Glass-Disappointment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$78

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

96.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$7.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$143

Open exposure

$23

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-05 02:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Other

39% 100% +$23

Sports

34% 100% +$4

Politics

22% 82% -$108

Crypto

3% 86% -$5

Tech

2% 50% +$6

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-05).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		-24	-$23	95¢	$-23	$0	05-18 03:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.7K	1,345	1,345	+0	No	+$0	05-09 02:27
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2.6K	1,298	1,298	+0	No	+$4	04-23 12:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,323	0	+1,323	No	+$15	04-28 08:08
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$130	136	0	+136	Yes	-$130	06-05 02:26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	4	$82	43	43	+0	Yes	+$2	05-25 01:49
Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$61	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	04-25 07:11
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	2	$59	40	40	+0	No	-$13	01-19 02:23
will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	2	$44	25	25	+0	Yes	+$5	04-14 05:13
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$43	28	28	+0	Yes	+$1	05-15 07:26
will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	02-19 03:44
Will Solana reach $150 in April?	2	$42	21	21	+0	No	+$0	04-17 11:59
us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	2	$39	21	21	+0	No	+$1	03-12 02:36
will xrp reach 3pt2 in february 2026	2	$36	18	18	+0	No	+$0	02-19 03:44
Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?	1	$30	31	0	+31	No	+$1	01-20 08:05
will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	1	$30	35	0	+35	No	+$5	02-05 07:11
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$29	32	0	+32	Yes	+$2	01-26 03:14
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	1	$27	0	28	-28	Yes	$0	05-25 01:48
houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	1	$26	33	0	+33	No	+$7	03-12 02:37
Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	2	$25	15	15	+0	Yes	+$5	01-10 06:08
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	1	$25	28	0	+28	No	+$3	03-06 02:33
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	1	$25	0	26	-26	Yes	-$1	05-15 07:27
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	2	$25	14	14	+0	Yes	+$3	05-09 02:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$24	24	0	+24	No	+$0	05-25 01:49
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	1	$23	0	24	-24	open	—	05-18 03:56
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$22	27	0	+27	Yes	+$5	01-05 02:24
spx opens up or down on january 28 2026	1	$22	24	0	+24	Up	+$2	01-28 11:27
Iran leadership change by April 30?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	04-25 07:12
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	1	$19	21	0	+21	Yes	+$2	05-18 03:59
Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	1	$18	20	0	+20	No	+$2	05-18 03:58
israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	1	$18	18	0	+18	No	+$0	03-25 08:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 02:26:30	iran closes its airspace by june 8	No	BUY	136	95¢	$130	0x9e157e…
05-25 01:50:22	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	89¢	$13	0xdd6c0c…
05-25 01:49:57	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	BUY	13	95¢	$12	0x01d84b…
05-25 01:49:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x50aaaa…
05-25 01:49:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x997923…
05-25 01:48:47	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	SELL	28	98¢	$27	0xb56d95…
05-18 03:59:27	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x5d4a7a…
05-18 03:58:28	Will Russia enter Novyi Donbas by May 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xc4b6c8…
05-18 03:56:57	Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x9c36c8…
05-18 03:56:45	Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0xed6004…
05-15 07:30:50	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x92d72b…
05-15 07:27:41	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x5e79e5…
05-15 07:27:01	SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0x5cf106…
05-15 07:26:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	SELL	26	97¢	$25	0x628c75…
05-15 07:26:47	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	28	79¢	$22	0x5c0f72…
05-09 02:28:15	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	90¢	$23	0x274104…
05-09 02:27:47	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0xc16a44…
05-09 02:27:33	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,345	100¢	$1,340	0x7d4e32…
05-04 01:36:28	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	28	74¢	$21	0x3598ff…
05-04 01:36:12	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,345	100¢	$1,340	0x1030f3…
04-28 08:08:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,323	99¢	$1,309	0x2698b1…
04-25 07:12:58	Iran leadership change by April 30?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x8c009f…
04-25 07:11:26	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x12eb6c…
04-23 12:17:58	Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0xb3ecf8…
04-23 12:17:10	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,298	100¢	$1,296	0x4f831a…
04-19 11:44:50	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,298	100¢	$1,292	0xd52798…
04-17 12:01:06	will juan pablo velasco win the 2026 santa cruz gubernatorial election 929	Yes	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x0ccacc…
04-17 12:00:06	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0xee7924…
04-17 11:59:32	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x59520a…
04-14 05:14:17	Will MegaETH launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xd9636c…
04-14 05:14:01	Will Solana reach $150 in April?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x1fd54d…
04-14 05:13:11	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe0660f…
04-03 05:19:21	will the march 2026 unemployment rate be 4pt2	No	BUY	14	97¢	$14	0x4dd49c…
03-30 02:36:40	will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	18	87¢	$16	0x24acc2…
03-30 02:36:20	will tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	25	78¢	$19	0x2fcf51…
03-25 08:25:45	will russia enter ternuvate again by march 31	No	BUY	19	82¢	$15	0xaecb4b…
03-25 08:25:37	israel x hamas ceasefire cancelled by march 31 2026 824	No	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x436103…
03-12 02:37:05	houthi strike on israel by march 15 2026	No	BUY	33	78¢	$26	0x9b1888…
03-12 02:36:43	us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0xc68971…
03-06 02:33:55	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0xea39db…
03-06 02:33:43	us x iran meeting by march 15 2026	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xd1d0e6…
02-19 03:44:46	will xrp reach 3pt2 in february 2026	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x44a355…
02-19 03:44:38	will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xdd4653…
02-09 11:11:49	will xrp reach 3pt2 in february 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdfe77a…
02-05 07:11:55	will bitcoin reach 115k in february 2026	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xd07895…
02-05 07:11:21	will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0x98e5c8…
01-28 11:27:35	spx opens up or down on january 28 2026	Up	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0xcfd3c5…
01-26 03:14:32	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0x326c99…
01-20 08:05:46	Trove FDV above $10M one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x076b8a…
01-19 02:23:10	Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x9e104d…
01-10 06:09:48	Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x6d1677…
01-10 06:08:58	Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x54aeba…
01-05 02:24:43	Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	27	80¢	$22	0x20f1f5…
01-05 02:23:55	Over $2M committed to the Infinex public sale?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa77ce0…