True-Gran — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.6%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$409

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-20 04:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 17% $-21

Other

21% 33% +$2

Sports

2% 100% +$1

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	6	$30	56	56	+0	open	—	05-29 03:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	4	$25	23	22	+0	open	—	05-21 05:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	05-28 07:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	4	$20	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	4	$19	20	20	+0	open	—	05-28 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	3	$17	21	11	+9	open	—	05-29 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	8	$17	62	6	+56	open	—	06-01 08:33
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	2	$13	19	19	+0	Team WE	+$4	05-13 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	open	—	05-21 05:12
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	2	$12	7	7	+0	Deep Cross Gaming	+$3	05-13 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-21 04:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-28 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-22 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-29 03:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	05-21 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	06-01 08:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$9	918	0	+918	Down	$-9	05-13 09:19
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$9	9	9	+0	Cavaliers	+$1	05-14 02:12
btc updown 5m 1780631700	2	$9	26	26	+0	open	—	06-05 03:59
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	2	$8	10	10	+0	AM Gaming	$-0	05-13 13:39
btc updown 5m 1780816800	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	06-07 07:22
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	2	$8	8	8	+0	Xtreme Gaming	$-0	05-13 13:39
First Blood in Game 2?	2	$8	9	9	+0	Team WE	$-0	05-13 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$8	15	15	+0	open	—	06-03 10:16
Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	05-14 02:01
LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	2	$8	9	9	+0	open	—	05-14 02:01
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)	2	$8	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$6	20	20	+0	Down	$-4	05-12 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$5	19	19	+0	Up	$-5	05-12 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$5	12	12	+0	open	—	05-21 05:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 04:21:28	will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922	Yes	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x662597…
06-07 07:22:43	btc updown 5m 1780816800	Up	SELL	12	28¢	$3	0x0155c4…
06-07 07:21:15	btc updown 5m 1780816800	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xfbffa8…
06-07 07:20:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x3802fa…
06-07 07:20:40	will openais valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 643	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xbe67f2…
06-05 03:59:19	btc updown 5m 1780631700	Up	SELL	26	14¢	$4	0x1da494…
06-05 03:58:39	btc updown 5m 1780631700	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xea3df4…
06-04 10:02:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by august 31 2026	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d8a7a…
06-04 10:02:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x073d65…
06-04 10:02:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by october 31 2026	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5274dc…
06-03 10:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	15	19¢	$3	0xb97fc7…
06-03 10:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x19ef60…
06-01 08:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	9	52¢	$5	0x65ce97…
06-01 08:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x3289a4…
06-01 08:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xdcd2c8…
06-01 08:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc88e91…
06-01 08:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xa3397b…
06-01 08:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x893cce…
06-01 08:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x614176…
06-01 08:33:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2c83ba…
06-01 08:33:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xfa593a…
06-01 08:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xe9ae44…
06-01 08:07:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4f8881…
05-31 13:04:12	Kosice: Martin Krumich vs Kilian Feldbausch	Martin Krumich	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x691258…
05-31 13:03:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	58¢	$2	0x33e7d4…
05-29 03:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x9edb02…
05-29 03:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa7718d…
05-29 03:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0x52fe88…
05-29 03:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0xa5d419…
05-29 03:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xf4ac6b…
05-29 03:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x472cd8…
05-29 03:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xed5d8c…
05-29 03:15:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6968b0…
05-29 03:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x784d21…
05-29 03:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0x2df77f…
05-29 03:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbe5a0b…
05-29 03:13:15	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x9b0c05…
05-28 07:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	6	81¢	$5	0xe52745…
05-28 07:30:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xbb43a8…
05-28 07:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0x8c6558…
05-28 07:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x08c0a6…
05-28 07:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x8f9940…
05-28 07:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x308881…
05-28 07:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4420e7…
05-28 07:26:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	13	26¢	$3	0x7323df…
05-28 07:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xf593de…
05-28 07:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x058299…
05-28 07:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xd489de…
05-28 01:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x75b61b…
05-28 01:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x4b408a…
05-28 01:20:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x7c242d…
05-28 01:19:39	Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x5f8cbd…
05-28 01:18:42	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	22¢	$1	0x6608ba…
05-28 01:18:38	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	39¢	$1	0xf42a2d…
05-28 01:18:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0xf7bd3d…
05-28 01:18:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x12a0c9…
05-22 03:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x3aaabd…
05-22 02:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	68¢	$5	0xe2bacc…
05-22 02:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x63d8e1…
05-21 05:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x97228a…
05-21 05:15:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x203cab…
05-21 05:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0x666139…
05-21 05:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc157ac…
05-21 05:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x547f8a…
05-21 05:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa8091e…
05-21 05:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0xec6055…
05-21 05:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcc710b…
05-21 05:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	14	52¢	$7	0x606be5…
05-21 05:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x953cff…
05-21 04:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$6	0x239f09…
05-21 04:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xdbe16b…
05-21 04:48:15	itf ja hwang 2026 05 21	Juchan Hwang	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x3f8f75…
05-21 04:47:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x6a8b3c…
05-21 04:47:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb65e5d…
05-14 02:12:14	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x39a5ee…
05-14 02:07:48	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xa65932…
05-14 02:01:07	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)	BNK FEARX	SELL	12	32¢	$4	0x37267d…
05-14 02:01:05	LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers Challengers	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x2abc05…
05-14 02:01:04	Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)	Kiwoom DRX	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x7e5894…
05-14 01:54:44	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)	BNK FEARX	BUY	12	33¢	$4	0xc3bd92…
05-14 01:54:42	LoL: T1 Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	DN SOOPers Challengers	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0xfb51bc…
05-14 01:54:21	Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)	Kiwoom DRX	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x8c08eb…
05-13 13:39:23	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Betclic Apogee Esports	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0xc31203…
05-13 13:39:18	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x8ed3f7…
05-13 13:11:04	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage	Betclic Apogee Esports	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xada3dc…
05-13 13:10:18	Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 2?	Under	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0x3234c0…
05-13 13:09:19	First Blood in Game 2?	Team WE	SELL	9	44¢	$4	0x698c9a…
05-13 12:54:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	SELL	61	1¢	$1	0x3e4061…
05-13 12:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0x890fb2…
05-13 12:52:52	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xbcb8df…
05-13 12:51:57	LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Team WE	SELL	19	45¢	$9	0xcad38b…
05-13 12:17:13	LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	Team WE	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0xbb3766…
05-13 12:09:47	First Blood in Game 2?	Team WE	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0xbef8c8…
05-13 12:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	8¢	$0	0x4a8c18…
05-13 11:46:53	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	Deep Cross Gaming	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdabfa2…
05-13 09:19:29	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Asia-Pacific Qualifier Playoffs	Deep Cross Gaming	BUY	7	63¢	$5	0xc2704b…
05-13 09:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	459	1¢	$5	0x2363e4…
05-13 09:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	459	1¢	$5	0x7e3906…
05-13 03:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x6eb245…
05-13 03:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf12a33…