Remorseful-Philosophy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$54

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$688

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 05-26 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 54% +$54

Politics

30% — —

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	3	$176	222	222	+0	open	—	02-28 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$57	37	27	+9	Up	$-3	05-11 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$30	25	25	+0	Down	+$10	05-12 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$28	38	38	+0	Down	+$18	05-11 12:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	05-13 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$19	16	16	+0	Down	+$9	05-11 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$16	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	05-13 15:34
spx up or down on march 2 2026	1	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	03-02 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$16	14	14	+0	open	—	05-26 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$15	11	11	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$14	18	18	+0	open	—	05-15 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-15 12:49
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	05-13 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-26 15:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$13	14	14	+0	Down	+$3	05-12 09:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-15 09:12
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	05-12 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-13 14:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$11	15	0	+15	Down	+$4	05-12 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	3	$10	18	12	+7	Up	$-3	05-11 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Up	+$6	05-12 13:00
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	03-02 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$10	12	12	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 12:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	05-15 07:48
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$7	25	0	+25	open	—	05-13 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$7	24	0	+24	Up	+$17	05-12 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$7	11	0	+11	Up	$-4	05-12 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$6	39	0	+39	Down	$-0	05-12 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$5	11	11	+0	Down	$-5	05-12 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-18 15:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 15:39:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	10	88¢	$9	0x02afe7…
05-26 15:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8a2a98…
05-26 15:15:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x72a289…
05-26 15:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	14	78¢	$11	0x4a8ffc…
05-26 15:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9a5d40…
05-18 15:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x808503…
05-15 14:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa88ca7…
05-15 14:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6176d6…
05-15 13:24:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x610c5b…
05-15 12:49:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	77¢	$9	0xa5d689…
05-15 12:46:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x55b1ab…
05-15 09:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0x0e796a…
05-15 09:46:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdcf4b5…
05-15 09:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x7340e8…
05-15 09:12:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x31fd81…
05-15 09:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x951086…
05-15 07:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	12	37¢	$5	0xf52c0a…
05-15 07:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x344f1e…
05-13 15:35:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x8741dc…
05-13 15:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	93¢	$11	0x790de0…
05-13 15:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x69536b…
05-13 15:22:12	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	25	28¢	$7	0x516a40…
05-13 15:20:56	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xad7f29…
05-13 14:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	81¢	$7	0x62adad…
05-13 14:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4a29f3…
05-13 14:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x916065…
05-12 14:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xe19c5b…
05-12 14:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xb52343…
05-12 14:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x5badd4…
05-12 14:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x33b650…
05-12 13:56:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	15	75¢	$11	0x5552ef…
05-12 13:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0xe5a20e…
05-12 13:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xd7b481…
05-12 13:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xb1c8a4…
05-12 13:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0x8cbfb2…
05-12 13:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x215ff1…
05-12 12:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x7be5c4…
05-12 12:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x1bb5cb…
05-12 12:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3ca51c…
05-12 12:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x4190f6…
05-12 12:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0x368b95…
05-12 09:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x82dafb…
05-12 09:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xf9583a…
05-12 09:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	14	58¢	$8	0xc0b3c4…
05-12 09:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xbe0412…
05-12 09:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x6df902…
05-12 09:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xd92724…
05-12 09:05:59	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xdfc370…
05-11 14:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x638c0c…
05-11 14:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x436c12…
05-11 14:56:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xada342…
05-11 14:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xeac212…
05-11 14:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xc06961…
05-11 14:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x41b5c4…
05-11 14:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa5d549…
05-11 14:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x5abe63…
05-11 14:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	85¢	$14	0x530f8c…
05-11 14:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x042c55…
05-11 14:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	215	2¢	$5	0x939c61…
05-11 13:56:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x5a69d3…
05-11 13:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x920431…
05-11 13:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7cc7e7…
05-11 12:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	39¢	$5	0xf03332…
05-11 12:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x2c2959…
05-11 12:41:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xaced2d…
05-11 12:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0x00e2ce…
05-11 12:37:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xebf2ae…
05-11 12:32:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x2b4f58…
04-07 08:09:57	btc updown 5m 1775549100	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xf886a7…
04-07 08:09:57	btc updown 5m 1775549100	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xe82cba…
04-07 08:09:57	btc updown 5m 1775549100	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x97e6d8…
04-07 08:09:57	btc updown 5m 1775549100	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x4b1d94…
03-02 15:01:25	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xceea7e…
03-02 08:39:55	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xd15b42…
02-28 21:50:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	111	61¢	$68	0x7b4b46…
02-28 18:00:27	btc updown 5m 1772301600	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xa70fb2…
02-28 17:44:15	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	111	61¢	$68	0xe68cee…
02-26 13:19:52	more eu sanctions on russia by march 31	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc06e25…
02-25 15:57:46	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x29982a…
02-25 15:55:34	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	222	18¢	$40	0x6dd423…