Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$86

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-08

last 11-01 07:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Other

68% 58% -$2

Politics

31% 36% -$14

Tech

1% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-08 04:29
Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	1	$2	7	+7	Yes	-$2	09-09 12:02
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	1	$2	6	+6	Yes	-$2	09-08 17:20
will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-11 17:23
will trump say drug or murderer 10 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234681	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-12 09:55
will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during tele rally 20260809153916673	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$1	08-10 15:05
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	1	$2	4	+4	No	-$2	08-09 10:41
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	1	$2	8	+8	Yes	-$2	09-07 12:48
will trump say think about it during remarks in new york 20260811183234684	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-12 01:52
will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	1	$2	6	+6	No	+$3	08-23 05:09
will rklb dip to 78 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-17 04:20
will wti reach 95 in august 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-20 08:36
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$2	7	+7	No	-$2	08-09 02:37
will rklb dip to 72 by august 10 2026	1	$2	10	+10	No	-$2	08-09 22:29
will hims say regulation during earnings call 20260807205625288	1	$2	9	+9	No	-$2	08-10 06:30
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 31 2026?	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	09-02 14:49
will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	1	$2	4	+4	No	+$2	08-11 09:21
will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	1	$2	4	+4	Yes	-$2	08-12 18:00
ng up or down on august 19 2026	1	$2	7	+7	Down	-$2	08-19 18:45
will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-13 03:17
will xagusd dip to 64 by august 31 2026 from september 2	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	09-03 04:01
grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-11 00:52
plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-08 18:36
will tsla dip to 337 50 by august 17 2026	1	$2	3	+3	Yes	+$1	08-17 12:32
will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	1	$2	3	+3	No	+$1	08-18 04:51
will wti reach 90 in august 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	08-17 20:49
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	No	-$1	10-06 22:33
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	1	$1	5	+5	open	—	11-01 07:04
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	-$1	10-16 03:45
spy up or down on october 1 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Up	-$1	10-01 11:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 07:04:28	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 3, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x08a035…
10-16 03:45:13	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa7db05…
10-15 18:26:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd77524…
10-15 09:49:22	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x148664…
10-15 01:11:50	will the tesla roadsters 0 60 time be less than 1 second	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x2b33fd…
10-10 16:40:09	Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q3 investment banking revenue be above $2.3B?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x429914…
10-10 01:06:19	Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd960cf…
10-09 03:30:56	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x430758…
10-08 19:29:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x912a79…
10-08 04:30:50	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $3.10 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x6b9cd0…
10-08 04:20:41	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xd134b3…
10-07 06:39:38	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 7?	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf8cecc…
10-06 22:33:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb6ff0f…
10-06 02:28:42	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $180 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xcfc905…
10-05 16:08:47	will mu dip to 1020 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x22748c…
10-05 00:46:07	will nvda reach 240 by october 5 2026	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7db0a1…
10-05 00:40:43	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x5da09b…
10-02 12:54:21	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4ed9fa…
10-02 03:06:06	Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x95e55a…
10-01 11:37:06	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7c82ac…
10-01 03:32:30	trump names ai czar by october 4 2026 20260928	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb72aab…
09-30 18:53:03	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xca176a…
09-30 08:06:27	spx up or down on september 30 2026	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x7977db…
09-26 07:48:11	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc4adec…
09-25 21:55:24	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $80 in September?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8e3145…
09-25 13:53:54	trump renames ai by september 30	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x8c73e2…
09-25 04:02:39	will xauusd reach 4300 in september 2026 from september 24	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x527c38…
09-24 15:37:26	Will Costco say "GLP-1" or "GLP 1" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x4856a8…
09-09 12:02:16	Will Trump say "Radical Left" during RNC Convention?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x319bd4…
09-08 17:20:01	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x34883b…
09-08 04:29:12	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 7	No	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x5751e5…
09-07 12:48:19	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?	No	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0xcdea91…
09-03 04:01:36	will xagusd dip to 64 by august 31 2026 from september 2	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xfd5426…
09-02 14:49:48	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of August 31 2026?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xf3c3aa…
08-23 05:09:00	will xauusd reach 4700 in august 2026	No	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xffd75c…
08-20 08:36:01	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0xaac863…
08-19 18:45:30	ng up or down on august 19 2026	Up	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x504a9b…
08-18 04:51:15	will openais astra model be released by august 31 2026 20260801214557731	No	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdd3b37…
08-17 20:49:36	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0a01f0…
08-17 12:32:27	will tsla dip to 337 50 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x4ea3aa…
08-17 04:20:42	will rklb dip to 78 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x0e4656…
08-13 03:17:22	will trump say stock market during remarks in new york 20260811183234690	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x9ba507…
08-12 18:00:00	will trump say kamala during remarks in new york 20260811183234697	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xc60c4a…
08-12 09:55:19	will trump say drug or murderer 10 times during remarks in new york 20260811183234681	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x4828a1…
08-12 01:52:54	will trump say think about it during remarks in new york 20260811183234684	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x8f9f4e…
08-11 17:23:54	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 21 2026	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0xe182ad…
08-11 09:21:55	will xagusd reach 67 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb8f3e5…
08-11 00:52:16	grok 4pt6 released by august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x838557…
08-10 15:05:31	will trump say oil or gas or gasoline during tele rally 20260809153916673	No	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xcfe806…
08-10 06:30:04	will hims say regulation during earnings call 20260807205625288	Yes	BUY	9	26¢	$2	0xc287d6…
08-09 22:29:28	will rklb dip to 72 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x959525…
08-09 10:41:43	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xa97956…
08-09 02:37:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0xd39973…
08-08 18:36:13	plby quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 10 2026 0	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x6c76c5…