Inferior-Cenotaph — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.0%

Resolved

Trades

362

lifetime

Volume

$9.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 03-26 08:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

42% 33% +$0

Other

33% 0% $-0

Politics

15% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	14	$460	245	245	+0	open	—	03-03 17:18
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$369	191	191	-0	open	—	03-04 01:22
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	12	$355	188	188	+0	open	—	03-10 06:19
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$316	163	163	+0	open	—	03-21 02:36
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	17	$279	143	143	+0	open	—	02-23 00:00
will germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	9	$278	143	143	+0	open	—	02-09 03:28
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	6	$271	139	139	+0	open	—	02-18 04:53
Will the Houston Rockets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	7	$261	140	140	+0	open	—	02-23 20:02
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	9	$241	127	127	+0	open	—	03-01 17:47
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	15	$235	121	121	+0	No	+$0	03-12 07:33
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	8	$229	118	118	+0	open	—	02-18 19:16
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	6	$204	108	108	+0	open	—	03-21 23:58
will silver si hit high 120 by end of february 431 947 594 173 652 316	4	$201	109	109	+0	open	—	02-07 02:52
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	6	$200	104	104	+0	open	—	03-11 16:19
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	4	$200	104	104	+0	open	—	02-08 17:13
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$199	102	102	+0	open	—	03-09 14:38
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	03-25 18:57
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$186	98	98	+0	open	—	02-14 03:09
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	10	$184	98	98	+0	open	—	02-28 17:57
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	7	$179	96	96	-0	open	—	02-09 03:25
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$178	92	92	+0	open	—	03-01 17:48
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	4	$176	93	93	+0	open	—	02-15 03:22
will the us next strike iran on february 14 2026 et	5	$167	85	85	+0	open	—	02-09 03:21
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$165	85	85	+0	No	$-0	03-18 18:35
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$164	88	88	+0	open	—	02-18 04:59
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	4	$159	83	83	+0	open	—	02-23 00:03
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	5	$159	81	81	+0	open	—	02-18 19:15
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$130	67	67	+0	open	—	03-16 14:28
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	4	$127	66	66	+0	open	—	03-26 01:04
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	5	$125	64	64	+0	open	—	03-01 17:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-28 00:57:19	mlb bos oak 2026 07 27 extra innings	No	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x8e732d…
03-26 08:08:23	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0xd90150…
03-26 02:02:21	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	33	95¢	$32	0xd22613…
03-26 01:06:31	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x96104b…
03-26 01:04:27	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0xeb0b79…
03-25 19:01:39	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xfc2c0e…
03-25 18:57:51	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	36	95¢	$34	0xb06281…
03-25 11:56:21	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0xd68a2f…
03-23 06:28:53	will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xe28dbc…
03-23 01:18:05	will brooks koepka win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	28	98¢	$28	0xafa39e…
03-22 14:06:01	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	35	98¢	$35	0x6c93ee…
03-22 07:04:47	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	35	98¢	$35	0x445de7…
03-21 23:58:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0x4928d7…
03-21 19:57:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	39	97¢	$38	0xe4064e…
03-21 19:55:49	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	SELL	36	96¢	$35	0x57de3c…
03-21 15:52:47	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x6d5045…
03-21 10:40:37	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	38	94¢	$35	0xe39061…
03-21 02:39:37	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	38	95¢	$36	0x298c9a…
03-21 02:36:13	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x4f3a90…
03-20 18:35:05	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x91e65b…
03-20 18:32:41	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	28	96¢	$27	0xf8d7c4…
03-20 13:29:19	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xc8bbd9…
03-19 16:06:53	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	36	92¢	$33	0x7e9207…
03-19 10:05:37	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	36	93¢	$33	0x8b270d…
03-19 02:45:59	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	37	96¢	$35	0xed71d5…
03-18 18:44:53	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	37	96¢	$35	0x6c30dd…
03-18 18:35:25	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x8b751b…
03-18 13:32:35	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xa3709a…
03-18 02:16:17	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	37	93¢	$34	0xf8250b…
03-17 20:14:25	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	37	95¢	$35	0x6c884f…
03-17 20:12:13	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x60766d…
03-17 15:11:53	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x594a12…
03-17 15:02:39	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	39	96¢	$38	0xa984b6…
03-17 08:00:39	will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	39	95¢	$37	0xcb5853…
03-17 07:58:03	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x0f0923…
03-17 03:54:13	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0xdd1ee2…
03-17 03:52:05	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x803e59…
03-16 20:49:29	Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xc6740f…
03-16 14:28:37	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	30	98¢	$29	0xc6a19b…
03-16 10:27:39	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xcb4dea…
03-16 10:24:05	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$32	0x1f70e5…
03-16 05:23:43	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x7fdef4…
03-16 05:20:51	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	39	93¢	$36	0x83aa72…
03-16 00:20:23	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	39	93¢	$37	0x1c27c9…
03-16 00:11:07	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	37	97¢	$36	0x3706f1…
03-15 18:07:23	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	37	97¢	$36	0xbf04ac…
03-15 11:52:49	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$36	0x0f3bcc…
03-15 07:15:57	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	26	97¢	$26	0x4af34b…
03-15 06:51:07	Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xf07760…
03-14 19:27:07	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x4f7e2b…
03-14 11:24:37	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0xb0a7fb…
03-13 18:19:41	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	SELL	29	95¢	$28	0xa6a775…
03-13 10:12:43	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x3a6879…
03-12 18:46:21	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	39	97¢	$38	0x501f73…
03-12 13:44:29	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	39	98¢	$38	0x3765b9…
03-12 07:33:47	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0x923cfd…
03-12 00:32:31	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$41	0x2e5d6d…
03-11 16:19:55	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xc38866…
03-11 09:16:05	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x276d9d…
03-10 13:27:13	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0x43fa02…
03-10 06:21:45	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x333ed7…
03-10 06:19:05	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0xa123b2…
03-10 02:09:35	Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x198ff0…
03-10 02:03:49	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	29	94¢	$28	0x37fbcc…
03-09 19:59:39	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	29	94¢	$28	0x3c5749…
03-09 14:38:49	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0x85007b…
03-09 07:33:15	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x603c62…
03-08 19:08:15	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x2dd8fa…
03-08 12:06:21	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0xd6d57c…
03-08 12:01:51	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x2cb90f…
03-08 04:57:47	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	35	98¢	$34	0xfd3a64…
03-08 04:49:01	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	31	88¢	$28	0x1ab800…
03-07 22:48:09	Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	31	90¢	$28	0xfffb35…
03-07 22:41:11	Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	32	98¢	$31	0xf807c0…
03-07 16:33:41	Will the Miami Heat win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x474425…
03-07 16:27:27	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	SELL	42	96¢	$41	0xe64ca7…
03-07 10:22:11	will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	No	BUY	42	96¢	$41	0xa401e1…
03-07 10:13:01	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	41	90¢	$37	0x4706f2…
03-07 02:09:17	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	41	91¢	$37	0x500766…
03-04 01:22:37	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x38667b…
03-03 17:21:27	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0xe011db…
03-03 17:18:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	41	93¢	$38	0x10a47d…
03-03 13:18:01	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x4fd150…
03-03 13:15:23	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	36	97¢	$35	0x10316e…
03-03 05:10:43	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0x3aba75…
03-03 03:13:51	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	33	93¢	$31	0x3ce110…
03-02 19:21:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xc9d74c…
03-02 19:20:23	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x279404…
03-02 19:19:55	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	45	97¢	$44	0x308562…
03-02 19:19:27	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0xa378ef…
03-02 19:19:01	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0x2e4d19…
03-01 17:53:39	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	47	93¢	$44	0xdcb3f2…
03-01 17:53:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x4ad96a…
03-01 17:51:09	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xfd617e…
03-01 17:50:35	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x83eca8…
03-01 17:48:57	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	45	97¢	$44	0x03eb62…
03-01 17:48:13	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x9fddf9…
03-01 17:47:37	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	39	95¢	$37	0xdfe310…
03-01 17:47:07	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	39	96¢	$37	0x63c419…
03-01 17:46:33	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	39	93¢	$37	0x8e5f1f…