Rigid-Forestry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$251

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$30

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-14 22:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 52% $-17

Other

11% — —

Tech

4% — —

Politics

4% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No		+40	$20	50¢	$20	$-0	06-14 22:32
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No		+21	$10	48¢	$10	+$0	06-14 22:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	4	$21	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 01:22
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	06-14 22:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	4	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$6	05-10 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$15	29	0	+29	Up	$-15	05-08 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	2	$11	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 01:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	3	$11	14	10	+4	Up	+$1	05-10 01:48
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	06-14 22:31
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	1	$10	33	0	+33	Yes	$-10	05-08 10:27
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	06-15 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	2	$10	17	0	+17	Up	$-1	05-10 00:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	2	$10	30	0	+30	Down	$-10	05-08 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-07 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	2	$7	21	0	+21	Down	$-7	05-10 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-07 20:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-07 19:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-08 09:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-08 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-07 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-07 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-07 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-08 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-07 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	1	$5	14	0	+14	Up	+$9	05-07 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-07 20:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-07 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-07 19:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-07 19:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$4	7	0	+7	Up	$-4	05-08 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 07:51:07	btc updown 5m 1781509800	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xd95503…
06-15 07:46:58	btc updown 5m 1781509500	Up	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xd39519…
06-15 07:45:52	btc updown 5m 1781509500	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6bdf0a…
06-15 07:42:25	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe08d81…
06-14 22:32:18	Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	No	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x425e2a…
06-14 22:31:51	New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xe3f340…
05-10 01:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x08a148…
05-10 01:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x6e97e1…
05-10 01:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x44ded5…
05-10 01:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	12	94¢	$12	0x057d9a…
05-10 01:39:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x1d0c0e…
05-10 01:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe406f1…
05-10 01:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xdea53e…
05-10 01:22:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0xb9c282…
05-10 01:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x5f9077…
05-10 01:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x4ed65e…
05-10 01:15:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe2e6f3…
05-10 01:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x18e8ee…
05-10 01:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0xfaab40…
05-10 01:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xa5712e…
05-10 00:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xca9539…
05-10 00:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x38f2d0…
05-10 00:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0xa5ba42…
05-10 00:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x284071…
05-08 10:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x72f657…
05-08 10:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xb60c34…
05-08 10:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x67fa4b…
05-08 10:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xaad8dc…
05-08 10:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x94c96a…
05-08 10:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x9e080e…
05-08 10:27:20	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?	No	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0xbcbbe3…
05-08 10:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	52¢	$15	0x8e04f3…
05-08 10:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x90cd21…
05-08 09:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x91a334…
05-08 09:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x661f0e…
05-08 09:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3ad754…
05-08 09:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x1520e8…
05-07 21:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xe67215…
05-07 21:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xac0fe9…
05-07 21:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4a8297…
05-07 20:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4e363f…
05-07 20:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd7cd6a…
05-07 20:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa8c0d6…
05-07 20:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x966b2f…
05-07 20:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x2ad1be…
05-07 19:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x15230c…
05-07 19:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	78¢	$8	0xff42c3…
05-07 19:40:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x68b264…
05-07 19:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x69676f…
05-07 19:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x999103…
05-07 19:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x362e21…
05-07 19:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x864b53…