Cluttered-Butterfly — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

75.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-12 01:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

43% 100% +$0

Politics

43% 50% $-0

Pop-Culture

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	100¢	$1	+$0	05-06 00:58
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	+1	$1	99¢	$1	$-0	05-12 01:18
Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?	Yes	-1	$-1	94¢	$-1	$-0	05-11 01:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 01:18:04	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0745f8…
05-11 01:30:07	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf4fe03…
05-11 01:29:46	Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x966863…
05-09 01:15:23	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2dea05…
05-08 01:17:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x68dbf0…
05-06 01:03:16	Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be less than $300M at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4f2ba7…
05-06 00:58:36	Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc29f18…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rare Earths Americas' market cap be less than $300M at market close on IPO day?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-06 01:03
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-06 00:58
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	05-08 01:17
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	05-09 01:15
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-12 01:18
Will the Republican Party win the AR-04 House seat?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	05-11 01:29
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$1	0	1	-1	No	$-0	05-11 01:30