Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

92.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$72

Open exposure

$12

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-16 01:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

70% 83% +$2

Politics

13% — —

Sports

12% 100% +$0

Crypto

6% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No		-12	-$12	98¢	$-12	+$0	10-16 01:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$203	102	102	+0	No	+$0	01-13 01:06
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	2	$185	93	93	+0	open	—	10-16 01:55
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	2	$185	93	93	+0	open	—	10-15 03:51
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$181	91	91	+0	No	+$0	03-10 07:30
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$180	93	93	+0	No	+$1	01-21 15:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$180	91	91	+0	No	+$0	03-30 00:58
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	4	$177	90	90	+0	No	+$1	06-11 03:10
Xi Jinping out by June 30?	2	$91	0	92	-92	No	-$1	05-10 10:04
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$90	90	0	+90	No	+$0	03-30 01:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$90	91	0	+91	No	+$1	06-16 11:10
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	1	$12	0	12	-12	open	—	10-16 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 01:55:51	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x80af89…
10-16 01:55:42	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$92	0xb19661…
10-15 17:24:49	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$93	0x722a9d…
10-15 03:51:49	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0x322e60…
08-17 17:53:54	Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	93	100¢	$92	0x869e1a…
06-16 11:10:36	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xdddb88…
06-11 03:10:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0x0765d7…
06-11 02:55:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xb95ec4…
06-11 02:55:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x7b41d4…
05-29 11:50:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xf1a6d5…
05-10 10:04:22	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$15	0x6a9bb4…
05-10 09:03:39	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	76	98¢	$75	0x4ca669…
03-30 01:55:26	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x5c5b91…
03-30 00:58:04	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$90	0x952fec…
03-19 06:10:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xbb860c…
03-10 07:30:21	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	91	99¢	$91	0x6fd9a3…
03-01 10:35:01	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	62	99¢	$61	0x35c6a6…
03-01 09:08:41	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0xad7bad…
01-21 15:26:12	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	93	98¢	$91	0xd158c0…
01-13 05:57:55	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0xd4d872…
01-13 01:06:37	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x1c339b…
01-04 07:28:37	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xd523fe…