Remarkable-Chinchilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$6.80K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

22.9%

Resolved (90d)

2,876

Trades (90d)

12,146

21,019 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$149.1K

$233.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 10-27 13:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 221 days

Categories

Other

99% 58% -$8,771

Politics

1% 27% -$67

Tech

0% 0% -$16

Crypto

0% 86% -$13

Sports

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 344 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	No		+20	$16	95¢	$19	+$3	07-31 07:31
situational awareness announces fund wind down by december 31 2026 20260730183020992	Yes		+20	$6	5¢	$1	-$5	07-31 06:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	31	$1.2K	1,299	1,299	+0	Yes	-$4	07-25 14:59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?	38	$616	709	639	+69	No	-$25	06-21 00:55
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 11?	12	$614	650	0	+650	No	+$36	09-11 15:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?	20	$599	341	341	+0	No	+$82	09-21 01:09
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on August 9?	7	$585	600	600	+0	No	-$21	08-08 11:39
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 15?	11	$470	452	452	+0	Yes	-$26	08-15 13:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?	11	$463	450	450	+0	No	-$41	08-13 01:44
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 26?	3	$462	500	500	+0	Yes	-$58	07-25 17:23
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 9?	15	$453	450	450	+0	Yes	-$9	08-08 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on August 16?	11	$450	450	450	+0	No	-$42	08-15 13:14
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?	11	$434	450	450	+0	Yes	-$50	06-25 06:48
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 7?	20	$433	459	459	+0	Yes	-$14	09-07 11:37
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 26?	12	$429	453	453	+0	Yes	-$53	06-25 02:01
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	7	$429	415	415	+0	Yes	-$18	07-25 15:04
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or higher on August 2?	9	$423	450	450	+0	Yes	-$30	07-31 22:23
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on September 13?	20	$417	427	427	+0	Yes	-$25	09-13 08:52
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 25?	11	$412	400	400	+0	Yes	-$29	06-25 09:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	9	$409	400	400	+0	Yes	-$19	07-25 13:37
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 6?	11	$400	400	400	+0	Yes	-$16	08-06 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 24?	11	$396	400	400	+0	Yes	-$18	06-24 09:22
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 20?	3	$396	200	200	+0	No	+$4	09-20 08:19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 20?	17	$389	408	408	+0	No	-$16	06-20 01:07
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 12?	25	$385	399	399	+0	No	-$6	08-12 08:33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 27?	21	$384	427	427	+0	Yes	-$12	07-27 00:20
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 16?	10	$373	350	350	+0	No	-$19	08-15 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 9?	15	$372	400	400	+0	No	-$9	08-08 14:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 1?	18	$367	200	200	+0	No	+$23	10-01 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on June 21?	20	$361	525	525	+0	No	-$170	06-21 01:27
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 13?	13	$355	393	393	+0	Yes	-$26	08-12 22:42
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 8?	24	$355	359	359	+0	Yes	-$14	08-07 15:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 13:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0xe1e980…
10-27 13:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 29?	Yes	SELL	13	40¢	$5	0x36685f…
10-27 13:17:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 28?	No	SELL	25	57¢	$14	0xf7c156…
10-27 12:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x49ee8c…
10-27 12:59:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0xd6ac7a…
10-27 12:59:12	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x149191…
10-27 12:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	37¢	$9	0xc81094…
10-27 12:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xfe9f2b…
10-27 12:37:56	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x3561d3…
10-27 11:46:59	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 28?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x4d90ee…
10-27 11:09:11	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	25	34¢	$8	0x607ca6…
10-27 09:44:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x579a1e…
10-27 09:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	No	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xa1384e…
10-27 09:44:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 28?	No	BUY	23	45¢	$10	0x23f144…
10-27 09:39:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xac43b1…
10-27 09:06:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 29?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x651118…
10-27 09:00:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 29?	No	SELL	13	44¢	$6	0x1d13b5…
10-27 08:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 28?	No	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x89da61…
10-27 08:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 28?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x02f587…
10-27 08:47:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 28?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x71fa81…
10-27 08:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0xb3446d…
10-27 08:26:20	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	19	40¢	$7	0x6aa359…
10-27 08:24:29	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 29?	No	SELL	7	44¢	$3	0xe400ac…
10-27 08:23:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0x42053e…
10-27 07:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x818d07…
10-27 07:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x94568d…
10-27 07:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x9591d0…
10-27 07:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	No	SELL	25	58¢	$14	0xf55d42…
10-27 07:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 29?	No	BUY	25	58¢	$14	0x986c51…
10-27 07:36:23	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 29?	No	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0x26ec87…
10-27 07:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xfc066b…
10-27 07:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xed4361…
10-27 07:03:00	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xd379f8…
10-27 07:02:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 82-83°F on October 27?	No	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xcc1eb1…
10-27 06:53:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	1	42¢	$1	0x719a8e…
10-27 06:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	44¢	$1	0x07ba96…
10-27 06:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0xf3021f…
10-27 06:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x635631…
10-27 06:34:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x497ed1…
10-27 05:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0xde33ba…
10-27 05:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xdb83c0…
10-27 05:49:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 27?	No	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xbf96b9…
10-27 05:47:39	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0x204b19…
10-27 05:46:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	SELL	18	36¢	$6	0x53a23a…
10-27 05:37:14	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x26104e…
10-27 05:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 28?	No	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x97347e…
10-27 05:21:29	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 28?	No	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x65268b…
10-27 04:37:09	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 28?	No	SELL	25	50¢	$12	0x1790da…
10-27 04:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 28?	No	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x00a45b…
10-27 04:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	25	46¢	$12	0x74b659…
10-27 04:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xc0f7c1…
10-27 04:21:50	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0x298cca…
10-27 04:16:30	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	35	41¢	$14	0x635fb1…
10-27 03:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x9a8d97…
10-27 03:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on October 28?	Yes	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xa5eb6e…
10-27 03:24:39	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	SELL	25	39¢	$10	0x9ba011…
10-27 03:23:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 27?	No	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x350a86…
10-27 03:21:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0xa753ea…
10-27 03:20:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0xb5ff53…
10-27 03:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x32eb3a…
10-27 01:36:53	Will Mat Siscoe win the 2026 St. Catharines mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xd88f4f…
10-27 01:31:27	Will Martin Ritsma win the 2026 Stratford mayoral election?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x2ebc27…
10-27 00:28:39	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0x0ff558…
10-27 00:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x5d3f16…
10-26 23:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	6	60¢	$3	0x64898a…
10-26 23:27:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	14	61¢	$8	0x88d2a1…
10-26 22:46:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$12	0x44ebd3…
10-26 22:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	21	30¢	$6	0x2d8df6…
10-26 22:09:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x4e8aba…
10-26 22:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	15	41¢	$6	0xae64e3…
10-26 22:08:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x517002…
10-26 21:54:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	SELL	22	43¢	$9	0x65a5ae…
10-26 21:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	37¢	$1	0xfaf272…
10-26 21:21:53	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0xa60264…
10-26 21:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0x322cbb…
10-26 20:56:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0x42d172…
10-26 20:55:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x1a84cd…
10-26 20:24:12	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 27?	No	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x49da02…
10-26 19:40:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 25?	Yes	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x32fc1a…
10-26 18:02:08	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 27?	No	SELL	18	59¢	$11	0x89daaa…
10-26 17:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	23	58¢	$13	0xc8b9af…
10-26 17:47:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0x7ea520…
10-26 17:29:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	No	SELL	25	36¢	$9	0xd5482c…
10-26 17:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 27?	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x520fc8…
10-26 17:02:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0x9728d6…
10-26 16:52:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x1cfac1…
10-26 16:46:38	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 27?	No	SELL	25	58¢	$14	0xfd0146…
10-26 16:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0x738af6…
10-26 16:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x75eaa0…
10-26 16:31:08	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xfcb2d8…
10-26 16:22:54	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	21	59¢	$12	0x3e9d97…
10-26 16:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x4bf2b8…
10-26 16:22:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x2a5ec6…
10-26 16:18:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?	No	SELL	15	55¢	$8	0x90b7f0…
10-26 16:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x0802ef…
10-26 16:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0xcb3b58…
10-26 16:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x80d629…
10-26 16:17:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	25	63¢	$16	0x4643bd…
10-26 16:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xf93768…
10-26 14:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x9427b5…