Sugary-Retrospectivity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$668

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 08-02 10:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 100% +$11

Other

2% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	2	$157	85	85	+0	No	+$8	06-19 12:06
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$144	92	92	+0	open	—	06-30 15:15
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	2	$117	67	67	+0	open	—	06-19 12:06
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$89	47	47	+0	open	—	08-02 10:29
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	2	$80	42	42	+0	open	—	08-02 10:29
will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	1	$38	41	0	+41	No	+$3	07-19 04:43
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$17	10	10	+0	open	—	06-30 15:15
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	06-19 12:06
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	03-29 09:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	3	$4	5	0	+5	No	+$1	05-05 22:42
Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$2	2	0	+2	No	+$0	01-31 08:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$2	3	0	+3	No	+$1	05-05 22:42
cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	1	$2	3	0	+3	Michigan Wolverines	+$1	03-29 09:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-02 10:29:53	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	SELL	42	97¢	$41	0xa290a9…
08-02 10:29:36	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$45	0xe896b5…
07-19 04:44:00	Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x2acdfc…
07-19 04:43:54	Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0xdae7a5…
07-19 04:43:25	will bitcoin dip to 57pt5k in july 2026 618	No	BUY	41	92¢	$38	0x2ac3f6…
06-30 15:15:52	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xd8b1c5…
06-30 15:15:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	92	80¢	$74	0x9db05a…
06-19 12:09:08	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x26c663…
06-19 12:08:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	76¢	$70	0xdb03ef…
06-19 12:06:49	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x91e87f…
06-19 12:06:40	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	67	87¢	$58	0x113a57…
06-19 12:06:19	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	85	97¢	$82	0xf6517f…
06-06 07:58:48	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x1c7000…
06-06 07:57:36	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	67	88¢	$59	0x6793fd…
06-06 07:57:06	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	85	88¢	$75	0x9ec59e…
05-05 22:42:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x9e7ee1…
05-05 22:42:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x462bba…
05-05 22:42:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x443958…
05-05 22:42:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xc36947…
03-29 09:39:12	cbb tenn mich 2026 03 29	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x2cb379…
03-29 09:38:54	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x862e45…
02-27 09:09:33	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xbbbfa5…
01-31 08:28:46	Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xecdc7c…