Descriptive-Complex — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,273

lifetime

Volume

$1.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 05-09 15:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 60% +$14

Other

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 11 1pm et	9	$25	78	78	+0	open	—	03-11 17:55
bitcoin up or down march 12 7am et	12	$18	52	52	+0	open	—	03-12 11:57
btc updown 15m 1773237600	10	$16	24	24	+0	open	—	03-11 14:14
bitcoin up or down march 12 4am et	7	$14	21	17	+4	open	—	03-12 08:53
bitcoin up or down march 11 2pm et	9	$13	44	37	+7	open	—	03-11 18:53
btc updown 5m 1772372100	5	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	03-01 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	5	$11	13	11	+1	open	—	05-04 09:50
bitcoin up or down march 13 2pm et	8	$11	22	22	+0	open	—	03-13 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5PM ET	7	$11	112	30	+82	open	—	05-01 21:50
btc updown 15m 1768692600	4	$11	13	13	+0	open	—	01-17 23:40
btc updown 15m 1773326700	3	$11	13	13	+0	open	—	03-12 14:59
btc updown 5m 1772382000	3	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	03-01 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET	6	$10	13	10	+3	Down	+$2	05-08 23:00
btc updown 5m 1772377500	4	$10	11	11	+0	open	—	03-01 15:09
btc updown 5m 1772370600	3	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	03-01 13:14
btc updown 15m 1773332100	5	$9	35	35	+0	open	—	03-12 16:29
btc updown 4h 1769446800	8	$9	22	22	+0	open	—	01-26 20:37
btc updown 15m 1771237800	5	$9	11	11	+0	open	—	02-16 10:43
bitcoin up or down january 19 10am et	6	$9	33	23	+10	open	—	01-19 15:41
bitcoin up or down march 11 12pm et	8	$9	34	34	+0	open	—	03-11 16:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	7	$9	123	123	+0	open	—	03-18 12:12
btc updown 15m 1773232200	6	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	03-11 12:36
btc updown 4h 1771434000	9	$9	23	14	+9	open	—	02-18 19:16
btc updown 15m 1771240500	4	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	02-16 11:27
bitcoin up or down march 12 6am et	5	$8	41	11	+30	open	—	03-12 10:40
btc updown 15m 1773252000	5	$8	16	16	+0	open	—	03-11 18:13
btc updown 15m 1771239600	4	$8	7	5	+2	open	—	02-16 11:11
bitcoin up or down march 12 2pm et	7	$8	75	52	+23	open	—	03-12 18:46
btc updown 5m 1772388900	3	$7	15	15	+0	open	—	03-01 18:19
btc updown 5m 1772367300	4	$7	10	10	+0	open	—	03-01 12:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 15:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x994719…
05-09 15:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc7c6dc…
05-09 15:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa71a25…
05-09 15:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x17a957…
05-09 15:02:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	76¢	$2	0x6f6050…
05-09 15:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x2116d9…
05-09 14:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf18b89…
05-09 14:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd77285…
05-09 14:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf584e8…
05-09 14:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8adc91…
05-09 14:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x0e3158…
05-09 14:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdd2681…
05-09 14:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x275bab…
05-09 14:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3b0c9c…
05-09 14:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0xee0d1d…
05-09 14:28:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa64183…
05-09 14:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8cc581…
05-09 14:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xbace94…
05-09 14:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfa48bf…
05-09 00:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xe838e8…
05-09 00:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x291910…
05-09 00:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x2d8329…
05-09 00:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5bd272…
05-09 00:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa9ea73…
05-08 23:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xea1bbd…
05-08 23:55:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x689a22…
05-08 23:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x3eee78…
05-08 23:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x23d3cb…
05-08 23:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x27bc88…
05-08 23:33:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x5c57c7…
05-08 23:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x51a39d…
05-08 23:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xabcf40…
05-08 23:26:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb59a95…
05-08 23:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xf734d7…
05-08 23:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x5d0c07…
05-08 23:22:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x5db56e…
05-08 23:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd0a23a…
05-08 23:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x7a5ca4…
05-08 23:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5c0b02…
05-08 23:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xf7128a…
05-08 23:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x3b0e3b…
05-08 23:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9c1cf2…
05-08 23:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x08cddc…
05-08 23:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x29f1ae…
05-08 23:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xfa62e4…
05-08 23:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$4	0xb3c889…
05-08 23:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xba8587…
05-08 23:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x4b086b…
05-08 23:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe31439…
05-08 22:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x696983…
05-08 22:46:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x4207d6…
05-08 22:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcfead6…
05-08 22:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x976665…
05-08 22:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe84dad…
05-08 22:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x82819e…
05-08 22:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x073da7…
05-08 22:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0xf892b9…
05-08 22:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x6c1ddd…
05-08 22:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x0487db…
05-08 22:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xc60373…
05-08 22:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x860536…
05-08 16:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$2	0xb16d8a…
05-08 16:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x84412f…
05-08 16:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	49¢	$1	0xab146d…
05-08 16:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x704cfe…
05-08 16:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x61e4e5…
05-08 16:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0x9e7444…
05-08 16:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfa1278…
05-08 15:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x185559…
05-08 15:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0xea1478…
05-08 15:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0x6b4b3f…
05-08 15:49:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0xb7df26…
05-08 15:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x7e8612…
05-08 15:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x8475d6…
05-08 15:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x5bf01b…
05-08 12:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0xdb73e7…
05-08 12:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xed3618…
05-08 12:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0xa52f74…
05-08 12:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8111a2…
05-08 12:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x7d3bf7…
05-08 12:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x8757fa…
05-08 12:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x9fb45a…
05-08 12:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0xfe3286…
05-08 12:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc15fb5…
05-08 12:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x598288…
05-08 12:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xbe9b4e…
05-08 12:28:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	45¢	$1	0x068573…
05-08 12:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xcbb284…
05-08 12:23:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xce332a…
05-08 12:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x63ea9b…
05-08 12:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x294565…
05-08 12:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	70¢	$2	0x757d83…
05-08 12:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x1f9e25…
05-08 12:00:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x93b41f…
05-04 10:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x8888a1…
05-04 10:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x2ac100…
05-04 10:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xcf721f…
05-04 10:42:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x0d22a2…
05-04 10:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x2ad51f…
05-04 10:25:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x132640…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	345	$521	979	05-09 15:48
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	333	$269.6K	42,987	04-01 16:14
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	321	$850.1K	71,499	03-18 13:18
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	318	$20.4K	1,828	05-09 15:21
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	310	$795.1K	51,530	03-18 13:18
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	308	$131.1K	5,800	05-09 15:45
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	298	$182.4K	27,895	04-24 17:52
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	295	$256.1K	17,106	03-18 13:22