Nippy-Backburn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.02K

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

65.2%

Resolved

Trades

169

lifetime

Volume

$128.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$760

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-28

last 08-24 18:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

86% 80% +$11

Politics

14% 71% -$2,996

Sports

0% 0% -$34

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No		+4	$4	96¢	$4	+$0	08-24 18:01

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	26	$41.3K	31,318	31,318	+0	No	-$1,888	05-23 21:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	45	$37.2K	26,005	26,005	+0	No	+$52	05-24 16:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$8.1K	4,175	4,175	+0	No	+$67	05-05 09:06
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	14	$7.2K	4,008	4,008	+0	No	+$838	04-30 16:30
Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	6	$6.3K	3,333	3,333	+0	Yes	+$70	04-19 09:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	9	$5.7K	3,032	3,032	+0	No	+$57	04-14 12:44
Nothing Ever Happens: May	12	$5.5K	3,158	3,158	+0	Nothing	+$841	06-02 16:49
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$4.0K	4,008	0	+4,008	No	+$4	04-30 21:03
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	8	$3.6K	2,077	2,077	+0	No	+$23	05-24 16:34
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	27	$3.1K	3,968	0	+3,968	No	-$3,134	06-02 17:18
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$2.8K	1,474	1,474	+0	No	+$29	04-15 20:09
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$2.3K	1,208	1,208	+0	No	+$26	03-25 19:32
will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	2	$715	368	368	+0	No	+$20	03-09 09:35
will peoples party win the most seats in the lgting in the 2026 faroese general election	2	$512	573	0	+573	Yes	+$62	03-25 19:32
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$166	112	112	+0	Yes	-$34	04-13 12:45
por por fam 2026 04 04 por	2	$31	45	6	+39	No	-$31	04-04 21:34
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	1	$21	5,220	0	+5,220	No	-$21	05-14 15:53
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	08-24 18:01
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	1	$4	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	06-03 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 18:01:25	China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x712b1d…
06-03 10:29:22	Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x111b3f…
06-02 17:18:16	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xcc91b0…
06-02 17:08:41	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	150	79¢	$118	0x55e689…
06-02 17:08:39	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	53	79¢	$42	0xdae3ad…
06-02 17:08:39	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xa37fc3…
06-02 17:08:39	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	41	79¢	$33	0x5b1bd7…
06-02 17:08:37	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	101	79¢	$80	0xae78d1…
06-02 17:08:37	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0x029d9c…
06-02 17:08:34	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	80	79¢	$63	0xcdb950…
06-02 17:08:34	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	45	79¢	$36	0xc9a48d…
06-02 17:08:34	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	53	79¢	$42	0xbfe3c5…
06-02 17:08:34	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	150	79¢	$118	0xb6ab19…
06-02 17:08:34	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	75	79¢	$59	0xadd555…
06-02 17:08:34	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x42d564…
06-02 17:08:34	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	47	79¢	$37	0x3d48e3…
06-02 17:08:34	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	150	79¢	$118	0x05e469…
06-02 17:06:38	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x86dbf2…
06-02 17:02:05	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	500	79¢	$395	0xadb178…
06-02 16:50:39	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x91d039…
06-02 16:50:39	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	417	79¢	$329	0x3b1669…
06-02 16:50:39	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	247	79¢	$195	0x32b905…
06-02 16:49:36	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	847	100¢	$843	0x147023…
06-02 16:48:21	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	206	78¢	$161	0x66e4c1…
06-02 16:47:34	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1,211	100¢	$1,206	0x62df84…
06-02 15:01:55	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	1,252	79¢	$989	0xa5cea7…
06-02 15:00:52	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1,000	100¢	$998	0xc92d24…
06-02 14:13:16	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x512d05…
06-02 14:12:53	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x5b39e2…
06-02 13:36:49	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9c86e5…
06-02 13:36:49	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x8fae63…
06-02 13:31:25	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa8118d…
06-02 13:31:11	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x570e4e…
06-02 13:31:11	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x3b442c…
06-02 11:48:57	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xdaa4a0…
06-02 11:48:57	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa6eb40…
06-02 11:48:57	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	53	80¢	$42	0x26d323…
06-02 11:46:30	Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xc8b53b…
06-02 11:29:04	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	SELL	93	100¢	$93	0xbf35e3…
05-25 08:25:17	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	16	78¢	$12	0xffcf4a…
05-24 17:10:05	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	3,142	73¢	$2,294	0xcf292a…
05-24 16:34:57	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,077	88¢	$942	0xab63bb…
05-24 16:34:11	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	88¢	$875	0x87207d…
05-24 16:12:03	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,111	86¢	$960	0xdaea4d…
05-24 16:11:59	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	74	86¢	$64	0x5a8dbe…
05-24 16:11:42	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0xecfbeb…
05-24 16:10:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	221	86¢	$191	0xf2388e…
05-24 16:10:25	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	345	86¢	$298	0x146145…
05-24 16:08:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	312	86¢	$269	0xdb22d1…
05-24 16:00:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	716	3¢	$25	0x69536b…
05-24 15:59:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xb85f30…
05-24 15:59:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xb77a8a…
05-24 15:59:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	1,867	3¢	$65	0xfac390…
05-24 15:19:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,253	97¢	$2,179	0xf92a23…
05-24 15:18:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,603	96¢	$1,542	0x311b42…
05-24 15:17:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	350	96¢	$337	0x19efa3…
05-24 15:17:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	300	96¢	$289	0xddb44c…
05-24 15:15:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,267	96¢	$2,167	0xd30e5d…
05-24 15:09:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	550	95¢	$522	0xec8608…
05-24 15:09:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,717	95¢	$1,630	0xc2c2a4…
05-24 14:40:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0x38fb8d…
05-24 14:36:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0x39d81f…
05-24 14:11:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,126	91¢	$1,029	0xd92a0b…
05-24 14:11:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,228	91¢	$1,122	0x6bef04…
05-24 13:57:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,354	91¢	$2,137	0xaa428c…
05-24 13:34:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2,634	10¢	$254	0x235fec…
05-24 13:20:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	2,705	9¢	$234	0xa9cf8b…
05-24 13:19:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	2,705	10¢	$264	0x5ddcc3…
05-24 12:21:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,081	90¢	$1,875	0x1fda55…
05-24 12:15:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	25	90¢	$22	0x2e6a8c…
05-24 12:15:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	172	90¢	$155	0x33ffc1…
05-24 12:15:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	410	90¢	$369	0xc64e4c…
05-24 11:33:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,687	89¢	$2,383	0xe5b295…
05-24 10:51:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,663	90¢	$2,383	0x6e712f…
05-24 10:30:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,091	89¢	$1,861	0x621177…
05-24 10:30:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	532	89¢	$474	0x962361…
05-24 10:30:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x0764c9…
05-23 23:11:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,402	84¢	$1,182	0x5b6920…
05-23 23:11:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1,111	84¢	$937	0xfb8091…
05-23 23:10:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	34	84¢	$29	0xfe0ff1…
05-23 23:10:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	259	84¢	$219	0x3496b1…
05-23 22:59:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,807	83¢	$2,327	0x78489e…
05-23 22:36:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,275	82¢	$1,866	0x2b50d3…
05-23 22:36:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	45	82¢	$37	0x53bbba…
05-23 22:36:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	518	82¢	$425	0x2fe672…
05-23 21:35:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,838	80¢	$2,270	0x2be0b6…
05-23 21:32:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	139	84¢	$117	0x20dc4d…
05-23 21:27:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2,626	82¢	$2,153	0x68b10a…
05-23 21:26:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	139	80¢	$111	0x780348…
05-23 21:25:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2,606	80¢	$2,085	0x927b48…
05-23 21:21:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,272	35¢	$795	0x9ab163…
05-23 21:14:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xb2cba9…
05-23 21:14:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x81adc8…
05-23 21:12:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	223	35¢	$78	0x45a950…
05-23 21:10:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	32	35¢	$11	0xa1ee27…
05-23 21:10:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	2,678	35¢	$937	0x3209f8…
05-23 21:10:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1,060	35¢	$371	0xad0551…
05-21 08:45:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x9873be…
05-20 14:16:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	6,276	72¢	$4,518	0x28ecde…
05-20 11:56:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x24e624…