Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$418

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.0%

Resolved

Trades

490

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 03-10 07:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

50% 30% -$78

Other

34% 50% +$21

Crypto

16% 45% -$360

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-10).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	111	$5.3K	5,438	5,455	-18	Yes	+$23	03-07 03:42
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	136	$4.7K	16,874	17,015	-141	No	-$18	03-09 09:59
bitcoin above 72k on march 5	24	$672	637	310	+327	No	-$259	03-05 13:32
will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	14	$640	420	440	-20	No	-$1	03-09 03:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	13	$490	1,400	1,200	+200	Yes	-$38	03-05 06:56
Block Street FDV above $100M one day after launch?	5	$415	221	221	-0	Yes	+$3	03-06 07:07
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	4	$404	400	400	+0	Yes	+$0	03-04 11:45
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$346	600	600	+0	No	+$2	03-10 00:42
bitcoin above 70k on march 5	2	$303	163	163	+0	Yes	+$16	03-05 12:33
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	5	$253	895	895	+0	No	-$2	03-10 07:31
bitcoin up or down march 5 1am et	10	$214	195	195	+0	Up	+$5	03-05 06:48
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 11:45 UTC	4	$202	218	216	+1	Up	-$41	03-04 11:57
over 2m committed to the cambria public sale	1	$200	213	0	+213	No	+$13	03-04 13:52
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	14	$170	327	347	-20	No	+$5	03-09 02:55
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$160	400	400	+0	Yes	-$28	03-04 10:17
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	11	$141	208	208	+0	Yes	-$1	03-10 00:32
bun bay moe 2026 03 06 bay	2	$136	75	75	+0	Yes	+$13	03-06 23:52
ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	2	$110	100	100	+0	No	-$2	03-09 13:53
iran leadership change by march 31	8	$109	189	111	+77	No	-$27	03-09 09:24
solana up or down march 4 5am et	6	$106	64	64	+0	Down	+$16	03-04 10:55
over 1pt5m committed to the cambria public sale	1	$100	116	0	+116	No	+$16	03-04 13:53
us forces enter iran by march 7	12	$99	4,342	3,357	+985	No	-$12	03-07 09:54
bitcoin up or down march 6 5am et	8	$72	116	115	+1	Down	-$23	03-06 10:54
ethereum up or down march 4 5am et	8	$69	63	63	+0	Down	+$9	03-04 10:56
ethereum up or down march 6 8am et	5	$43	40	39	+1	Down	+$2	03-06 13:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 05:45 UTC	10	$37	40	40	+0	Down	+$9	03-05 05:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 06:45 UTC	10	$32	20	20	+0	Up	+$7	03-05 06:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-05 06:15 UTC	2	$30	62	0	+62	Up	-$30	03-05 06:18
xrp up or down march 4 8pm et	2	$27	50	50	+0	Down	-$14	03-05 01:42
bitcoin up or down march 5 2am et	4	$26	42	42	+0	Down	-$14	03-05 07:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-10 07:31:55	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	547	14¢	$77	0xabaef1…
03-10 07:29:59	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	348	14¢	$49	0xe399ab…
03-10 00:42:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	160	29¢	$47	0x76a8f8…
03-10 00:40:45	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x1ca06a…
03-10 00:38:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	22	29¢	$6	0x0ed549…
03-10 00:32:03	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	163	32¢	$53	0xb41c9e…
03-10 00:29:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	23	32¢	$7	0x5ae309…
03-10 00:27:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	183	29¢	$53	0xdf114b…
03-10 00:26:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	17	29¢	$5	0x65eb3b…
03-09 23:48:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xfc864b…
03-09 23:48:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	43	28¢	$12	0x605807…
03-09 23:48:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd06f8b…
03-09 23:45:49	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xf8853a…
03-09 23:44:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	34	33¢	$11	0x7c8c73…
03-09 23:44:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x3dea57…
03-09 23:43:53	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0xf6d561…
03-09 23:41:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xed57b3…
03-09 23:40:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x87897f…
03-09 23:39:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	99	28¢	$28	0xe705a5…
03-09 23:34:05	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xc4ed6e…
03-09 23:33:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x624cc2…
03-09 23:30:47	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xad5c9f…
03-09 23:29:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x24f3b5…
03-09 23:29:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	85	33¢	$28	0x0a99d3…
03-09 23:27:19	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	295	14¢	$41	0x09e08f…
03-09 23:26:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x8405f3…
03-09 23:25:07	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	400	15¢	$60	0x786b96…
03-09 23:24:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	200	29¢	$58	0xd629d7…
03-09 23:23:31	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	200	29¢	$58	0x410046…
03-09 13:53:01	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	Yes	SELL	100	54¢	$54	0x635fa2…
03-09 09:59:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,995	9¢	$178	0x790757…
03-09 09:24:43	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	SELL	111	37¢	$41	0x117330…
03-09 08:52:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	9¢	$89	0x29f04f…
03-09 08:48:51	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	995	9¢	$89	0xa0db80…
03-09 08:44:43	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	96	36¢	$34	0xd394ca…
03-09 08:40:01	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x8069ac…
03-09 08:39:41	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x4a72b4…
03-09 08:37:47	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xca35a0…
03-09 08:37:09	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x83aeb6…
03-09 08:36:57	ucl gal liv1 2026 03 10 liv1	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x040906…
03-09 08:34:29	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xaef34f…
03-09 08:33:15	iran leadership change by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xdc0e83…
03-09 03:01:27	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x69cb69…
03-09 03:00:25	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	SELL	320	96¢	$306	0x47b41e…
03-09 02:55:55	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0x1b931f…
03-09 02:55:05	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xede45a…
03-09 02:53:47	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xaf69ad…
03-09 02:53:35	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	25	26¢	$6	0x9e74b6…
03-09 02:53:29	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	54	26¢	$14	0x3af854…
03-09 02:47:33	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	66	4¢	$3	0x777aac…
03-09 02:32:29	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xe086ff…
03-09 02:26:43	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	150	25¢	$38	0x43c51e…
03-09 02:20:31	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0xf64d4b…
03-09 01:57:19	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	15	26¢	$4	0x5f9f8c…
03-09 01:57:13	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xb4c854…
03-09 01:56:03	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	127	25¢	$32	0x5a5b89…
03-09 01:56:01	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0xa8b6ef…
03-09 01:55:51	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0x189188…
03-09 01:55:19	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	36	25¢	$9	0x895909…
03-09 01:54:53	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xdf20e2…
03-09 01:47:45	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	66	4¢	$3	0x00bd98…
03-09 01:21:53	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x375748…
03-09 01:20:53	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x974990…
03-09 01:03:13	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa41c98…
03-09 01:02:55	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x7386bd…
03-09 00:54:51	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0x87510e…
03-09 00:53:13	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x1126ef…
03-09 00:53:03	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xa22806…
03-09 00:52:43	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x1fdb65…
03-09 00:52:05	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x862b50…
03-07 09:54:33	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	1,855	1¢	$24	0x2b16ee…
03-07 09:52:19	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x721f57…
03-07 09:46:35	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	769	1¢	$10	0xfbb60a…
03-07 09:43:21	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0xbaf58f…
03-07 09:42:07	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	385	1¢	$5	0xa5598b…
03-07 09:40:41	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x108e07…
03-07 09:38:05	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xd599bc…
03-07 09:34:15	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	32	1¢	$0	0xb319cd…
03-07 09:20:17	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5dc04c…
03-07 09:19:57	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,955	1¢	$23	0x02e36a…
03-07 09:13:51	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$13	0xba513e…
03-07 09:11:17	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	1,387	1¢	$19	0x6ae0d0…
03-07 03:42:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	734	45¢	$333	0xd19fd9…
03-07 03:23:51	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	400	46¢	$183	0x855ffa…
03-07 03:23:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	33	47¢	$15	0xa3a384…
03-07 03:22:45	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	35	47¢	$16	0xfff932…
03-07 03:21:33	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x36f95e…
03-07 03:21:25	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	236	46¢	$109	0x44bf1c…
03-07 03:20:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	205	45¢	$93	0x1a1195…
03-07 03:18:25	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	205	45¢	$92	0xb3c07a…
03-07 03:17:57	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	595	44¢	$264	0x778a97…
03-07 03:13:35	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe19275…
03-07 03:11:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	600	44¢	$262	0x4aadec…
03-07 03:05:01	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x8af951…
03-07 03:03:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0xce7dcc…
03-07 03:02:17	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	200	41¢	$83	0xf5cc8a…
03-07 03:01:33	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	2	41¢	$1	0xfe8eab…
03-07 03:00:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	103	41¢	$42	0xdb6c27…
03-07 03:00:39	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	97	41¢	$40	0x551ebc…
03-07 03:00:13	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0x57afcf…