Defenseless-Chainstay — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

116

lifetime

Volume

$59.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$511

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 06-17 01:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 0% $-9

Sports

27% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	6	$6.6K	3,318	3,318	+0	No	$-3	03-24 14:51
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$5.0K	2,499	2,499	+0	open	—	03-19 12:20
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$4.2K	2,113	2,113	+0	No	$-2	03-21 13:16
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$2.3K	1,162	1,162	+0	open	—	03-20 11:22
will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.3K	1,128	1,128	+0	open	—	03-21 06:43
will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.2K	1,130	1,130	+0	open	—	03-25 18:20
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,109	1,109	+0	open	—	03-19 09:02
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,077	1,077	+0	open	—	03-21 18:22
will sahith theegala win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.1K	1,043	1,043	+0	open	—	03-22 16:26
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.1K	1,030	1,030	+0	No	$-1	03-23 08:24
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,026	1,026	+0	open	—	03-24 06:23
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.8K	911	911	+0	open	—	02-26 19:47
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$1.8K	888	888	+0	No	$-2	03-18 17:59
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	4	$1.8K	905	905	+0	open	—	01-26 02:31
Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.7K	826	826	+0	open	—	03-02 16:55
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$1.6K	824	824	+0	No	$-1	03-16 06:29
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$1.5K	771	771	+0	open	—	03-01 18:26
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.5K	731	731	+0	open	—	02-12 03:03
will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$1.4K	719	719	+0	open	—	02-18 06:30
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	1	$1.4K	2,113	0	+2,113	open	—	04-25 06:27
nba hou phx 2026 04 07	1	$1.3K	2,596	0	+2,596	open	—	04-07 08:43
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$1.2K	589	589	+0	open	—	03-02 21:20
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$1.2K	586	586	+0	open	—	02-06 08:37
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$1.1K	562	562	+0	open	—	03-02 20:00
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	2	$815	408	408	+0	open	—	02-03 09:15
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	1	$805	806	0	+806	open	—	05-23 04:51
will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$774	779	0	+779	open	—	02-21 08:13
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$677	681	0	+681	open	—	06-17 01:52
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	2	$631	317	317	+0	open	—	01-15 11:10
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	1	$602	603	0	+603	open	—	05-26 17:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 01:52:52	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	BUY	681	100¢	$677	0xf5e649…
05-26 17:33:38	Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?	No	BUY	603	100¢	$602	0xc5d350…
05-23 04:51:47	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	BUY	806	100¢	$805	0x4166cf…
04-25 06:27:42	LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Top Esports	BUY	2,113	65¢	$1,374	0x3d03ee…
04-07 08:43:15	nba hou phx 2026 04 07	Rockets	BUY	2,596	51¢	$1,324	0xd0619f…
03-29 00:34:08	will solana reach 120 in march 2026	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xfcdb9d…
03-25 18:20:11	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,130	100¢	$1,124	0x4dcbbc…
03-25 17:12:11	will max homa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,130	100¢	$1,126	0x780c8e…
03-24 14:51:41	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,109	100¢	$1,105	0x0db1e6…
03-24 13:19:59	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,109	100¢	$1,106	0xa6a9a9…
03-24 11:25:01	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,120	100¢	$1,115	0x73b4e4…
03-24 09:35:39	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,120	100¢	$1,116	0x8bc82f…
03-24 06:23:59	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,026	100¢	$1,022	0x9a2f53…
03-24 05:28:23	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,026	100¢	$1,023	0x5aad70…
03-23 08:24:37	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,030	100¢	$1,026	0xd86ca6…
03-23 05:22:47	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,030	100¢	$1,027	0xd6cb3f…
03-22 16:26:41	will sahith theegala win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,043	99¢	$1,036	0xe921a8…
03-22 14:17:35	will sahith theegala win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,043	100¢	$1,037	0x74b929…
03-21 18:22:15	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,077	100¢	$1,074	0x059e00…
03-21 16:30:31	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,077	100¢	$1,075	0x302ea9…
03-21 13:16:23	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,158	100¢	$1,155	0xea6aa3…
03-21 12:24:31	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,158	100¢	$1,156	0xa99820…
03-21 10:15:29	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,089	100¢	$1,085	0x06e574…
03-21 08:25:27	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,089	100¢	$1,086	0xd09f4e…
03-21 06:43:39	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,128	100¢	$1,125	0xf1e220…
03-21 04:28:53	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,128	100¢	$1,126	0x085d77…
03-20 11:22:31	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	1,162	100¢	$1,160	0xe3ba25…
03-20 09:05:25	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	1,162	100¢	$1,161	0xd42a36…
03-19 12:20:41	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,132	99¢	$1,125	0xd20603…
03-19 11:00:41	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,132	99¢	$1,126	0x22b643…
03-19 09:02:45	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,109	100¢	$1,104	0x3c03ba…
03-19 06:53:53	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,109	100¢	$1,106	0xb5739d…
03-18 17:59:31	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	888	100¢	$884	0xd456dc…
03-18 15:48:53	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	888	100¢	$886	0x938e71…
03-17 06:02:15	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,000	27¢	$270	0x188b78…
03-17 03:16:25	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,000	28¢	$280	0xf3a85a…
03-16 12:43:29	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	955	100¢	$952	0x032690…
03-16 11:23:01	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	955	100¢	$953	0xa3923d…
03-16 06:29:41	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	824	100¢	$822	0x9dc897…
03-16 05:12:53	Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	824	100¢	$823	0xbd0109…
03-14 01:52:15	nhl car tb 2026 03 14	Lightning	BUY	97	55¢	$53	0xcdc95f…
03-13 02:02:51	sea tor par 2026 03 13 par	No	BUY	84	77¢	$64	0xcf0fac…
03-12 02:27:21	nba min lac 2026 03 11 spread home 1pt5	Timberwolves	BUY	138	49¢	$67	0x452769…
03-11 01:49:23	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	No	BUY	107	79¢	$84	0xe272bd…
03-10 03:15:31	nhl ana wpg 2026 03 10	Jets	BUY	135	56¢	$76	0x28deb8…
03-09 03:09:51	nba den okc 2026 03 09	Thunder	BUY	143	72¢	$103	0x2365e0…
03-08 02:44:57	nba bos cle 2026 03 08	Cavaliers	BUY	134	51¢	$68	0x18b130…
03-07 06:18:45	lal mad rso 2026 03 07 draw	No	BUY	74	76¢	$56	0x669070…
03-06 09:43:15	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	760	100¢	$757	0x0e8012…
03-06 09:26:05	sea nap tor 2026 03 06 spread home 1pt5	Torino FC	BUY	78	66¢	$52	0x621472…
03-06 08:37:05	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$189	0x3e3742…
03-06 08:35:07	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	570	100¢	$567	0xf43ee9…
03-05 09:32:23	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	608	100¢	$605	0xe240e5…
03-05 08:33:13	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	608	100¢	$606	0xa46dcf…
03-05 07:41:25	nhl ott cal 2026 03 05	Flames	BUY	165	40¢	$66	0x830a24…
03-04 06:18:03	Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x9d6a31…
03-02 21:20:11	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	589	100¢	$587	0xe14859…
03-02 20:06:41	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	589	100¢	$587	0x41259d…
03-02 20:00:33	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	562	100¢	$561	0x8cb288…
03-02 18:04:25	Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	562	100¢	$561	0x3cfd10…
03-02 16:55:03	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	826	100¢	$825	0x565fbc…
03-02 16:05:51	Will Celta Vigo win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	826	100¢	$826	0x0ced1c…
03-01 18:26:17	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	771	100¢	$769	0x652c83…
03-01 16:31:09	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	771	100¢	$770	0x64406c…
02-28 09:34:33	epl new eve 2026 02 28 eve	No	BUY	144	80¢	$115	0x9c6d14…
02-26 19:47:12	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	911	99¢	$903	0x578849…
02-26 18:02:56	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	911	99¢	$904	0x783fef…
02-26 09:44:08	bitcoin above 74k on february 26	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xcc2f99…
02-25 02:26:56	nhl col utah 2026 02 25	Utah	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0xd11c19…
02-21 08:13:54	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	779	99¢	$774	0x26ab73…
02-21 07:44:30	nba hou nyk 2026 02 21 spread home 3pt5	Rockets	BUY	25	50¢	$12	0x8dc684…
02-18 06:30:12	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	719	99¢	$715	0x29e6b7…
02-18 05:45:24	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	719	100¢	$716	0x128bbb…
02-15 08:32:01	mex san maz 2026 02 15 draw	No	BUY	19	75¢	$14	0x0b6825…
02-14 03:39:03	fl1 olm str 2026 02 14 draw	Yes	BUY	64	24¢	$15	0xe1f45d…
02-13 07:06:59	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x1b35b7…
02-12 03:03:17	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	731	100¢	$727	0x7b5358…
02-12 02:37:07	nba dal lal 2026 02 12	Lakers	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x696d21…
02-12 02:18:47	Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	731	100¢	$728	0xd7ff93…
02-11 09:52:57	nba det tor 2026 02 11	Raptors	BUY	28	48¢	$14	0xf043bf…
02-11 07:52:01	bitcoin above 72k on february 11	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa8f8f1…
02-10 07:29:05	bitcoin above 74k on february 10	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x3b04cf…
02-10 06:38:53	epl tot new 2026 02 10 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	28	57¢	$16	0xb9efbe…
02-09 07:13:49	sea ata cre 2026 02 09 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x5eecf9…
02-08 08:18:23	nba ind tor 2026 02 08 spread home 8pt5	Raptors	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x20e58e…
02-07 03:47:47	bun hei hsv 2026 02 07 hei	No	BUY	19	68¢	$13	0xe45d41…
02-06 08:37:21	Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	586	99¢	$582	0x67314e…
02-06 07:20:13	Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	586	99¢	$582	0xf33af7…
02-06 02:02:29	nba ind mil 2026 02 06	Pacers	BUY	28	51¢	$14	0xb82b0c…
02-05 05:39:49	nhl pit buf 2026 02 05	Penguins	BUY	26	45¢	$12	0xd33b08…
02-03 09:15:22	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	408	100¢	$408	0xee51d7…
02-03 02:45:56	nhl wsh phi 2026 02 03	Flyers	BUY	166	55¢	$91	0xd27787…
02-03 02:45:52	nhl wsh phi 2026 02 03	Flyers	BUY	21	55¢	$11	0x16aeb6…
02-02 10:58:36	nba nop cha 2026 02 02	Hornets	SELL	139	70¢	$98	0xe857cc…
02-02 09:43:34	nba nop cha 2026 02 02	Hornets	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x3aaab5…
02-01 08:26:44	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	408	100¢	$407	0xf982d6…
01-26 11:21:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0xfdeee3…
01-26 11:21:19	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	186	99¢	$184	0x35cdc1…
01-26 02:31:42	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	446	99¢	$442	0x362666…
01-25 12:08:22	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	446	99¢	$442	0x10d9eb…