Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
119
lifetime
Volume
$1.44K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$100
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-07
last 06-09 21:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64%
Politics
36%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? No +26 $24 94¢ $24 +$0 06-08 03:49
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +23 $21 93¢ $21 $-0 06-08 19:40
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 06-10 01:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -7 $-6 90¢ $-7 $-0 06-10 01:01
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -12 $-5 44¢ $-5 $-0 06-08 13:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -8 $-5 64¢ $-5 +$0 06-09 13:30
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes -16 $-4 26¢ $-4 $-0 06-08 13:50
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -6 $-3 55¢ $-3 +$0 06-07 21:40
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -8 $-3 40¢ $-3 $-0 06-08 13:49
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -9 $-3 32¢ $-3 $-0 06-08 13:49
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes -15 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-09 21:19
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes -25 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-08 01:31
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 $-0 06-10 01:41
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of June? No -6 $-1 18¢ $-1 +$0 06-09 19:53