Flaky-Octet — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.1%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

45 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$87

$95 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 05-11 05:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% +$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$7	10	+10	Down	$-7	05-11 02:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$6	11	+11	Up	+$6	05-10 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$6	10	+10	Down	$-6	05-10 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$6	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-10 23:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	2	$6	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-10 23:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$5	10	+10	Down	$-0	05-11 02:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$4	10	+10	Down	+$6	05-11 03:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$4	11	+11	Up	$-4	05-11 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$3	8	+8	Down	+$5	05-11 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Up	+$4	05-10 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$3	7	+7	Down	$-3	05-11 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-10 12:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-10 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	$-2	05-11 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Up	$-2	05-10 20:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Up	$-2	05-10 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Down	$-2	05-10 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-10 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-10 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$3	05-10 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-10 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$2	6	+6	Up	+$4	05-10 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Down	$-2	05-11 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$4	05-11 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$2	11	+11	Down	$-2	05-10 22:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$2	12	+12	Down	$-2	05-11 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$2	13	+13	Down	$-2	05-10 22:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	1	$2	5	+5	Up	+$4	05-11 02:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$2	11	+11	Down	$-2	05-11 00:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$1	7	+7	Up	+$6	05-10 22:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 05:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x97f4de…
05-11 05:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x326697…
05-11 05:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x2d7582…
05-11 04:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf2e5c4…
05-11 04:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x4ad9f2…
05-11 04:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x12383b…
05-11 03:48:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x837c14…
05-11 03:48:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xde277f…
05-11 03:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xb4a6d5…
05-11 03:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x39ef57…
05-11 03:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x9862e8…
05-11 03:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	14¢	$2	0x8029b9…
05-11 02:56:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x902a77…
05-11 02:55:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x9a3fe2…
05-11 02:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x8e6b70…
05-11 02:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xb94539…
05-11 02:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4b3998…
05-11 00:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0xfd17cb…
05-10 23:56:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x40e1d9…
05-10 23:51:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x670eec…
05-10 23:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x46a396…
05-10 23:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x44b7bf…
05-10 23:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x54fe23…
05-10 23:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x56e2f1…
05-10 23:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xbb4f46…
05-10 23:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xab0bd6…
05-10 22:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0xaf43d5…
05-10 22:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf63099…
05-10 22:47:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xcd71b7…
05-10 22:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x4b6da7…
05-10 22:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	13	13¢	$2	0xf1519a…
05-10 21:16:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xffdfe0…
05-10 20:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x4433ec…
05-10 20:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x494d29…
05-10 20:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0x82108c…
05-10 12:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1e2da3…
05-10 11:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x2f8563…
05-10 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x87a65a…
05-10 10:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xe6c109…
05-10 09:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xec151d…
05-10 09:19:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8b0b0f…
05-10 06:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xc319a1…
05-10 05:07:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb4ba7a…
05-10 04:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xdd931d…
05-10 03:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x3ac48c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Lumbering-Kayak 0xf6ab…3579	36	$1.64K	192	05-11 05:43
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	35	$16.0K	537	05-11 05:44
Impressive-Buck 0xbd05…0a55	35	$2.24K	258	05-11 05:43
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	34	$15.6K	411	05-11 05:44
Mad-Plot 0x2709…20f5	34	$1.80K	250	05-11 05:44
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	34	$1.50K	293	05-11 05:44
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	33	$1.56K	394	05-11 05:43
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	32	$3.68K	316	05-11 05:43