Realized P&L
-$10.2K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
21.9%
Resolved
62
Trades
274
lifetime
Volume
$28.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$104
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-15
last 04-29 17:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Politics
49%
25%
-$3,903
Crypto
37%
32%
-$2,452
Other
14%
0%
-$3,817
Sports
0%
100%
+$2
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-04-29).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 132 | $10.7K | 275,019 | 125,019 | +150,000 | No | -$1,638 | 03-03 18:39 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 6 | $2.9K | 88,427 | 88,427 | +0 | Yes | -$2,234 | 03-01 02:11 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:40 UTC | 2 | $1.6K | 1,247 | 1,229 | +18 | Down | +$653 | 03-03 18:44 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:30 UTC | 4 | $1.4K | 1,195 | 1,179 | +16 | Down | +$235 | 02-09 05:42 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting | 4 | $1.2K | 355,255 | 0 | +355,255 | No | -$1,209 | 01-19 18:17 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 4 | $791 | 27,796 | 0 | +27,796 | Yes | -$791 | 01-27 02:18 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 06:00 UTC | 5 | $757 | 6,628 | 0 | +6,628 | Down | -$757 | 02-09 06:06 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:40 UTC | 3 | $643 | 1,357 | 1,017 | +340 | Up | +$3 | 03-03 19:44 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:35 UTC | 4 | $620 | 1,100 | 700 | +400 | Up | +$96 | 03-03 19:38 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:00 UTC | 4 | $580 | 4,573 | 0 | +4,573 | Down | -$580 | 02-09 05:10 |
| will bitcoin reach 106k january 12 18 | 1 | $577 | 12,830 | 0 | +12,830 | No | -$577 | 01-15 01:58 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:20 UTC | 3 | $492 | 1,190 | 1,180 | +11 | Up | -$108 | 03-03 19:22 |
| fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 3 | $484 | 483,830 | 0 | +483,830 | No | -$484 | 01-22 03:41 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:00 UTC | 2 | $477 | 511 | 504 | +7 | Up | +$85 | 03-03 19:01 |
| will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31 | 3 | $400 | 15,728 | 0 | +15,728 | No | -$400 | 01-22 03:40 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 04:00 UTC | 5 | $380 | 86,542 | 0 | +86,542 | Down | -$380 | 02-09 04:15 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:50 UTC | 2 | $327 | 233 | 229 | +3 | Up | +$130 | 03-03 18:55 |
| will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be greater than 520m by january 31 | 5 | $265 | 75,574 | 0 | +75,574 | No | -$265 | 01-21 22:34 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:55 UTC | 2 | $235 | 847 | 844 | +2 | Down | +$35 | 03-03 18:57 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 06:15 UTC | 4 | $231 | 198 | 195 | +3 | Down | +$47 | 02-10 06:22 |
| bitcoin above 80k on february 3 | 2 | $210 | 132 | 132 | +0 | No | +$10 | 02-03 05:52 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:15 UTC | 2 | $200 | 330 | 0 | +330 | Up | -$200 | 03-03 19:19 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-09 05:45 UTC | 3 | $193 | 310 | 117 | +193 | Up | -$47 | 02-09 05:55 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 03:30 UTC | 2 | $191 | 399 | 394 | +5 | Down | -$72 | 02-10 03:38 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? | 1 | $186 | 92,790 | 0 | +92,790 | Yes | -$186 | 04-27 19:06 |
| Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | 2 | $171 | 7,940 | 7,940 | +0 | No | +$11 | 01-27 02:17 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-10 05:45 UTC | 2 | $120 | 272 | 270 | +2 | Up | +$6 | 02-10 05:50 |
| another us government shutdown by february 14 | 2 | $117 | 198 | 198 | +0 | No | -$2 | 02-10 03:49 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 19:25 UTC | 2 | $113 | 1,323 | 1,321 | +2 | Down | -$87 | 03-03 19:29 |
| earnings mentions netflix 2026 01 20 warner bros 1 times | 6 | $106 | 52,052 | 0 | +52,052 | Yes | -$106 | 01-21 18:03 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||