Watchful-Fault — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

71.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$131

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 00:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% $-7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down		+12	$8	42¢	$5	$-3	05-06 00:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$15	19	+19	Up	+$4	05-04 23:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	2	$15	18	+18	Up	$-15	05-04 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$15	22	+22	Up	+$7	05-04 23:14
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$11	15	+15	Up	+$4	05-05 02:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$11	13	+13	Down	+$2	05-05 00:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$10	14	+14	Up	$-10	05-04 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$10	13	+13	Up	+$3	05-04 20:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$10	19	+19	Up	$-10	05-04 20:44
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$10	14	+14	Down	+$4	05-04 20:59
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$10	13	+13	Up	+$3	05-04 20:09
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$8	12	+12	open	—	05-06 00:09
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	7	+7	Up	+$2	05-04 20:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 00:09:34	XRP Up or Down - May 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	64¢	$8	0x465748…
05-05 02:44:34	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0xba5567…
05-05 02:44:34	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$6	0x2dcfa4…
05-05 00:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x75f11d…
05-05 00:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x228434…
05-04 23:14:34	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xb171c4…
05-04 23:14:34	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	80¢	$10	0xada67a…
05-04 23:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xea9867…
05-04 23:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5e8be6…
05-04 21:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	83¢	$8	0xa60b02…
05-04 21:39:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xd6ae2e…
05-04 20:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa1744d…
05-04 20:59:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x6410f6…
05-04 20:59:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x3c10fa…
05-04 20:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x798af6…
05-04 20:44:36	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x3c27da…
05-04 20:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x254252…
05-04 20:44:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcb3bcb…
05-04 20:44:34	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbb3ae4…
05-04 20:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x7c53c7…
05-04 20:09:36	XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x60f9b6…