Tense-Tire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2.17K

Unrealized P&L

+$227

Hit rate

87.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$162

Open exposure

$327

1 position

First seen

2026-02-05

last 08-28 19:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

51% 40% +$968

Tech

49% 43% +$1,184

Crypto

1% 50% +$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No		+328	$100	100¢	$327	+$227	08-16 20:39

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	2	$1.9K	1,363	1,363	+0	No	+$855	02-22 09:36
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	2	$879	675	675	+0	No	+$279	07-13 17:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	5	$812	2,236	250	+1,986	No	+$952	05-29 18:47
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	2	$252	171	171	+0	No	+$52	08-28 19:35
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$200	701	477	+224	No	+$0	03-13 18:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	2	$150	563	0	+563	Yes	-$150	06-14 09:55
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	1	$100	312	0	+312	Yes	-$100	07-30 20:45
will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	1	$100	222	0	+222	Yes	-$100	06-14 09:55
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	1	$100	588	0	+588	Yes	-$100	03-05 07:26
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	1	$100	328	0	+328	open	—	08-16 20:39
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	1	$100	690	0	+690	No	+$590	02-05 21:50
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?	1	$50	423	0	+423	No	-$50	05-31 18:06
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	2	$38	60	60	+0	Yes	+$8	06-05 16:16
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 600k 366	1	$30	1,238	0	+1,238	Yes	-$30	02-07 19:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 12:55 UTC	1	$25	50	0	+50	Up	+$25	08-22 12:56
will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260623205144680 546 515	1	$20	282	0	+282	No	-$20	07-07 04:08
Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	1	$15	334	0	+334	Yes	-$15	02-27 04:41
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	1	$10	345	0	+345	No	-$10	06-01 16:29
will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	1	$10	274	0	+274	Yes	-$10	03-13 18:08
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?	1	$10	147	0	+147	No	-$10	08-16 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 19:35:54	0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by August 31?	No	SELL	171	89¢	$152	0xfba6da…
08-22 12:56:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 12:55 UTC	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xad0826…
08-17 18:56:58	0 ships transit hormuz on any date by august 31	No	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0x734589…
08-16 20:41:22	Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?	Yes	BUY	147	7¢	$10	0x515d78…
08-16 20:39:49	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	328	31¢	$100	0x39cf4b…
07-30 20:45:30	Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x134ac9…
07-13 17:00:34	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	675	86¢	$579	0x1d079c…
07-07 04:08:58	will the next gpt model released by openai debut at a score of at least 1500 by december 31 2026 20260623205144680 546 515	Yes	BUY	282	7¢	$20	0x2f3735…
06-24 06:46:26	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	675	44¢	$300	0xe928e1…
06-14 09:55:33	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0xc26de5…
06-14 09:55:25	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	No	BUY	386	13¢	$50	0x17f955…
06-05 16:16:51	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	39¢	$23	0xa79174…
06-02 18:05:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x2e1e2c…
06-01 16:29:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	345	3¢	$10	0xd9fb35…
05-31 18:06:11	Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	423	12¢	$50	0x725fdc…
05-29 18:47:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0xda9f32…
05-29 18:22:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	302	33¢	$100	0x12d4ee…
05-27 15:51:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	250	36¢	$90	0x41f597…
05-27 15:51:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x360d06…
05-25 04:34:03	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xabc003…
05-24 12:39:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	1,584	32¢	$500	0xf576d9…
03-13 18:08:27	will jessie buckley win best actress at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	274	4¢	$10	0x15cb77…
03-13 18:07:07	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	477	21¢	$100	0xcf3825…
03-05 07:26:49	gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	No	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0x596291…
03-02 17:44:29	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	701	14¢	$100	0x2c39cd…
02-27 04:41:14	Paramount x Warner Bros. acquisition announced by June 30?	No	BUY	334	4¢	$15	0xc2cd6c…
02-22 09:36:38	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	SELL	1,363	99¢	$1,355	0x9d316e…
02-07 19:04:41	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 600k 366	No	BUY	1,238	2¢	$30	0xca0659…
02-05 21:50:43	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	690	14¢	$100	0x121cdb…
02-05 21:50:31	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	BUY	1,363	37¢	$500	0x2f814f…