will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	Yes	BUY	430	5¢	$22	0x2c3864…
05-17 05:55:31	Spread: CD Unión La Calera (-1.5)	CD Huachipato	BUY	492	91¢	$448	0x2fa713…
05-16 07:02:58	Spread: 1. FC Köln (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	455	99¢	$450	0xda15a0…
05-16 06:57:52	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	460	97¢	$446	0x0f643d…
05-16 05:56:28	Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	460	97¢	$445	0x6d0153…
05-15 09:21:24	Spread: Auckland FC (-2.5)	Adelaide United FC	BUY	534	97¢	$517	0x2efc5b…
05-15 08:33:15	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	520	99¢	$514	0x49041f…
05-15 07:33:29	Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	520	99¢	$513	0xbef251…
05-14 07:39:46	Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)	Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club	BUY	515	99¢	$509	0x07d430…
05-13 07:14:16	Spread: Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5)	El Mokawloon El Arab SC	BUY	510	99¢	$504	0x1ecf56…
05-13 07:06:32	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	510	98¢	$500	0x138920…
05-13 03:28:34	Will Russia capture Lyman by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	510	96¢	$490	0x3957df…
05-11 11:35:51	Spread: Al Taawoun Saudi Club (-2.5)	Al Ahli Saudi Club	BUY	490	97¢	$477	0x86cf42…
05-10 09:03:13	Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)	RCD Mallorca	BUY	475	94¢	$446	0x216194…
05-10 08:57:42	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	455	98¢	$448	0x1db5fc…
05-10 06:05:44	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	455	98¢	$448	0xf696d3…