Steel-Avenue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$25

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

82.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,335

lifetime

Volume

$27.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 05-21 18:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

63% 100% +$37

Other

37% 50% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 167 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	99	$4.7K	4,150	4,175	-25	open	—	05-06 09:51
Iran leadership change by April 30?	11	$1.3K	1,030	980	+50	open	—	04-25 09:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	53	$1.2K	1,238	1,640	-402	open	—	05-21 18:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	37	$1.0K	550	575	-25	open	—	04-25 20:08
Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	50	$977	550	550	+0	open	—	04-27 13:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	14	$790	535	485	+50	open	—	04-04 22:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	21	$774	610	560	+50	open	—	04-04 20:34
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	31	$664	758	0	+758	open	—	04-28 14:02
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	18	$607	700	0	+700	open	—	04-28 20:15
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	44	$574	637	675	-38	open	—	05-06 03:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	40	$533	575	578	-3	open	—	04-29 12:29
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	18	$469	325	250	+75	open	—	05-06 10:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	19	$406	300	300	+0	open	—	05-06 10:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	22	$390	450	0	+450	open	—	04-25 07:03
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	28	$366	235	250	-15	open	—	04-28 16:47
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	16	$364	231	300	-69	open	—	05-06 10:03
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	14	$364	332	370	-38	open	—	05-06 10:09
Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	15	$354	245	275	-30	open	—	05-06 10:28
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	18	$354	175	225	-50	open	—	04-25 09:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$348	400	0	+400	open	—	03-15 17:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	13	$331	312	175	+137	open	—	05-06 10:03
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	26	$326	300	150	+150	open	—	04-29 20:35
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	15	$315	250	150	+100	open	—	04-25 17:33
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	9	$302	200	150	+50	open	—	05-21 18:35
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	10	$300	300	300	+0	open	—	03-22 00:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	16	$293	300	100	+200	open	—	04-27 01:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	28	$281	234	214	+20	open	—	04-28 10:16
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	24	$261	275	275	+0	No	+$0	05-06 00:07
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 15	15	$257	175	101	+74	open	—	04-12 23:51
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	7	$226	150	100	+50	open	—	05-06 07:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 18:52:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	44	69¢	$30	0xf805f5…
05-21 18:49:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x2c077e…
05-21 18:35:23	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x9d2dad…
05-06 10:28:34	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	65¢	$0	0xe6de9a…
05-06 10:27:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x951e0c…
05-06 10:27:14	Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xe00641…
05-06 10:26:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xe1b88e…
05-06 10:21:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	6	66¢	$4	0x9686c6…
05-06 10:21:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x9ba96a…
05-06 10:19:56	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	25	76¢	$19	0xd1092d…
05-06 10:19:48	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0x4e1bf8…
05-06 10:19:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0xe7f1e0…
05-06 10:18:16	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31?	No	SELL	50	61¢	$30	0x2b4442…
05-06 10:13:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	150	71¢	$106	0xdec23a…
05-06 10:10:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	71¢	$71	0x1d3ff7…
05-06 10:09:26	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	345	43¢	$147	0xa92847…
05-06 10:09:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	67¢	$67	0x319fc8…
05-06 10:07:34	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0xd4d84d…
05-06 10:07:06	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0x1b28e4…
05-06 10:06:52	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x0a8128…
05-06 10:06:38	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	66¢	$16	0x92b1c6…
05-06 10:06:20	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	225	67¢	$151	0x2bca8f…
05-06 10:03:50	Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	300	62¢	$186	0x3c2e6f…
05-06 10:03:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	150	56¢	$84	0x71c0c5…
05-06 10:01:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	200	28¢	$56	0x6c3790…
05-06 09:57:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	1,000	30¢	$300	0x0156cf…
05-06 09:57:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x23457b…
05-06 09:56:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	300	33¢	$99	0xadd5f4…
05-06 09:56:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x3e07d5…
05-06 09:55:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xc8298e…
05-06 09:54:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	Yes	SELL	25	18¢	$4	0xbcf007…
05-06 09:53:58	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	17¢	$4	0x3ceaf0…
05-06 09:53:46	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x2fc411…
05-06 09:51:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	32¢	$13	0xaa6d36…
05-06 09:50:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x3c1fc5…
05-06 09:50:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	32¢	$13	0x067ad1…
05-06 09:50:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0xbd13f7…
05-06 09:50:16	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0x55a482…
05-06 09:50:00	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	31¢	$8	0xdeb51a…
05-06 09:49:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x78963e…
05-06 09:49:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x2aa7c9…
05-06 09:49:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0xef1526…
05-06 09:48:48	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0xb1902c…
05-06 09:47:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	30¢	$8	0x895e39…
05-06 09:47:10	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	30¢	$30	0xdfb895…
05-06 09:46:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	32¢	$321	0xda4dfd…
05-06 07:22:40	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xed1392…
05-06 03:38:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x7406f0…
05-06 02:14:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xefdc20…
05-06 00:42:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6a92f2…
05-06 00:38:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x7d179b…
05-06 00:31:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0x90bedf…
05-06 00:31:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	63¢	$1	0xab04d5…
05-06 00:28:50	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xef3832…
05-06 00:27:22	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x690a4f…
05-06 00:27:10	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xec7f5c…
05-06 00:25:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xa920ed…
05-06 00:20:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xdafaef…
05-06 00:13:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xb2b0f6…
05-06 00:12:16	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x163eab…
05-06 00:10:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0x050585…
05-06 00:09:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x692893…
05-06 00:08:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x8e638a…
05-06 00:07:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xfc61e8…
05-06 00:06:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	75	73¢	$55	0x497566…
05-06 00:00:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	3¢	$1	0x90d924…
05-05 22:54:52	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x2a15af…
05-05 20:59:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0x39f61f…
05-05 20:30:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0xbf11bb…
05-05 20:00:58	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x6324b6…
05-05 19:58:04	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0x1b7c51…
05-05 19:57:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0xaba9df…
05-05 19:57:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0xa78a22…
05-05 19:54:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	33	60¢	$20	0xcea867…
05-05 19:53:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xe54484…
05-05 15:34:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	25	77¢	$19	0x8dbe10…
05-05 14:26:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0x8ca7b9…
05-05 14:10:30	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x32baa2…
05-05 12:24:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	76¢	$68	0x3666d9…
05-05 12:19:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0x58ea3c…
05-05 10:02:38	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0x813fcc…
05-05 10:01:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	No	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0xeb0466…
05-05 10:00:04	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0x3e8d20…
05-05 09:41:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	50	85¢	$42	0xd67bee…
05-05 09:33:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x0766f7…
05-05 09:29:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x916d09…
05-05 09:24:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $100 in May?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xe8fa19…
05-05 08:41:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	22	58¢	$13	0x5e01a4…
05-05 08:37:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$4	0xd1278c…
05-05 08:36:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xb992b4…
05-05 08:17:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0xb98025…
05-05 08:13:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x31df63…
05-05 07:50:00	Will gas hit (High) $4.60 by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x1ca943…
05-05 07:38:12	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x5a9181…
05-05 07:30:24	Will gas hit (High) $4.70 by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	71¢	$18	0xda824b…
05-05 07:28:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	25	23¢	$6	0xbd7b77…
05-05 07:18:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	150	3¢	$5	0x47867f…
05-05 07:18:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x45bbe7…
05-05 02:41:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	No	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x928ad4…
05-05 02:33:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x8a7d1a…