Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$6
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
17
lifetime
Volume
$129
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$100
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 07-04 13:36
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
97%
Politics
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? No -19 $-18 96¢ $-18 $-0 07-04 13:36
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -16 $-14 94¢ $-15 $-1 06-17 14:41
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -14 $-14 96¢ $-13 +$0 06-23 13:37
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? No +13 $11 88¢ $11 +$0 06-21 12:14
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? No -9 $-8 95¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 18:52
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? No -8 $-8 98¢ $-8 $-0 06-01 18:53
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -25 $-13 27¢ $-7 +$6 06-08 11:56
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-6 84¢ $-6 +$0 06-04 10:51
Modi out by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 94¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 18:52
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No -5 $-4 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-08 11:42
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes -12 $-1 11¢ $-1 +$0 06-15 12:21
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 07-01 23:03
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +6 $1 14¢ $1 $-0 06-20 03:15
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -15 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-28 10:56