Warped-Night — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

10.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$107

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-11

last 05-13 09:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 0% $-31

Other

42% 25% +$4

Sports

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	4	$10	17	17	+0	open	—	04-08 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	2	$9	72	0	+72	Down	$-9	05-11 01:31
nvda above 195 on february 13 2026	2	$7	27	0	+27	open	—	02-11 13:59
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?	3	$7	96	0	+96	No	$-7	05-11 08:28
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$6	74	0	+74	Up	$-6	05-11 07:09
bitcoin above 68k on february 15	2	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	02-11 14:50
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	1	$5	34	0	+34	G2 Esports	$-5	05-09 13:16
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	1	$5	21	0	+21	GIANTX	+$16	05-09 16:56
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 11-17?	1	$5	18	0	+18	open	—	05-13 09:06
Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-10 21:13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	6	$5	65	0	+65	open	—	04-27 23:10
Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?	2	$5	14	0	+14	Up	$-5	05-10 02:26
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	1	$5	26	0	+26	Up	$-5	05-09 12:47
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 125m and 150m views in its first 7 days	1	$3	45	0	+45	open	—	02-11 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 28?	1	$3	67	0	+67	open	—	04-28 02:35
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	02-11 17:36
ethereum up or down on february 11	1	$3	38	0	+38	open	—	02-11 12:52
will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be between 59m and 65m	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	02-12 04:09
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$3	14	0	+14	open	—	02-11 12:52
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	1	$2	9	0	+9	open	—	04-27 18:46
aapl above 280 on february 27 2026	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	02-12 14:34
eth updown 4h 1770843600	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	02-12 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	04-28 07:07
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	04-27 17:36
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season	3	$1	15	0	+15	ENCE	$-1	05-11 13:47
cs2 fnc 33 2026 02 11	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	02-11 17:36
Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	02-11 12:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 09:06:14	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	18	29¢	$5	0xd3fbd3…
05-11 13:47:01	Counter-Strike: ENCE vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season	KAJO	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x5fd3ec…
05-11 13:10:00	Counter-Strike: ENCE vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season	KAJO	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x679821…
05-11 13:09:46	Counter-Strike: ENCE vs KAJO (BO3) - Elisa Open Suomi Regular Season	KAJO	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x478fde…
05-11 08:28:19	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x7d7648…
05-11 07:09:51	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0x5d884f…
05-11 07:00:02	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x09e804…
05-11 05:56:16	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xd45a0e…
05-11 05:44:59	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	90	7¢	$7	0x32d283…
05-11 01:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x9918e1…
05-11 01:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	71	12¢	$9	0x598db1…
05-10 21:13:06	Ethereum Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x0e4353…
05-10 02:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	1	37¢	$0	0x5d6bd1…
05-10 02:26:05	Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0xa2f927…
05-09 16:56:18	LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	GIANTX	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd745b8…
05-09 13:16:22	LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	GIANTX	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0x71a764…
05-09 12:47:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 9?	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xe04cf3…
04-28 07:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	17¢	$1	0xeddcc1…
04-28 02:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 28?	No	BUY	67	4¢	$3	0x3a4c2c…
04-27 23:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	29	8¢	$2	0xf81e60…
04-27 22:35:52	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x67b599…
04-27 22:33:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x235e0d…
04-27 22:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x8be216…
04-27 22:30:32	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0xbe7f2a…
04-27 22:28:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 71°F or below on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x43fa47…
04-27 18:46:26	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x69f0b6…
04-27 17:36:24	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	Down	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x274049…
04-08 14:37:29	Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	SELL	17	40¢	$7	0x48d1a1…
02-12 14:34:35	aapl above 280 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xca2be7…
02-12 14:32:45	aapl above 280 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x3a3228…
02-12 07:42:11	Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x4d7720…
02-12 04:09:45	will wuthering heights opening weekend box office be between 59m and 65m	Yes	BUY	8	31¢	$3	0xae90f1…
02-12 03:59:19	Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x3369d6…
02-12 03:52:47	Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	17¢	$1	0x40b976…
02-12 00:01:33	eth updown 4h 1770843600	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x1b5d0c…
02-11 17:36:11	cs2 fnc 33 2026 02 11	fnatic	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xa73ea5…
02-11 17:36:07	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xfd5a44…
02-11 14:50:55	bitcoin above 68k on february 15	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x924252…
02-11 14:50:51	bitcoin above 68k on february 15	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0fafbb…
02-11 13:59:59	nvda above 195 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xbe9425…
02-11 13:58:53	nvda above 195 on february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x844741…
02-11 12:52:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0xd0dc07…
02-11 12:52:43	ethereum up or down on february 11	Up	BUY	38	7¢	$3	0x450769…
02-11 12:51:31	will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 125m and 150m views in its first 7 days	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x64862d…
02-11 12:30:47	Will TheUnitedStrand get a haircut by 2025-26 season end?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x5d9542…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	15	$3.78K	943	05-16 06:59
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	10	$2.75K	71	05-16 07:16
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	10	$1.02K	737	05-10 15:50
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	9	$5.43K	1,589	03-25 12:38
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	9	$2.34K	992	03-31 18:42
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	8	$22.7K	212	05-09 17:18
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	7	$27.5K	276	05-10 15:50
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	7	$7.69K	789	04-28 05:09