Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$888

Unrealized P&L

+$38

Hit rate

91.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$595

Open exposure

$1.35K

1 position

First seen

2026-09-12

last 10-31 09:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Other

96% 93% +$992

Politics

4% 0% -$105

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No		+1,353	$1,315	100¢	$1.4K	+$38	10-31 09:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	7	$6.1K	3,281	3,281	+0	Yes	+$92	10-28 18:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	2	$2.6K	1,327	1,327	+0	Yes	+$86	10-31 08:23
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$2.5K	1,268	1,268	+0	Yes	+$4	10-30 16:14
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	2	$2.0K	1,155	1,155	+0	Yes	+$267	10-26 22:57
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	2	$1.8K	949	949	+0	Yes	+$55	10-22 14:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	2	$1.7K	875	875	+0	No	+$14	10-15 16:11
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	2	$1.3K	803	803	+0	open	—	10-10 17:24
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	1	$1.3K	1,353	0	+1,353	open	—	10-31 09:38
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	3	$981	540	540	+0	Yes	+$28	09-28 11:47
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	4	$952	564	564	+0	No	-$50	09-22 20:01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	4	$907	487	487	+0	No	-$3	09-26 14:38
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	1	$867	889	0	+889	No	+$22	10-15 17:08
Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?	1	$700	854	0	+854	No	+$154	10-10 17:25
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	2	$520	285	285	+0	No	+$28	09-26 09:31
Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	2	$514	277	277	+0	No	+$39	09-19 05:10
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$502	632	0	+632	No	+$130	09-28 11:51
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$427	239	239	+0	Yes	+$50	09-16 18:25
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	2	$382	213	213	+0	No	+$26	09-22 18:18
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	2	$59	2,048	2,048	+0	Yes	-$55	10-23 21:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:38:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,353	97¢	$1,315	0xa8dd6b…
10-31 08:23:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,327	100¢	$1,326	0x1deb07…
10-30 16:15:57	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,327	93¢	$1,240	0xb546ec…
10-30 16:14:57	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,268	98¢	$1,240	0x429fb5…
10-28 18:06:04	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,268	97¢	$1,236	0xbfa42d…
10-28 18:04:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,237	100¢	$1,236	0xba389b…
10-26 22:57:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,237	93¢	$1,154	0x09bed1…
10-26 22:57:05	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	1,155	100¢	$1,154	0x902ff7…
10-23 21:40:08	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,155	77¢	$887	0x948d84…
10-23 21:39:56	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	968	92¢	$891	0xd7267c…
10-23 21:24:59	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,048	0¢	$2	0x197bea…
10-23 10:42:48	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,048	3¢	$57	0x98ef88…
10-23 10:42:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	62	93¢	$57	0xde7dcb…
10-22 14:25:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,030	92¢	$948	0xf9b0a8…
10-22 14:24:30	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	SELL	949	100¢	$948	0x36c774…
10-21 11:16:23	Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?	Yes	BUY	949	94¢	$893	0xec6324…
10-21 11:16:02	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	1,014	88¢	$893	0xf15951…
10-16 07:42:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,014	87¢	$883	0xf2f828…
10-15 17:08:59	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 15 2026	No	BUY	889	98¢	$867	0x28f74f…
10-15 16:11:13	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	875	99¢	$866	0xba6d7e…
10-13 11:29:43	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	875	97¢	$852	0x055c49…
10-10 17:25:10	Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	854	82¢	$700	0xd57991…
10-10 17:24:48	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	803	88¢	$708	0x213772…
10-01 12:14:03	will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026	No	BUY	803	78¢	$626	0x98fd21…
09-28 11:51:45	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	BUY	632	79¢	$502	0xedc16f…
09-28 11:47:12	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	540	93¢	$504	0x64df83…
09-26 14:39:56	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	241	85¢	$204	0x4ff18e…
09-26 14:38:23	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	215	95¢	$205	0x410c24…
09-26 09:33:20	Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	299	91¢	$273	0x95ec29…
09-26 09:31:05	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	SELL	285	96¢	$274	0x6b2df1…
09-24 15:18:05	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	215	94¢	$202	0xb3962e…
09-23 17:49:23	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	BUY	285	86¢	$246	0x3d1798…
09-23 17:48:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	No	SELL	272	91¢	$248	0xe194bf…
09-23 11:58:11	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	No	BUY	272	93¢	$253	0xbdda11…
09-22 20:01:30	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$253	0x4ae8ce…
09-22 18:18:57	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	253	89¢	$225	0xb5e41c…
09-22 18:18:24	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	SELL	213	96¢	$204	0xfe6cc8…
09-22 11:58:43	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	213	83¢	$178	0x833666…
09-22 11:58:22	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	311	64¢	$199	0x564e23…
09-20 11:07:37	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	311	89¢	$276	0x7a6a7c…
09-19 05:10:33	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	No	SELL	277	100¢	$277	0x95d119…
09-18 09:17:10	Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?	No	BUY	277	86¢	$237	0xa424ca…
09-16 18:25:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0xbc0a3e…
09-12 11:57:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	239	79¢	$189	0xf5eaea…