Tattered-Sloth — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.8%

Resolved

Trades

717

lifetime

Volume

$67.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$94

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-18 08:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

61% 50% $-72

Other

31% — —

Tech

4% — —

Sports

4% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	100	$14.6K	12,723	12,123	+600	open	—	03-29 20:39
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	29	$6.6K	6,200	6,200	+0	open	—	03-16 21:17
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	60	$3.7K	3,326	2,946	+380	open	—	02-18 22:45
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	27	$3.4K	2,903	2,893	+10	open	—	05-06 05:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	19	$2.9K	2,910	2,910	+0	open	—	05-18 08:16
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	73	$2.6K	3,089	3,089	+0	open	—	02-18 22:44
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	25	$2.6K	2,788	2,719	+69	open	—	04-09 17:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	27	$2.6K	1,601	1,601	+0	open	—	04-13 19:05
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	26	$2.5K	2,200	1,800	+400	open	—	02-22 21:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	13	$2.5K	4,100	0	+4,100	open	—	02-28 22:57
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$1.9K	1,090	1,090	+0	open	—	03-15 08:30
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	35	$1.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	02-16 17:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	5	$1.8K	800	1,200	-400	No	$-32	04-30 04:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	15	$1.5K	2,758	2,758	+0	No	$-52	05-06 11:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	3	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	04-12 01:58
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	13	$1.4K	800	800	+0	open	—	05-18 02:59
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	35	$1.3K	2,600	7	+2,592	open	—	01-18 19:07
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	6	$1.3K	1,340	0	+1,340	open	—	04-13 21:21
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	34	$1.1K	1,241	1,241	+0	open	—	02-20 13:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	20	$1.0K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-10 16:46
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$1.0K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-14 12:26
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	11	$995	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-18 08:15
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	3	$968	560	560	+0	open	—	04-10 21:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$610	1,200	0	+1,200	open	—	01-18 07:53
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$506	338	338	+0	open	—	02-10 12:37
spx up or down on january 5 2026	8	$402	426	426	+0	open	—	01-04 21:33
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	2	$396	400	0	+400	Yes	+$4	05-08 14:04
will the dhs shutdown last 30 days or more 945 663	4	$325	200	400	-200	open	—	02-17 20:57
bad bunny video becomes most viewed sb halftime on youtube in 1st month	7	$308	600	0	+600	open	—	01-30 05:22
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$308	200	200	+0	open	—	01-10 17:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 08:16:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0xdefd57…
05-18 08:15:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	500	38¢	$190	0xda4591…
05-18 06:57:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x69a3c9…
05-18 06:48:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	104	39¢	$41	0xae3362…
05-18 06:43:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0652bd…
05-18 06:39:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x060ca8…
05-18 06:35:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x8f945b…
05-18 06:35:23	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	11	39¢	$4	0x472f79…
05-18 06:35:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	236	39¢	$92	0x1defe7…
05-18 02:59:01	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	197	92¢	$182	0x4b8662…
05-18 02:38:33	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0x408054…
05-17 17:18:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xfa2800…
05-17 17:18:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	492	61¢	$300	0xf30187…
05-17 17:18:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	500	61¢	$305	0xbd403e…
05-17 09:53:23	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0xce9f00…
05-17 07:09:49	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x2820bd…
05-17 05:58:46	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x221204…
05-17 02:52:23	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x91e026…
05-17 01:37:20	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	109	92¢	$100	0x59dca2…
05-16 12:33:34	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	200	87¢	$174	0xcbcd7e…
05-16 12:02:15	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x7424b5…
05-16 12:00:53	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	SELL	186	87¢	$161	0x66ff93…
05-16 06:57:01	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0x6e0a0e…
05-16 02:06:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xc6f79d…
05-16 02:06:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x7cce69…
05-16 02:06:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x580ec8…
05-16 00:32:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	77¢	$17	0xfa573b…
05-14 15:12:33	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	300	79¢	$237	0xd6d47d…
05-14 15:09:02	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x9c102e…
05-14 13:04:54	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	400	82¢	$328	0x848658…
05-14 12:26:57	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	700	70¢	$490	0xef894f…
05-14 10:30:27	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	700	75¢	$525	0xc428d0…
05-14 08:38:47	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x048d2a…
05-14 08:09:51	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xd1d2ed…
05-14 07:17:05	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	35	2¢	$1	0xf85814…
05-13 17:59:03	Will Trump say "Transgender" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x3c2eec…
05-13 16:19:20	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	89	10¢	$9	0x3ccce2…
05-13 16:18:40	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xcf9293…
05-13 15:27:30	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xb81937…
05-13 01:45:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x981e10…
05-13 01:30:02	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	75¢	$8	0x7fe4fb…
05-13 01:29:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0xd6dced…
05-10 16:46:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	170	77¢	$131	0xa6981e…
05-10 16:46:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	130	77¢	$100	0x9963dc…
05-10 16:43:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0x1a9a94…
05-09 17:16:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	105	22¢	$23	0x09b39a…
05-09 12:42:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	125	22¢	$28	0xee8ead…
05-09 12:42:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x5f2db9…
05-09 12:42:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xc63343…
05-09 12:42:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xda7fe0…
05-09 12:42:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	43	23¢	$10	0x7c20cb…
05-09 12:42:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	300	22¢	$66	0xb76a20…
05-09 06:41:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	110	75¢	$83	0x9e619d…
05-09 06:39:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x9a1446…
05-09 06:35:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	67	75¢	$50	0xcebc54…
05-09 06:34:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xb43658…
05-09 06:30:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x2521c2…
05-09 06:28:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0x27d2e5…
05-08 19:46:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0x93dbdf…
05-08 19:46:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	77	75¢	$58	0xfda23e…
05-08 19:46:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0x49b780…
05-08 19:46:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	300	75¢	$225	0x5f00e7…
05-08 19:11:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	22¢	$7	0x267591…
05-08 18:56:19	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$11	0xfbfeca…
05-08 18:49:08	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	58¢	$35	0x5f54d4…
05-08 18:44:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x6df0f3…
05-08 18:39:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5d99fe…
05-08 18:38:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3be24a…
05-08 18:38:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc246e1…
05-08 18:38:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x534bd3…
05-08 18:37:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	56¢	$17	0xed59fa…
05-08 18:37:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x8f321d…
05-08 18:14:26	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x55eaa1…
05-08 18:12:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	25¢	$22	0x3e5802…
05-08 18:10:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	29¢	$26	0x0ee4c9…
05-08 18:10:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x0a1c84…
05-08 18:10:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0xbe6fc2…
05-08 18:10:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x973b88…
05-08 18:10:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x5e3450…
05-08 18:10:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x36423d…
05-08 18:10:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x51faba…
05-08 18:08:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	33¢	$32	0xd6d304…
05-08 18:08:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xe28fc7…
05-08 18:08:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xa528b5…
05-08 18:07:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xdb9160…
05-08 14:04:23	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	346	99¢	$342	0x873dd8…
05-08 14:04:13	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x9b79df…
05-06 11:26:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	1,400	2¢	$32	0x3d5913…
05-06 11:25:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	171	27¢	$46	0x92a6f3…
05-06 11:25:28	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	329	27¢	$88	0x7720e3…
05-06 09:48:58	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	29¢	$144	0xe071ec…
05-06 05:21:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x9ec621…
05-06 05:08:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x15f024…
05-06 04:58:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x6ce8f2…
05-06 01:24:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	135	6¢	$8	0x2ad994…
05-06 01:19:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	565	6¢	$34	0x834cd8…
05-06 00:51:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	700	7¢	$49	0xdd00f8…
05-05 23:41:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	187	20¢	$37	0xdfc2ad…
05-05 23:40:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	20¢	$15	0x4755e9…
05-05 23:40:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	413	20¢	$83	0x5e211b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	50	$22.3M	36,884	06-01 09:31
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	49	$765.3K	13,088	06-01 00:34
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	46	$69.6K	738	05-30 20:33
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	44	$165.6K	12,251	06-01 03:47
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	41	$33.6K	2,772	06-01 11:56
Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1	40	$164.2K	2,319	05-23 20:16
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	39	$4.42K	896	05-30 23:34
Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021	38	$34.5K	1,120	05-28 01:28