Purple-Cob — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$513

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-05

last 07-22 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

61% — —

Sports

15% — —

Crypto

14% 75% $-7

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes		+40	$4	10¢	$4	$-1	07-22 20:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$112	81	81	+0	open	—	05-22 23:32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$46	33	33	+0	open	—	06-19 22:01
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	3	$45	97	45	+52	open	—	07-11 18:01
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	2	$44	34	34	+0	open	—	06-19 22:02
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$26	34	34	+0	open	—	07-18 22:37
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$25	28	28	+0	open	—	05-23 00:57
will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	2	$23	111	111	+0	open	—	06-20 14:29
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$20	35	0	+35	open	—	05-14 10:05
iran full airspace closure by august 15	2	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	07-22 19:59
ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	1	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	06-14 22:11
starmer out by june 26 2026	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	06-20 15:04
Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$12	274	0	+274	open	—	05-14 10:10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	200	200	+0	open	—	06-19 23:21
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	1	$10	48	0	+48	open	—	06-14 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$10	667	0	+667	Up	$-10	05-05 14:28
btc updown 5m 1782000600	2	$10	35	0	+35	open	—	06-21 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	05-19 15:05
btc updown 5m 1780996200	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	06-09 09:12
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	2	$8	100	0	+100	open	—	07-22 20:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	05-23 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-08 19:01
ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	06-14 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-19 14:56
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-05 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-05 14:38
btc updown 5m 1781967300	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	06-20 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 14:44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$4	40	0	+40	open	—	07-22 20:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 20:03:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x9dd305…
07-22 20:01:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xe7b65c…
07-22 20:01:52	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	Yes	BUY	95	8¢	$7	0x0061aa…
07-22 19:59:37	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	30	47¢	$14	0xfce28d…
07-22 19:59:37	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc194d1…
07-18 22:37:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	SELL	34	47¢	$16	0xa1769d…
07-18 21:19:40	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xcc6fe5…
07-11 18:01:35	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	52	29¢	$15	0x371840…
06-21 00:18:37	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	SELL	45	32¢	$15	0x275104…
06-21 00:14:49	btc updown 5m 1782000600	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf6a255…
06-21 00:14:47	btc updown 5m 1782000600	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xac9ebb…
06-20 15:04:05	starmer out by june 26 2026	No	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0xde47a6…
06-20 14:59:58	btc updown 5m 1781967300	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x03f5f5…
06-20 14:29:34	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	SELL	111	12¢	$13	0x3431cd…
06-20 13:26:35	will israel and lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026 20260607225940217 843	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x691b97…
06-19 23:21:10	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	2¢	$4	0xf7c88d…
06-19 22:11:46	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x86fc47…
06-19 22:02:14	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	34	85¢	$29	0xa19326…
06-19 22:01:40	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0xf482e0…
06-19 11:47:46	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x2b5986…
06-19 11:35:55	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	34	44¢	$15	0xc2e106…
06-19 11:35:13	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xa8504a…
06-14 22:11:48	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Alex Pereira	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x39a0d4…
06-14 22:11:21	ufc der jos52 2026 06 14	Derrick Lewis	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x119563…
06-14 22:11:07	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x13010f…
06-09 09:12:25	btc updown 5m 1780996200	Up	SELL	7	64¢	$4	0x16f2ea…
06-09 09:10:27	btc updown 5m 1780996200	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x441ddd…
05-23 12:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x61ce50…
05-23 00:57:57	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0x087332…
05-22 23:32:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x99fd87…
05-19 15:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa6cd08…
05-19 15:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x21f9d7…
05-19 14:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x3275cd…
05-14 10:10:22	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x7eb440…
05-14 10:09:31	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$9	0x0865f6…
05-14 10:08:33	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	31	4¢	$1	0xd466a9…
05-14 10:07:32	Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0x2897bd…
05-14 10:05:33	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	35	56¢	$20	0xc89e8d…
05-08 19:07:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	39	28¢	$11	0x08c9aa…
05-08 19:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x5b4006…
05-05 15:33:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x069513…
05-05 15:33:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0xc4f329…
05-05 14:50:22	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x20bde0…
05-05 14:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8150ff…
05-05 14:43:12	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8f81b3…
05-05 14:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc0faec…
05-05 14:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x415cf5…
05-05 14:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x174f2e…