Alarming-Hurricane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$114

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

62.1%

Resolved

243

Trades

383

lifetime

Volume

$5.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-19 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 55 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 37% -$87

Other

38% 44% +$13

Sports

15% 50% -$16

Politics

2% 15% -$27

Pop-Culture

1% 25% +$3

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-19).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	+60	$15	6¢	$4	-$11	05-14 04:40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	+139	$10	2¢	$3	-$7	05-14 05:10
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+25	$10	4¢	$1	-$9	05-26 13:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$164	181	181	+0	Up	+$14	06-01 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$163	131	131	+0	Up	+$13	06-01 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	5	$162	365	295	+70	Down	-$18	06-01 04:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$147	136	136	+0	Down	-$3	06-01 04:23
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$145	96	96	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$45	05-29 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	3	$121	124	68	+56	Up	+$11	06-01 04:44
Will New Zealand win?	2	$120	77	77	+0	Yes	+$20	05-28 14:17
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens	2	$110	130	0	+130	Hurricanes	-$4	05-28 01:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	3	$108	145	56	+89	Down	+$46	05-31 05:27
nhl car las 2026 06 09	11	$106	262	0	+262	Hurricanes	-$16	06-10 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	3	$105	212	109	+104	Down	+$59	05-31 05:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	3	$80	85	29	+56	Down	-$30	06-01 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	3	$76	98	40	+58	Up	-$16	06-01 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$75	120	0	+120	Down	-$5	06-01 04:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$75	140	0	+140	Up	+$11	06-01 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$75	186	0	+186	Down	+$29	06-01 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$75	157	0	+157	Up	+$1	06-01 04:37
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	2	$71	51	51	+0	Yes	+$21	06-19 02:53
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	5	$70	77	76	+1	Golden Knights	+$10	06-03 02:37
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	2	$67	42	42	+0	Yes	+$7	06-18 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$62	39	39	+0	Down	+$12	06-01 04:11
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royals	2	$61	36	36	+0	Rajasthan Royals	+$11	05-24 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$60	177	0	+177	Up	+$8	06-01 01:48
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	2	$56	38	38	+0	Yes	+$6	06-22 18:00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$52	89	40	+49	No	+$2	06-06 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$50	121	0	+121	Down	+$21	06-01 06:02
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings	1	$50	76	0	+76	Punjab Kings	+$26	05-23 15:37
nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	1	$50	65	0	+65	Knicks	-$50	06-04 01:56
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	2	$47	28	28	+0	Yes	+$7	06-17 02:34
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 btts	2	$47	32	32	+0	Yes	+$17	06-23 04:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:18:21	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	30	70¢	$21	0x1e1420…
06-28 04:05:04	Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x85cc66…
06-28 04:03:16	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 btts	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5239b2…
06-28 04:02:52	fifwc rsa can 2026 06 28 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x6176db…
06-28 03:48:55	Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x2861e9…
06-28 03:48:38	Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x9a25a9…
06-27 05:07:14	fifwc hrv gha 2026 06 27 btts	Yes	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x97c97f…
06-27 04:59:55	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	28	91¢	$25	0xce217b…
06-27 02:27:10	fifwc egy irn 2026 06 26 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xc2c06a…
06-27 02:17:35	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0x7cefb5…
06-27 02:17:02	Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd6c056…
06-27 01:56:29	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	38	88¢	$34	0x0bef77…
06-27 00:33:46	Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0x56af02…
06-26 19:53:14	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xc9aa2d…
06-26 19:52:35	Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0x5d00ad…
06-26 04:01:53	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd06377…
06-26 04:01:23	fifwc cvi ksa 2026 06 26 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xa16898…
06-26 03:51:34	Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	38	76¢	$29	0x803df5…
06-26 02:40:02	Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	44	27¢	$12	0x21ab01…
06-26 02:39:38	Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x6b4d88…
06-26 02:33:20	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	59	18¢	$11	0xb580f3…
06-26 02:32:52	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	58	22¢	$13	0x5c7c51…
06-25 13:19:08	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x8dadf3…
06-25 03:01:01	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	Yes	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xbe1946…
06-24 01:19:46	Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x736625…
06-24 00:28:53	Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x40495b…
06-23 23:16:34	Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x3dca68…
06-23 22:37:08	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x14456e…
06-23 05:16:28	fifwc che can 2026 06 24 btts	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7ae5c4…
06-23 05:14:55	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0xbe76a5…
06-23 04:42:16	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	21	53¢	$11	0x6e8ecc…
06-23 04:34:41	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0x3b1722…
06-23 03:24:46	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x4e2bf6…
06-23 03:20:38	Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xd07d25…
06-23 02:34:10	fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0xd47a7e…
06-23 02:01:29	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x020ca0…
06-22 18:00:19	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	SELL	38	81¢	$31	0xd37d55…
06-22 05:05:56	Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xda5611…
06-22 03:24:38	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xfb89a3…
06-22 02:52:56	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?	Yes	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0xd41956…
06-22 02:08:53	Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf960a2…
06-22 02:07:13	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	SELL	59	46¢	$27	0x050d78…
06-22 00:56:04	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xc4ddd3…
06-21 05:33:02	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x328941…
06-21 05:17:40	Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xde5c6f…
06-21 04:15:17	Will Tunisia vs. Japan end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x13aa89…
06-21 03:44:38	Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x21c79c…
06-19 02:58:17	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	31	49¢	$15	0xf7fbba…
06-19 02:53:43	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	SELL	51	91¢	$46	0xd05070…
06-19 00:08:17	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x7a8d48…
06-18 22:58:14	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7a7f06…
06-18 22:55:58	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x452e7a…
06-18 20:50:25	Qatar to score first vs. Canada?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x0352cb…
06-18 20:49:43	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x27c484…
06-18 20:43:32	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x675e5b…
06-18 18:16:44	Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc41246…
06-18 18:01:58	Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x500e7e…
06-18 17:59:16	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xdc4938…
06-18 17:48:58	Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x708a89…
06-18 02:47:17	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	SELL	42	88¢	$37	0x33bcee…
06-17 23:21:34	Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x140a1b…
06-17 23:20:28	Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x7a3b73…
06-17 14:17:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 17?	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0xe99fff…
06-17 14:13:02	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x96d3d6…
06-17 13:39:34	Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	Yes	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x78e4ae…
06-17 13:37:08	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2fc885…
06-17 02:34:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0xa4b1e9…
06-17 01:57:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:55 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x6e7070…
06-17 01:53:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:50 UTC	Up	SELL	17	69¢	$11	0x0e357e…
06-17 01:50:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x9fff0d…
06-17 01:48:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 01:45 UTC	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xb4f4d6…
06-16 01:19:40	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	36	30¢	$11	0x363b1c…
06-16 01:18:07	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	25	44¢	$11	0x8ccdc4…
06-16 00:31:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x12d77b…
06-16 00:28:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Down	SELL	19	37¢	$7	0x02b752…
06-16 00:27:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1d6ee0…
06-16 00:10:21	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?	Yes	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x495967…
06-16 00:06:13	Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x68b686…
06-16 00:05:06	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x8d77f4…
06-15 23:50:12	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	15	28¢	$4	0x423060…
06-15 23:49:25	Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xa957d9…
06-15 23:44:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x02693e…
06-15 23:33:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	25	42¢	$11	0x556798…
06-15 23:31:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x2e8535…
06-15 23:12:39	Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x68ef3e…
06-15 22:53:13	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	SELL	42	41¢	$17	0xe0d0cf…
06-15 21:14:06	Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x426f48…
06-15 21:11:36	Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xd8453b…
06-15 21:00:00	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x6b98fa…
06-15 20:25:49	Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x668d80…
06-15 20:20:04	Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x35ccb6…
06-15 20:19:31	Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x72d1af…
06-15 06:26:40	Will France win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xfeeeb5…
06-15 06:25:10	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xececac…
06-15 02:54:25	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xd1c235…
06-14 16:26:00	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xf6a45f…
06-14 16:25:15	Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x039484…
06-14 16:24:40	Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xbacff5…
06-14 16:23:31	Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x043d9a…
06-14 15:55:48	Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x709c18…