Absolute-Son — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.7%

Resolved

176

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$653

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-03 23:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 72% -$9

Other

11% 50% -$5

Politics

2% 50% -$2

Sports

2% 67% -$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	7	$31	31	15	+15	Up	-$1	05-29 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	7	$30	31	16	+16	Up	+$0	05-29 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	7	$25	30	10	+19	Up	+$7	05-29 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	8	$24	24	24	+0	Down	$0	06-02 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$22	21	10	+10	Down	-$2	05-29 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$22	21	11	+10	Up	-$1	05-29 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	6	$19	16	16	+0	Up	+$1	05-30 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	4	$19	16	11	+5	Down	+$1	05-29 16:17
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco?	2	$18	22	22	+0	No	-$2	06-30 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$17	31	0	+31	Up	-$2	05-29 19:06
will data center be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 855	3	$16	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	02-03 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$13	21	0	+21	Up	-$3	05-29 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	4	$12	11	11	+0	Up	-$3	05-30 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$11	11	6	+5	Up	+$0	05-29 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	4	$11	12	8	+4	Up	+$2	05-30 01:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	3	$11	11	5	+5	Down	$0	05-29 15:53
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$0	05-29 05:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	3	$10	12	5	+6	Up	+$0	05-29 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$10	11	5	+5	Up	$0	05-29 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$10	10	5	+5	Down	$0	05-29 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$9	10	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-29 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-29 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-29 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$8	5	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-29 16:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-29 19:02
highest temperature in miami on january 28 64 65f	6	$8	7	7	+0	No	-$2	01-28 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:30 UTC	7	$7	32	0	+32	Down	-$7	07-03 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-31 04:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 04:45 UTC	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$5	03-13 05:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-12 03:15 UTC	3	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	02-12 03:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 23:48:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x7fc1f0…
07-03 23:47:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4f0d68…
07-03 23:47:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd6be3a…
07-03 23:46:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcd5ce7…
07-03 22:33:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x84f82b…
07-03 22:33:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x13fcb4…
07-03 22:31:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc3cd52…
07-03 22:30:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x4eb637…
07-03 22:30:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xa269ef…
07-03 22:30:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xcffb25…
07-03 22:30:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe7d80a…
07-03 22:27:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x33d203…
07-03 22:26:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-03 22:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xba0d20…
06-30 02:47:50	Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco?	No	SELL	22	36¢	$8	0x6b0f9e…
06-30 02:45:25	Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Morocco?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x2c776f…
06-28 19:44:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-28 19:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xf9988f…
06-17 21:49:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5fd732…
06-17 21:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x204b34…
06-17 21:09:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc781b9…
06-17 19:54:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 19:50 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1618f5…
06-02 00:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x34647d…
06-02 00:05:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x3edee1…
06-02 00:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xa8c0c0…
06-02 00:04:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x7c99c1…
06-02 00:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$4	0x4458cd…
06-02 00:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	6	42¢	$3	0x401c59…
06-02 00:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x71d901…
06-02 00:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	6	44¢	$3	0x3adc85…
05-31 04:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x370d63…
05-31 04:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x9335b2…
05-31 04:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xb47ed1…
05-31 04:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf91a73…
05-31 04:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x17860a…
05-31 04:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5bd179…
05-31 00:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6ad4b1…
05-31 00:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x683ce2…
05-31 00:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x26d61a…
05-31 00:29:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x9e218a…
05-31 00:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xda72b5…
05-31 00:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x5e44e6…
05-31 00:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3f2cdb…
05-31 00:12:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2c9fbf…
05-30 23:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x4b43b2…
05-30 03:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5201c4…
05-30 03:41:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xd23c04…
05-30 03:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb3ce6a…
05-30 02:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc09cf5…
05-30 01:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x436041…
05-30 01:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7353c7…
05-30 01:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xd71ded…
05-30 01:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x3fc166…
05-30 01:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0e34c8…
05-30 01:24:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xa783dd…
05-30 01:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xec5b13…
05-30 01:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0x79eef3…
05-30 01:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xff56f2…
05-30 01:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6a4588…
05-30 01:18:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x1f4b9f…
05-30 01:18:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x1f1d43…
05-30 01:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x3ffa72…
05-30 01:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x382e3c…
05-30 01:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x46e8a9…
05-29 19:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf501ab…
05-29 19:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x323ceb…
05-29 19:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x40ef7c…
05-29 19:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1de69a…
05-29 19:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xbb9bf9…
05-29 19:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xda9317…
05-29 19:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x0ab0b5…
05-29 19:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd4cf8b…
05-29 19:06:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8a26a7…
05-29 19:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x263aeb…
05-29 19:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf429b4…
05-29 19:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$4	0x8f83e2…
05-29 19:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x49e826…
05-29 18:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x70b529…
05-29 18:57:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xc8ed5b…
05-29 18:57:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x20dfbd…
05-29 18:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x287f48…
05-29 18:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x868b6a…
05-29 18:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x8af2d4…
05-29 18:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$3	0x5400b4…
05-29 18:38:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0xadb4d6…
05-29 18:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd3a92a…
05-29 18:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x068537…
05-29 18:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	83¢	$9	0x7dd089…
05-29 18:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x24b97d…
05-29 18:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x8638db…
05-29 18:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8cecbe…
05-29 18:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0xadc447…
05-29 18:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9b9796…
05-29 18:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xee5d64…
05-29 18:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x459658…
05-29 18:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc75f69…
05-29 18:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x8ebc7a…
05-29 18:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc6cec2…
05-29 18:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x2ebbde…
05-29 18:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x826a3d…
05-29 16:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$4	0xd02f55…
05-29 16:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe7eb72…