Flaky-Octet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$58

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

275

Trades

1,091

lifetime

Volume

$4.58K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-16

last 05-12 10:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 37% $-58

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776732000	2	$22	15	14	+1	open	—	04-21 00:45
btc updown 5m 1776781500	2	$20	15	14	+1	open	—	04-21 14:30
btc updown 5m 1776735900	2	$19	15	14	+1	open	—	04-21 01:50
btc updown 5m 1776792600	2	$19	15	14	+1	open	—	04-21 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$19	36	0	+36	Down	$-19	05-10 12:49
btc updown 5m 1776708600	2	$17	15	14	+1	open	—	04-20 18:15
btc updown 5m 1776735000	2	$17	15	14	+1	open	—	04-21 01:35
btc updown 5m 1776599400	2	$17	25	24	+1	open	—	04-19 11:54
btc updown 5m 1776600300	2	$15	25	24	+1	open	—	04-19 12:09
btc updown 5m 1776597600	1	$15	25	0	+25	open	—	04-19 11:20
btc updown 5m 1776600000	2	$14	25	24	+1	open	—	04-19 12:05
btc updown 5m 1776597900	2	$14	25	24	+1	open	—	04-19 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	5	$14	27	0	+27	Up	+$8	05-11 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	5	$14	27	0	+27	Up	+$2	05-11 07:38
btc updown 5m 1776597300	2	$13	25	24	+1	open	—	04-19 11:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	5	$12	25	0	+25	Down	+$2	05-11 04:38
btc updown 5m 1776819600	1	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	04-22 01:00
btc updown 5m 1776777000	2	$11	15	14	+1	open	—	04-21 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$11	21	0	+21	Up	+$5	05-10 21:28
btc updown 5m 1776831600	1	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	04-22 04:20
btc updown 5m 1776665700	2	$11	15	15	+0	open	—	04-20 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	5	$10	27	0	+27	Down	+$0	05-11 10:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	5	$10	27	0	+27	Up	+$5	05-11 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	2	$10	13	0	+13	Up	+$2	05-10 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	5	$10	28	0	+28	Down	+$1	05-11 12:58
btc updown 5m 1776761400	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-21 08:50
btc updown 5m 1776710700	2	$10	15	14	+1	open	—	04-20 18:50
btc updown 5m 1776835500	2	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	04-22 05:29
btc updown 5m 1776786000	2	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	04-21 15:42
btc updown 5m 1776819900	2	$10	15	14	+1	open	—	04-22 01:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 10:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x7a27e5…
05-12 09:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x6f0253…
05-12 09:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf22ed1…
05-12 09:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x79e840…
05-12 09:26:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x4537df…
05-12 09:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x79cca2…
05-12 09:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x16c1c3…
05-12 09:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0c64e5…
05-12 09:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc9a94d…
05-12 09:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xa0af31…
05-12 09:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0x805e5c…
05-12 08:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x2a8c62…
05-12 08:48:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x88239c…
05-12 08:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x6c3566…
05-12 08:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x122feb…
05-12 08:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xad306b…
05-12 08:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x60ff7a…
05-12 08:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc0d353…
05-12 08:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x8d9ad7…
05-12 08:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xed114e…
05-12 08:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x7f8b4d…
05-12 08:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x618e8a…
05-12 08:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xf58bc3…
05-12 07:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0x38d301…
05-12 07:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2d44ab…
05-12 07:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x458bcc…
05-12 07:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x0c8cc4…
05-12 07:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x75f2d8…
05-12 07:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x5d7a0a…
05-12 07:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xd668b3…
05-12 07:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3a4c9a…
05-12 07:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1e348a…
05-12 06:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0f413a…
05-12 06:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4d042e…
05-12 06:06:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x8a8cf1…
05-12 06:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xe48569…
05-12 05:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0x54f82c…
05-12 05:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9aabf7…
05-12 05:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xa6ee70…
05-12 05:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x0e3f7f…
05-12 05:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0xab6608…
05-12 05:06:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0xb032de…
05-12 04:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x0d54e7…
05-12 04:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x6e494c…
05-12 04:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xfe95c1…
05-12 04:11:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xdc034c…
05-12 04:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9e9d9b…
05-12 04:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x8201d3…
05-12 03:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xdac3a0…
05-12 03:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x9ec37a…
05-12 03:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xa5c0b2…
05-12 03:22:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x415a59…
05-12 02:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x318ee8…
05-12 02:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	81¢	$3	0x826581…
05-12 02:47:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbf545d…
05-12 02:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x37b33a…
05-12 01:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x04f848…
05-12 01:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x7c39df…
05-12 01:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x6671fb…
05-12 01:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xef9236…
05-12 01:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x2f44fc…
05-12 00:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x2c4572…
05-12 00:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x219495…
05-12 00:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb8169c…
05-12 00:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x1b99e3…
05-12 00:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x56ef3b…
05-12 00:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	48¢	$2	0x8b21a2…
05-12 00:12:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x9adeeb…
05-12 00:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xccbe03…
05-12 00:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x277f26…
05-11 23:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x76835b…
05-11 23:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xabc6f7…
05-11 22:56:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	37¢	$1	0xa17a45…
05-11 22:46:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	33¢	$1	0xf525f2…
05-11 22:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xe8ccea…
05-11 22:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xce739f…
05-11 22:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x4f5458…
05-11 21:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x9025fd…
05-11 21:21:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x7c88ec…
05-11 21:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0xd413be…
05-11 21:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x03f42c…
05-11 20:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x569c06…
05-11 20:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x2d1eb8…
05-11 20:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc95e96…
05-11 20:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0x1dddc7…
05-11 20:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x03e4dc…
05-11 19:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	82¢	$3	0x75ffb0…
05-11 19:42:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x7188e4…
05-11 19:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5915d0…
05-11 19:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9bb7a2…
05-11 19:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd32027…
05-11 18:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xb56eae…
05-11 18:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa5666e…
05-11 18:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x45a37a…
05-11 18:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xfdc9fe…
05-11 18:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x5cd90a…
05-11 18:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xf16e31…
05-11 18:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x3accd4…
05-11 18:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xeeafe6…
05-11 18:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x064a54…