Rural-Derivation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$939

Unrealized P&L

-$610

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$352

Open exposure

$390

1 position

First seen

2026-01-15

last 06-13 16:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

65% 100% +$1,259

Other

19% — —

Sports

16% 0% $-320

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes		+11,636	$1,000	3¢	$390	$-610	06-13 16:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.1K	684	684	+0	open	—	04-19 08:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$1.1K	596	596	+0	open	—	04-22 16:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$1.1K	618	618	+0	open	—	04-14 07:11
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1000	11,636	0	+11,636	open	—	06-13 16:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$989	2,248	0	+2,248	Yes	+$1,259	01-22 15:26
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$986	1,218	1,218	+0	open	—	03-29 07:30
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$643	524	524	+0	open	—	03-24 09:52
russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	2	$402	235	235	+0	open	—	03-24 09:52
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	1	$320	385	0	+385	Sean Strickland	$-320	05-05 16:17
Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-02 06:17
highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	1	$100	230	0	+230	open	—	04-22 16:20
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 draw	1	$100	370	0	+370	open	—	04-19 14:57
epl mac ars 2026 04 19 btts	1	$100	192	0	+192	open	—	04-19 14:56
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 draw	1	$43	158	0	+158	open	—	01-17 11:39
sea com mil 2026 01 15 mil	1	$28	73	0	+73	open	—	01-15 05:48
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$21	46	0	+46	open	—	01-15 05:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 16:25:43	Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	11,636	9¢	$1,000	0xac0463…
05-05 16:17:24	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	385	83¢	$320	0xc25783…
05-02 06:17:32	Arsenal FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x69e9a3…
04-22 16:20:16	highest temperature in london on april 23 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	230	43¢	$100	0x95e835…
04-22 16:13:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	596	100¢	$594	0xa78334…
04-20 05:51:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	596	83¢	$495	0xee6b8a…
04-19 14:57:38	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 draw	Yes	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xd1514e…
04-19 14:56:50	epl mac ars 2026 04 19 btts	Yes	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xe84000…
04-19 08:48:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	684	74¢	$505	0x3e1b3a…
04-15 02:02:06	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	684	90¢	$614	0x06e311…
04-14 07:11:13	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	618	99¢	$613	0xa29636…
04-10 06:48:15	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	618	71¢	$439	0x02e3eb…
03-29 07:30:14	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	1,218	36¢	$438	0x0a4a76…
03-24 09:56:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	1,218	45¢	$548	0x34e9dc…
03-24 09:52:29	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	No	SELL	235	87¢	$205	0x8c65ff…
03-24 09:52:15	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	524	65¢	$343	0x21004b…
03-22 08:51:07	russia x ukraine ceasefire before us x iran ceasefire	No	BUY	235	84¢	$197	0xcae0c8…
03-22 08:49:59	Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	524	57¢	$300	0x73b754…
01-22 15:26:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,248	44¢	$989	0xedf40a…
01-17 11:39:38	epl mun mac 2026 01 17 draw	Yes	BUY	158	27¢	$43	0x5c1431…
01-15 05:48:58	sea com mil 2026 01 15 mil	Yes	BUY	73	39¢	$28	0xc1c1f2…
01-15 05:43:42	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x82f7b6…
01-15 05:43:26	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd90f70…