Icy-Rationale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

Trades

564

lifetime

Volume

$3.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-21 08:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Other

71% 29% $-21

Sports

26% 57% +$5

Politics

2% 100% +$3

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Hamburg European Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli	7	$109	66	55	+11	open	—	05-18 15:07
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	12	$71	99	99	+0	open	—	04-27 13:21
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov	5	$65	78	0	+78	open	—	05-19 11:40
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Tamara Zidansek	5	$65	77	0	+77	open	—	05-20 09:12
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	5	$63	75	0	+75	open	—	05-17 19:05
Spread: Fluminense FC (-1.5)	5	$59	71	0	+71	open	—	05-16 23:48
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	7	$52	39	39	+0	open	—	05-21 08:49
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe	8	$52	43	27	+16	open	—	05-20 21:37
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	6	$49	61	0	+61	open	—	05-20 01:47
Counter-Strike: illwill vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	5	$48	60	0	+60	open	—	05-18 15:21
Wuxi: Tung-Lin Wu vs James McCabe	2	$45	37	37	+0	James McCabe	+$30	05-05 08:10
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedi	4	$45	16	37	-21	open	—	05-20 21:36
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	6	$44	57	0	+57	open	—	05-19 22:44
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Xinyu Wang vs Lois Boisson	5	$44	56	0	+56	open	—	05-17 13:37
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	5	$42	54	0	+54	open	—	05-18 12:16
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia	5	$42	54	0	+54	open	—	05-20 09:00
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Peyton Stearns vs Daria Kasatkina	5	$40	53	0	+53	open	—	05-19 11:52
Internationaux de Strasbourg, Qualification: Talia Gibson vs Eva Lys	5	$40	52	0	+52	open	—	05-16 11:57
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Tallon Griekspoor	5	$39	52	0	+52	open	—	05-16 15:28
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets	4	$37	48	0	+48	open	—	05-17 01:10
Istanbul: Daniel Michalski vs Marat Sharipov	4	$37	49	0	+49	open	—	05-18 14:21
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies	4	$37	48	0	+48	open	—	05-17 21:52
San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics	4	$37	47	0	+47	open	—	05-17 22:10
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic	4	$37	48	0	+48	open	—	05-20 17:49
Geneva Open: Valentin Royer vs Francisco Comesana	4	$37	48	0	+48	open	—	05-18 13:40
Paris: Diane Parry vs Chloe Paquet	7	$37	50	0	+50	open	—	05-14 17:06
Geneva Open, Qualification: Raul Brancaccio vs Clement Tabur	4	$37	48	0	+48	open	—	05-17 12:18
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Harold Mayot vs Tomas Barrios	4	$37	47	0	+47	open	—	05-19 18:40
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nerman Fatic vs Kyrian Jacquet	4	$37	47	0	+47	open	—	05-20 16:36
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Lucrezia Stefanini vs Alina Charaeva	3	$36	42	0	+42	open	—	05-19 19:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 08:49:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x945d68…
05-21 08:49:53	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	SELL	11	28¢	$3	0x3ecda4…
05-21 08:49:50	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x0085ae…
05-21 08:49:41	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	1WIN	SELL	11	71¢	$7	0x3d91e3…
05-21 08:49:36	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	Lynn Vision	SELL	28	92¢	$25	0xc0e446…
05-21 08:48:05	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	Lynn Vision	BUY	17	90¢	$16	0x11f201…
05-21 07:43:46	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	Lynn Vision	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x803c2c…
05-21 06:56:45	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0xfc2c85…
05-21 06:35:47	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe12ca2…
05-21 06:35:29	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	Lynn Vision	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x83dd44…
05-21 06:25:10	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xbe8da3…
05-21 06:12:57	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x264fb7…
05-21 06:08:18	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xb38237…
05-21 06:08:18	Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs 1WIN (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	1WIN	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa03f38…
05-21 06:06:33	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	Liquid	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x064f5f…
05-21 03:48:01	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xeed90d…
05-21 03:39:07	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	13	88¢	$12	0xbaabc1…
05-21 03:22:03	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	3DMAX	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x3177d7…
05-21 03:16:15	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	Liquid	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x16453b…
05-21 03:07:27	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	Liquid	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xdf2c54…
05-21 03:07:11	Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	3DMAX	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x2af337…
05-21 02:16:50	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xd747b1…
05-21 02:16:50	Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels	Athletics	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6abd78…
05-21 00:34:28	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc5970f…
05-21 00:32:55	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xdc2d7e…
05-21 00:03:38	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xa0e77a…
05-20 23:36:06	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xf6578d…
05-20 22:41:21	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc95beb…
05-20 22:41:21	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x806408…
05-20 22:18:21	Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x3bd116…
05-20 21:37:25	Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1ad084…
05-20 21:36:59	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0xac0075…
05-20 21:36:19	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedi	Leandro Riedi	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x85679c…
05-20 21:33:55	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x527854…
05-20 19:10:57	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4e5595…
05-20 19:08:58	Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	10	93¢	$10	0x96d920…
05-20 18:19:35	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x6a5031…
05-20 18:12:18	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedi	Gianluca Cadenasso	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x535e05…
05-20 18:10:48	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedi	Leandro Riedi	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x4e4804…
05-20 18:10:31	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Leandro Riedi	Gianluca Cadenasso	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xad6818…
05-20 17:49:15	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic	Emma Navarro	BUY	32	91¢	$29	0x6f89dc…
05-20 17:11:45	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Xinyu Gao vs Harmony Tan	Xinyu Gao	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0xccd457…
05-20 17:11:13	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Xinyu Gao vs Harmony Tan	Harmony Tan	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x5ac3a8…
05-20 17:01:20	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Xinyu Gao vs Harmony Tan	Harmony Tan	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x9b268b…
05-20 17:01:02	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Xinyu Gao vs Harmony Tan	Xinyu Gao	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe420fb…
05-20 16:36:43	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nerman Fatic vs Kyrian Jacquet	Kyrian Jacquet	BUY	32	92¢	$29	0xc7a659…
05-20 16:28:19	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic	Iva Jovic	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3e45c6…
05-20 16:27:05	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic	Iva Jovic	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd041a2…
05-20 16:26:48	Internationaux de Strasbourg: Emma Navarro vs Iva Jovic	Emma Navarro	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xfd49d8…
05-20 15:45:11	Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9e0c5b…
05-20 15:44:55	Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x9f3eed…
05-20 15:35:23	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Borna Gojo	Henrique Rocha	BUY	17	89¢	$16	0x0778e1…
05-20 15:29:43	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Borna Gojo	Borna Gojo	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xfe3afb…
05-20 15:29:26	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Henrique Rocha vs Borna Gojo	Henrique Rocha	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd2ebf2…
05-20 14:59:58	Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1fc401…
05-20 14:52:42	Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3a2d13…
05-20 14:45:32	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nerman Fatic vs Kyrian Jacquet	Nerman Fatic	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x84f39b…
05-20 14:44:22	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nerman Fatic vs Kyrian Jacquet	Kyrian Jacquet	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x1f88ec…
05-20 14:44:06	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Nerman Fatic vs Kyrian Jacquet	Nerman Fatic	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x1acffa…
05-20 14:41:20	Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x52eeb9…
05-20 14:41:04	Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoe	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x933984…
05-20 12:22:02	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Julia Riera vs Robin Montgomery	Julia Riera	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x8ee9e7…
05-20 12:00:27	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kaja Juvan vs Guiomar Maristany	Guiomar Maristany	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0xa42de8…
05-20 11:58:12	GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Fiona Ferro vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0xfb0d4a…
05-20 11:33:40	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kaja Juvan vs Guiomar Maristany	Kaja Juvan	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x07ae6c…
05-20 11:02:12	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin	David Goffin	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xdaf6f7…
05-20 10:44:32	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin	Toby Samuel	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x968644…
05-20 10:39:36	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin	David Goffin	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x009a6e…
05-20 10:39:20	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Toby Samuel vs David Goffin	Toby Samuel	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa8da53…
05-20 09:51:02	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Lisa Pigato	Lisa Pigato	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0x58026f…
05-20 09:49:14	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Lisa Pigato	Lisa Pigato	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xbd601e…
05-20 09:48:58	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Lisa Pigato	Sloane Stephens	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9fd668…
05-20 09:12:06	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Tamara Zidansek	Anna-Lena Friedsam	BUY	29	96¢	$28	0x33205f…
05-20 09:07:03	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Tamara Zidansek	Anna-Lena Friedsam	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0xdf1920…
05-20 09:00:31	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xf4f690…
05-20 08:58:44	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia	Michael Zheng	BUY	32	90¢	$29	0x3fec8d…
05-20 08:44:48	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Tamara Zidansek	Tamara Zidansek	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8c8898…
05-20 08:43:47	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Tamara Zidansek	Tamara Zidansek	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3a70df…
05-20 08:43:31	Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Tamara Zidansek	Anna-Lena Friedsam	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x5afc68…
05-20 08:26:43	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x7f1608…
05-20 08:25:42	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia	Stefano Travaglia	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xe73a49…
05-20 08:25:24	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Michael Zheng vs Stefano Travaglia	Michael Zheng	BUY	5	65¢	$4	0x8832c2…
05-20 01:47:04	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x655623…
05-20 01:30:09	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	7	92¢	$7	0x6adcc0…
05-20 01:24:26	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0x465150…
05-20 00:59:49	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x74448d…
05-20 00:54:19	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0x1e3910…
05-20 00:53:23	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x008426…
05-20 00:51:39	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xb7f33c…
05-19 23:46:16	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x7fd5f0…
05-19 23:28:46	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x986aa8…
05-19 23:27:15	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Detroit Tigers	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xb7febf…
05-19 23:27:13	Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x738672…
05-19 23:16:26	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe2b49e…
05-19 23:13:59	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x5f04a3…
05-19 23:13:10	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	Toronto Blue Jays	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xe8559a…
05-19 23:13:10	Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x8c8e3e…
05-19 22:44:56	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0xffd1dc…
05-19 22:43:25	Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins	Atlanta Braves	BUY	23	95¢	$21	0x11e3da…
05-19 22:42:30	Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x866baa…