Whole-Slip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.5%

Resolved

Trades

119

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-28 09:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 57 days

Categories

Crypto

45% 94% +$20

Other

45% 0% -$3

Politics

10% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	6	$598	300	300	+0	No	$0	01-22 15:57
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$399	200	200	+0	No	$0	03-07 09:52
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	4	$398	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-21 11:15
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	3	$269	135	135	+0	No	$0	04-29 06:42
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$269	135	135	+0	No	$0	05-20 13:40
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$269	134	134	+0	No	$0	05-27 10:53
Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$268	134	134	+0	open	—	08-06 12:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$268	134	134	+0	No	$0	07-07 07:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$268	134	134	+0	No	$0	09-08 09:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$268	134	134	+0	No	$0	09-28 09:10
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	2	$268	134	134	+0	No	$0	03-27 11:55
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$267	135	135	+0	open	—	05-13 13:07
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$267	134	134	+0	open	—	06-22 13:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$267	134	134	+0	No	$0	03-25 13:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$265	134	134	+0	No	$0	03-30 12:29
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 100 119	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-02 10:40
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-12 12:47
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-02 11:31
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-23 06:25
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-04 12:28
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 360 379	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-07 08:52
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-18 11:20
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-09 08:21
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-23 07:38
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-16 05:11
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-31 04:19
elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 240plus	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-27 16:03
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-20 04:42
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-10 14:25
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 500 519	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-17 13:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 09:11:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xbfa08c…
09-28 09:10:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xe8e389…
09-28 09:10:02	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x4ef260…
09-08 09:45:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 8?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x06cbc5…
09-08 09:44:34	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x1eadba…
09-08 09:44:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x48bd07…
08-06 12:46:03	bitcoin above 62k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x01803f…
08-06 12:44:42	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x4e96d3…
08-06 12:44:30	Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x3f1191…
07-07 07:30:11	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x0b42cb…
07-07 07:29:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0xaf45c7…
07-07 07:29:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xb38182…
06-22 13:46:40	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 22	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0xb826c0…
06-22 13:43:47	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	134	99¢	$133	0x9b50f1…
06-22 13:43:23	Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	134	99¢	$134	0x387bd3…
05-27 10:54:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x638851…
05-27 10:53:31	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x8ae1c5…
05-27 10:53:14	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x02f91b…
05-20 13:40:57	Will Bitcoin dip to $71,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x1fe27e…
05-20 13:40:21	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	135	100¢	$134	0x234991…
05-20 13:40:12	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0x81d89d…
05-13 13:08:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x652f3f…
05-13 13:07:51	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	135	99¢	$134	0x1ea355…
05-13 13:07:30	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	135	99¢	$134	0x3cd5e2…
04-29 06:42:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 29?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x3bfb15…
04-29 06:42:10	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x6487a3…
04-29 06:41:28	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x1421e8…
04-29 06:41:22	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$135	0x148bca…
04-25 09:01:54	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0x549fb0…
04-23 13:28:52	will bitcoin reach 85k on april 23	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0x058e31…
04-21 05:16:20	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xae4c02…
04-02 08:09:09	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x33417a…
03-30 12:29:58	will bitcoin dip to 60k on march 30	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x86242b…
03-30 12:29:36	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	134	98¢	$132	0x5340e4…
03-30 12:29:26	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	134	99¢	$133	0xd55e2c…
03-27 11:59:27	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x106a77…
03-27 11:55:23	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	No	SELL	134	100¢	$134	0x7f292a…
03-27 11:54:43	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 80 99	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0xfa25bf…
03-25 13:56:45	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 25	No	BUY	134	100¢	$134	0x0f1c91…
03-25 13:56:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	134	100¢	$133	0x2fe1fc…
03-25 13:56:03	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	134	100¢	$133	0xccac8d…
03-23 07:38:39	bitcoin above 74k on march 23	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x49a24c…
03-23 07:38:13	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x1c6719…
03-23 07:38:01	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xacce96…
03-20 04:43:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 20	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7da21f…
03-20 04:42:47	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x337b2a…
03-20 04:42:25	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8bc991…
03-17 13:38:29	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 18	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x024567…
03-17 13:38:01	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 500 519	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xdb1111…
03-17 13:37:49	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 500 519	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x375770…
03-16 05:11:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5181d4…
03-16 05:11:05	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x7f5177…
03-16 05:10:53	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5d31d2…
03-12 12:48:13	bitcoin above 66k on march 12	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6a3bf0…
03-12 12:47:47	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xfc76f1…
03-12 12:47:35	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 460 479	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb14e80…
03-10 14:26:21	bitcoin above 66k on march 10	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb22864…
03-10 14:25:55	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xcf3df8…
03-10 14:25:39	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x035b53…
03-07 09:52:49	bitcoin above 60k on march 7	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd258cb…
03-07 09:52:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa17989…
03-07 09:52:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x414745…
03-04 08:38:43	bitcoin above 76k on march 4	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x92e81c…
03-04 08:37:39	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x364923…
03-04 08:37:27	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x40541b…
03-01 08:20:13	bitcoin above 60k on march 1	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4b010e…
03-01 08:16:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xe4ae49…
03-01 08:15:59	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x97bad6…
02-09 08:21:33	bitcoin above 76k on february 9	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xec2ca8…
02-09 08:21:15	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x24001c…
02-09 08:21:03	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 20 39	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2960c1…
02-04 12:29:10	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x1d810f…
02-04 12:28:36	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x16f0b8…
02-04 12:28:16	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb0a058…
02-02 10:41:18	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xbf27cc…
02-02 10:40:46	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 100 119	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3aebd8…
02-02 10:40:34	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 100 119	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfaa4af…
01-31 04:33:30	bitcoin above 90k on january 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x398598…
01-31 04:28:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 04:15 UTC	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xe9cf45…
01-31 04:19:28	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9d0e15…
01-31 04:19:16	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 260 279	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x93a530…
01-31 04:12:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x007074…
01-28 07:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-28 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd1495b…
01-27 16:04:45	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc9fb91…
01-27 16:03:21	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 240plus	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x4244ab…
01-27 16:02:49	elon musk of tweets january 26 january 28 240plus	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7894c0…
01-23 06:26:02	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 23	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x3d4731…
01-23 06:25:08	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xf3e6f8…
01-23 06:20:44	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa104a1…
01-22 16:00:20	bitcoin above 86k on january 22	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0273c4…
01-22 15:57:10	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa162b6…
01-22 15:56:42	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdc4e65…
01-21 11:15:54	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x98e9c9…
01-21 11:15:22	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x080e2f…
01-21 11:15:12	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4deb86…
01-18 11:21:30	will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on january 18	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xef7868…
01-18 11:20:58	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x1d9c87…
01-18 11:20:22	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4cef04…
01-14 13:03:16	bitcoin above 100k on january 14	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x382d23…
01-14 13:00:22	will 2025 be the hottest year on record	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa951a5…