Upset-Postbox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$237

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-07

last 06-06 10:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

55% — —

Crypto

27% — —

Politics

9% 100% +$0

Sports

8% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No		+5	$5	98¢	$5	+$0	05-30 02:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	3	$3.0K	1,506	1,506	+0	open	—	03-29 04:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$3.0K	1,518	1,518	+0	open	—	03-23 04:06
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$3.0K	1,506	1,506	+0	open	—	04-10 09:11
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	2	$963	600	600	+0	open	—	06-06 09:03
nba phx sas 2026 03 19	1	$720	900	0	+900	open	—	03-19 10:03
nba orl min 2026 03 07	1	$170	550	0	+550	open	—	03-07 13:49
will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	2	$123	100	100	+0	open	—	03-29 10:42
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	03-29 04:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-23 03:12
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 04:26
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-29 04:27
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-30 02:28
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	04-22 02:38
bitcoin above 66k on march 19	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-19 10:07
will bomb be said 20 times at the rotterdam grand final	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-29 04:26
will silver si hit high 150 by end of march	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-19 10:08
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	03-07 10:49
Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	1	$1	333	0	+333	open	—	04-10 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-28 04:09
btc updown 5m 1780740300	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	06-06 10:09
btc updown 5m 1780740900	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-06 10:15
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-25 02:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-25 02:33
will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-23 03:12
ethereum above 2000 on march 19	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-19 10:07
Will Trump visit China by May 8?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	04-25 02:36
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-19 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-28 04:04
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	04-25 02:39
atp busta ruiz 2026 03 29	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-29 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-06 10:15:36	btc updown 5m 1780740900	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc0b75f…
06-06 10:09:03	btc updown 5m 1780740300	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x465c50…
06-06 09:03:01	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	600	80¢	$481	0x959792…
06-06 08:09:19	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	600	80¢	$482	0x4cd405…
05-30 02:28:42	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x203671…
05-02 11:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x27401a…
04-28 04:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x65bf5f…
04-28 04:05:08	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x492f92…
04-28 04:04:22	Los Angeles Angels vs. Chicago White Sox	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x451f5a…
04-28 04:04:12	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xd2d14e…
04-28 04:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2f085e…
04-25 02:40:42	Lakers vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x23f29b…
04-25 02:39:20	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x02a977…
04-25 02:36:12	Will Trump visit China by May 8?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x805a2f…
04-25 02:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xf6f3d4…
04-22 02:39:58	btc updown 5m 1776825300	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x31f1c0…
04-22 02:38:56	Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3515d7…
04-12 04:18:05	nba bkn tor 2026 04 12	Raptors	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf6676a…
04-12 04:17:47	btc updown 5m 1775967300	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x8e9707…
04-10 09:13:27	Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xd65bd8…
04-10 09:11:47	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	1,506	100¢	$1,498	0x197042…
04-10 04:03:23	btc updown 5m 1775793600	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb0e309…
04-10 03:30:43	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,506	100¢	$1,500	0xdd7b7d…
03-29 10:43:44	atp busta ruiz 2026 03 29	Pablo Llamas Ruiz	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x875d9c…
03-29 10:42:36	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	SELL	100	61¢	$61	0x3b215f…
03-29 10:41:16	will 20 24 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 17 23	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xb220f2…
03-29 04:27:24	will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x66f345…
03-29 04:26:50	will bomb be said 20 times at the rotterdam grand final	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc69654…
03-29 04:26:42	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9c9fbc…
03-29 04:26:34	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2d1343…
03-29 04:26:02	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	1,506	100¢	$1,503	0x43e407…
03-27 01:02:03	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	1,503	100¢	$1,500	0x79195f…
03-23 04:07:33	highest temperature in chongqing on march 24 2026 15c	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa1001e…
03-23 04:06:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,518	99¢	$1,498	0xd108a9…
03-23 03:13:09	btc updown 5m 1774235400	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x1d67c0…
03-23 03:12:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,518	99¢	$1,500	0x83b305…
03-23 03:12:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x31f889…
03-23 03:12:05	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be between 80m and 85m	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xaf47f6…
03-19 10:08:31	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x6b08a0…
03-19 10:08:25	will silver si hit high 150 by end of march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x962f60…
03-19 10:08:15	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x349c3e…
03-19 10:07:39	ethereum above 2000 on march 19	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2a064a…
03-19 10:07:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 19	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5f3c79…
03-19 10:03:03	nba phx sas 2026 03 19	Spurs	BUY	900	80¢	$720	0xd3a59a…
03-07 13:49:41	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Magic	BUY	550	31¢	$170	0x6e8f3a…
03-07 10:49:47	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x953226…
03-07 10:49:35	btc updown 5m 1772880300	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xf8fbdf…