Altruistic-Armoire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

-$11

Hit rate

22.9%

Resolved

Trades

101

lifetime

Volume

$945

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$79

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 06-09 06:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 17% $-44

Politics

30% — —

Other

15% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	No	+55	$40	66¢	$36	$-4	06-04 12:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+200	$20	10¢	$19	$-1	06-09 06:08
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+272	$15	4¢	$12	$-3	06-04 12:33
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+214	$15	6¢	$12	$-3	06-04 17:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$73	140	40	+100	open	—	04-21 16:34
btc updown 5m 1774988700	2	$46	33	32	+1	open	—	03-31 20:29
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	1	$40	55	0	+55	open	—	06-04 12:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$36	21	21	+0	open	—	04-16 02:29
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$32	41	41	+0	open	—	03-26 12:10
btc updown 5m 1774563600	3	$27	23	19	+4	open	—	03-26 22:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$26	40	40	+0	open	—	04-17 10:40
btc updown 5m 1774313400	2	$25	16	16	+0	open	—	03-24 00:54
btc updown 5m 1774417500	2	$25	17	16	+0	open	—	03-25 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$25	18	18	+1	open	—	04-25 19:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$24	32	32	+0	open	—	04-23 20:25
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 04:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$22	19	19	+0	open	—	05-03 04:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$22	25	25	+0	Down	$-8	05-06 19:06
btc updown 5m 1774475700	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	03-25 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$21	30	0	+30	Down	$-21	05-06 18:56
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	2	$21	15	15	+0	open	—	03-23 11:34
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$21	22	22	+0	open	—	03-25 05:45
btc updown 5m 1774817100	2	$20	14	14	+0	open	—	03-29 20:49
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$20	40	0	+40	open	—	04-03 19:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$20	200	0	+200	open	—	06-09 06:08
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$20	29	29	+0	open	—	03-21 20:48
btc updown 5m 1774645500	2	$20	25	25	+0	open	—	03-27 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	4	$20	522	7	+515	open	—	05-14 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$18	15	15	+0	Down	+$2	05-06 19:04
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	1	$15	214	0	+214	open	—	06-04 17:30
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$15	272	0	+272	open	—	06-04 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$15	14	13	+1	open	—	04-25 19:23
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$13	38	38	+0	open	—	03-25 05:45
btc updown 5m 1774475100	2	$12	9	9	+0	open	—	03-25 21:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 06:08:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x598295…
06-04 17:30:51	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x20d7c4…
06-04 12:33:07	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	272	6¢	$15	0x6b12b2…
06-04 12:31:15	Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?	No	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x720bb9…
05-14 20:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x50a088…
05-14 20:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xc58972…
05-14 20:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x1c2a1f…
05-14 20:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x1cfe0b…
05-13 07:39:35	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x78f2ff…
05-08 09:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x21bddf…
05-08 09:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x301b84…
05-06 19:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	25	28¢	$7	0xeafe45…
05-06 19:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x02ac8e…
05-06 19:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x875aec…
05-06 19:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa96075…
05-06 19:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x10c7de…
05-06 19:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xa40df7…
05-06 18:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x9a0bd1…
05-05 22:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x0b5fb1…
05-03 04:27:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	19	63¢	$12	0xa43cca…
05-03 04:26:56	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$13	0x94d113…
05-02 20:20:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	24	18¢	$4	0x1af869…
05-02 08:53:44	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x49e838…
05-02 05:05:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x780887…
04-29 23:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x9e2a2d…
04-29 22:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd407d9…
04-29 22:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x8e4e48…
04-29 07:56:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x7a976f…
04-29 07:56:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x675c77…
04-25 19:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x09521e…
04-25 19:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x888b6a…
04-25 19:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x657ed4…
04-25 19:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9e6eab…
04-25 19:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xce8fd1…
04-25 19:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0x780519…
04-25 19:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x42072f…
04-25 19:17:38	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x252e5a…
04-23 20:26:00	btc updown 5m 1776975900	Down	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xf52df3…
04-23 20:25:18	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x701a73…
04-23 20:24:18	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$2	0x34cc81…
04-21 16:41:06	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xa2f032…
04-21 16:34:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdc93e4…
04-21 16:34:06	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x40e790…
04-21 16:32:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0x4149f2…
04-17 10:45:54	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x593278…
04-17 10:40:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	40	27¢	$11	0xd7d046…
04-16 08:19:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0x461d18…
04-16 02:29:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xcdca96…
04-16 02:28:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x04a392…
04-10 18:22:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x11af33…
04-09 21:35:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x521b6b…
04-08 06:50:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x56e538…
04-03 19:53:21	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xf1a42f…
03-31 20:29:27	btc updown 5m 1774988700	Down	SELL	32	82¢	$26	0xb74529…
03-31 20:25:29	btc updown 5m 1774988700	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xe2b5c3…
03-29 20:49:46	btc updown 5m 1774817100	Down	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0x1d3df2…
03-29 20:45:42	btc updown 5m 1774817100	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x7353d7…
03-27 21:09:23	btc updown 5m 1774645500	Up	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x7f4a6e…
03-27 21:07:33	btc updown 5m 1774645500	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x6999e0…
03-26 22:32:37	will kanye release bully by march 27	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xc28bb4…
03-26 22:25:13	btc updown 5m 1774563900	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xbb54bd…
03-26 22:23:39	btc updown 5m 1774563600	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2849cc…
03-26 22:22:17	btc updown 5m 1774563600	Down	SELL	19	81¢	$16	0x3c88b8…
03-26 22:21:09	btc updown 5m 1774563600	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe11fa6…
03-26 22:15:19	btc updown 5m 1774563300	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x08d1a6…
03-26 12:10:31	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	SELL	41	41¢	$17	0xe94a23…
03-25 21:59:25	btc updown 5m 1774475700	Up	SELL	20	57¢	$11	0x5f5e82…
03-25 21:55:19	btc updown 5m 1774475700	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3f423e…
03-25 21:50:25	btc updown 5m 1774475400	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xb12316…
03-25 21:49:07	btc updown 5m 1774475100	Down	SELL	9	73¢	$7	0x62aef6…
03-25 21:45:19	btc updown 5m 1774475100	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8c473c…
03-25 17:28:37	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	Yes	BUY	41	37¢	$15	0xf4dbcb…
03-25 05:48:27	btc updown 5m 1774417500	Down	SELL	16	90¢	$15	0xee8e15…
03-25 05:47:21	btc updown 5m 1774417500	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xe808d2…
03-25 05:45:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	22	49¢	$11	0x9c74ec…
03-25 05:45:15	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	SELL	38	8¢	$3	0x0505cb…
03-24 00:54:29	btc updown 5m 1774313400	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$15	0x916e01…
03-24 00:50:13	btc updown 5m 1774313400	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xe8ec31…
03-24 00:45:15	btc updown 5m 1774313100	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x813700…
03-24 00:44:45	btc updown 5m 1774312800	Down	SELL	8	64¢	$5	0x6bbfa0…
03-24 00:40:19	btc updown 5m 1774312800	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x252935…
03-23 11:34:39	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x71f40a…
03-21 20:50:29	btc updown 5m 1774126200	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x9c4bd2…
03-21 20:48:59	btc updown 5m 1774125900	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x81f673…
03-21 20:48:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	29	34¢	$10	0x62005c…
03-21 20:35:17	btc updown 5m 1774125300	Down	BUY	14	57¢	$8	0x54c482…
03-21 20:33:35	btc updown 5m 1774125000	Down	SELL	22	16¢	$3	0x5a6d6f…
03-21 20:32:35	btc updown 5m 1774125000	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x6055f0…
03-21 20:24:09	btc updown 5m 1774124400	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x5c0050…
03-21 20:04:49	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 31 2026 112	No	BUY	24	43¢	$10	0x1afaf7…
03-21 19:58:15	will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xbbed75…
03-21 19:20:41	btc updown 5m 1774120800	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x941286…
03-21 19:18:33	btc updown 5m 1774120500	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xcc07d8…
03-21 12:07:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xe0b3a8…
03-21 12:05:05	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x1f69ac…
03-21 10:02:53	btc updown 5m 1774087200	Down	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0xd329f5…
03-21 10:00:37	btc updown 5m 1774087200	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x100d76…
03-21 09:54:35	btc updown 5m 1774086600	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xe12ca2…
03-21 09:52:59	btc updown 5m 1774086600	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6b09dc…
03-21 09:49:37	btc updown 5m 1774086300	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x166e1e…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	39	$277.3K	739	06-08 15:39
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	39	$27.7K	7,654	05-14 20:53
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	38	$18.9K	1,639	05-14 20:53
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	38	$6.40K	1,054	05-14 20:53
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	37	$83.8K	798	06-09 23:15
Favorite-Sunflower 0xba01…8535	36	$14.6K	835	05-14 20:53
(anonymous) 0x79d3…6100	35	$6.90K	3,003	05-08 09:19
Mixed-Riot 0x5384…8ff7	34	$1.79K	201	05-08 09:19